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  1. #3051
    Make a trade steal
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    rolled the ole tankathon once for fun

    spurs got the #2 pick and chose topic with risacher on the board, and then took buzelis at #7 with dillingham/sheppard on the board

    good result as far as where we landed and who was on the board, but dont think those were the optimal picks. have to think risacher is #1 on their board, especially in a scenario where they know they have a second pick

    out of curiosity i just them starting spamming the sim button and without fail, regardless of draft position or whether or not the raptors pick conveys, it has the spurs taking a PG with their top pick 100% of the time
    Why take Topic at 2 when you can likely get him with the 7th or 8th pick now.

  2. #3052
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Quick, name me your 10 best currently good white Americans in the league right now. You can even do 5. Go.
    I mean the two best players in the league are white

  3. #3053
    Pronouns: Your/Dad TheGreatYacht's Avatar
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    I mean the two best players in the league are white
    I said white American

  4. #3054
    Make a trade steal
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    I mean the two best players in the league are white
    But it quickly thins out after that.

  5. #3055
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Why take Topic at 2 when you can likely get him with the 7th or 8th pick now.
    Tankathon loves Topic like they haven't updated their draft rankings since December.

  6. #3056
    Make a trade steal
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    I mean the two best players in the league are white
    75% of the league is black for a reason, superior athletes.

  7. #3057
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    rolled the ole tankathon once for fun

    spurs got the #2 pick and chose topic with risacher on the board, and then took buzelis at #7 with dillingham/sheppard on the board

    good result as far as where we landed and who was on the board, but dont think those were the optimal picks. have to think risacher is #1 on their board, especially in a scenario where they know they have a second pick

    out of curiosity i just them starting spamming the sim button and without fail, regardless of draft position or whether or not the raptors pick conveys, it has the spurs taking a PG with their top pick 100% of the time
    I have a feeling Collier is higher on their board than we realize. If timvp is to be believed, they had Amen high on their board last year. They aren't afraid of shooting struggles if the tools are there. They also showed with Murray and one-and-dones with poor freshman seasons don't get discounted if they think it's a bad situation and the high-school tape is good. Part of me feel like that's who they decided to not accelerate their rebuild for.

  8. #3058
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    I have a feeling Collier is higher on their board than we realize. If timvp is to be believed, they had Amen high on their board last year. They aren't afraid of shooting struggles if the tools are there. They also showed with Murray and one-and-dones with poor freshman seasons don't get discounted if they think it's a bad situation and the high-school tape is good. Part of me feel like that's who they decided to not accelerate their rebuild for.
    Kind of a different situation. They took Murray with the 29th pick where you're just hoping to get someone who can make it in the league and can take chances without much opportunity cost. Whole different thing if they're picking 7-9 and you have a pick that you really have to make count. Amen I could understand taking a big home run swing on since he was the most athletic player in the draft and someone with the potential to be a transcendent player if he could be taught a jump shot. Don't really see Collier having that kind of athleticism or upside.

  9. #3059
    Veteran KobesAchilles's Avatar
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    I have a feeling Collier is higher on their board than we realize. If timvp is to be believed, they had Amen high on their board last year. They aren't afraid of shooting struggles if the tools are there. They also showed with Murray and one-and-dones with poor freshman seasons don't get discounted if they think it's a bad situation and the high-school tape is good. Part of me feel like that's who they decided to not accelerate their rebuild for.
    If we are going to draft a non-shooting high turnover point guard, I want everyone fired tbh. You can't surround Wemby with No Shooters. It's about the dumbest thing you can do tbh. Westbrook and Durant never rang because Westbrook couldn't shoot the ball in the ocean from 3 and he made boneheaded mistakes. Durant and Curry worked because Steph was an amazing shooter and doesn't up.

    Please for the love of gawd don't draft Collier

  10. #3060
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    I have a feeling Collier is higher on their board than we realize. If timvp is to be believed, they had Amen high on their board last year. They aren't afraid of shooting struggles if the tools are there. They also showed with Murray and one-and-dones with poor freshman seasons don't get discounted if they think it's a bad situation and the high-school tape is good. Part of me feel like that's who they decided to not accelerate their rebuild for.
    Amen is a pretty smart player. Collier really isn't one, from watching him. Kinda bad bbIQ.

  11. #3061
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    Kind of a different situation. They took Murray with the 29th pick where you're just hoping to get someone who can make it in the league and can take chances without much opportunity cost. Whole different thing if they're picking 7-9 and you have a pick that you really have to make count. Amen I could understand taking a big home run swing on since he was the most athletic player in the draft and someone with the potential to be a transcendent player if he could be taught a jump shot. Don't really see Collier having that kind of athleticism or upside.
    Collier's ability to get into the paint is superlative, and he's quite athletic as far as I can tell. From what I can recall the Spurs had a lottery grade on Murray, which means they didn't discount him much on their board after his freshman season. So by that right, if the Spurs had Collier high on their board going into the season, this season might NOT have dropped him in their eyes like it did for the mocks.

    If we are going to draft a non-shooting high turnover point guard, I want everyone fired tbh. You can't surround Wemby with No Shooters. It's about the dumbest thing you can do tbh. Westbrook and Durant never rang because Westbrook couldn't shoot the ball in the ocean from 3 and he made boneheaded mistakes. Durant and Curry worked because Steph was an amazing shooter and doesn't up.

    Please for the love of gawd don't draft Collier
    I think that is too rigid of a view of what works around Wemby. Victor is not Duncan. He's not going to be hanging out in the paint backing folks down. The Spurs are going to be a five-out team with him, not a four-out. While it is important to note that you can't export shooting, there are additional factors that go into having a flowing offense built around Wemby. Speed and penetration are really important too. The single thing that will help Wemby the most is a player who's too good of a scoring threat to give second or third priority to. That scoring threat matters more than how they score, because Victor at this point is his career is likely well served being able to lean into another player being the head of the offensive snake so he can actually do the things like catch lobs, get duck-ins or spot up.

    Wemby's the most turnover prone player in the league. He turns the ball over more than Collier. Trae Young does too. We all expect Victor to grow out of that and are mostly willing to overlook Young's mistakes. That's not a reason to not pick Collier. Every rookie is going to have things they need to improve on. No matter how much fans want to worry, the Spurs have the time to let them figure it out.
    Last edited by Chinook; 03-06-2024 at 02:51 PM.

  12. #3062
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    I've laid out alternative scenarios about a thousand times: trade for Brogdon (2/3 SRPs should suffice), sign Tyus Jones, go for Donovan Mitc / Derrick White in '25 (ONE year). And if not, record shows a star guard becomes available just about every year (Lillard, Donovan Mitc , Jrue, Haliburton, Harden, Kyrie, Paul George -not really a PG but could fill the creator role- , even a rising SGA was traded), sometimes more than one (and once). The Spurs won't be contenders in the next 2 years no matter what they do (can't imagine them beating Boston, Denver, Milwaukee, or even a full strenth Philly team within that time frame), the focus should be in putting together a team capable of making the play in by next year, and the playoffs by one following (i.e., no more "hard" tanking). I don't think that necessarily requires a star in the short term.
    Thank you.

    It's easy to say "We have to fix the point guard problem." It's another to look at the actual, tangible options.

    For this draft, unless some player suddenly comes into lottery range, in my estimation our first choices include:

    Topic
    Dillingham
    Sheppard
    Castle
    Collier

    Guys who may trickle into the teens or will last until the second round include:

    Jared McCain
    Tyrese Proctor
    DJ Wagner
    Tyler Kolek
    etc.

    If your request is for a good-shooting point guard who can manipulate defenses and get really pressure the lane while playing good defense, you ain't gonna get it. If you want all that AND that this player is ready right away, definitely ain't getting it.

    For every one of those guys, you have to give something up.

    There are maybe two of them who are very good at pressuring the rim, and that's Dillingham and Collier. Neither is going to provide much defense. Collier isn't going to provide any shooting. And, frankly, Collier just seems kind of dumb.

    If you want shooting and defense, then you hope Sheppard pans out, but he provides no rim pressure and his point guard skills are a bit shaky at this point (as in lead guard).

    If you want defense and size and a guy who may be able to do a lot, but who doesn't shoot, it's Castle.

    THAT'S why you have to find some other solutions, because your dream scenario isn't coming from these players. Now, I really like some of these PG prospects, but otherwise some of y'all sound like the people on those House Buying shows where they list all the things they want, including pool and view and fifty bedrooms, and then say their budget is $30,000.

  13. #3063
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    I said white American
    Topic is not a white american

  14. #3064
    Believe. LeBowen's Avatar
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    Tbh, with this Topic injury situation, I kind of hope he skips this year's draft, he could really use another year in Europe.
    And I really don't want a questionable shooter, traffic cone on defense, completely unknown prospect as a top5 pick.
    Especially not with his injury situation and lack of real games.

  15. #3065
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
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    Wemby's the most turnover prone player in the league. He turns the ball over more than Collier. Trae Young does too. We all expect Victor to grow out of that and are mostly willing to overlook Young's mistakes. That's not a reason to not pick Collier. Every rookie is going to have things they need to improve on. No matter how much fans want to worry, the Spurs have the time to let them figure it out.
    That's another worrying thing about Trae Young. He's in his sixth year and his turnover% stat has gone 17.6, 16.2, 16.2, 14.5, 15.2, 16.0 (this season). There is no track record of improvement there.

    Dejounte Murray is a poster child for improvement in this area. His turnover% in 7 seasons has gone 22.7, 16.6, 15.4, 10.2, 11.8, 10.2, 10.6 (this season).

    Disclaimer: I don't watch a lot of Trae Young. I don't know how much of his turnover problems are due to bad decisions compared to teammates. Advanced passing stats paint him as a PnR savant in terms of shot quality created; does he try to thread needles too often? Or are his turnover problems vis a vis Dejounte due to Trae being much more of a finisher than Dejounte (based on comparative usage rate)?

  16. #3066
    Veteran KobesAchilles's Avatar
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    Collier's ability to get into the paint is superlative, and he's quite athletic as far as I can tell. From what I can recall the Spurs had a lottery grade on Murray, which means they didn't discount him much on their board after his freshman season. So by that right, if the Spurs had Collier high on their board going into the season, this season might NOT have dropped him in their eyes like it did for the mocks.


    I think that is too rigid of a view of what works around Wemby. Victor is not Duncan. He's not going to be hanging out in the paint backing folks down. The Spurs are going to be a five-out team with him, not a four-out. While it is important to note that you can't export shooting, there are additional factors that go into having a flowing offense built around Wemby. Speed and penetration are really important too. The single thing that will help Wemby the most is a player who's too good of a scoring threat to give second or third priority to. That scoring threat matters more than how they score, because Victor at this point is his career is likely well served being able to lean into another player being the head of the offensive snake so he can actually do the things like catch lobs, get duck-ins or spot up.

    Wemby's the most turnover prone player in the league. He turns the ball over more than Collier. Trae Young does too. We all expect Victor to grow out of that and are mostly willing to overlook Young's mistakes. That's not a reason to not pick Collier. Every rookie is going to have things they need to improve on. No matter how much fans want to worry, the Spurs have the time to let them figure it out.
    Young has a lot that scared me about him as a prospect on the team He turns the ball over a lot, shoots stupid shots, and plays bad defense. On the otherhand, he can get to the lane, set up teammates, and he is a good shooter. Young is a classic case of he shouldn't be the best player on your team. Shrink his role a bit, and see if you can' teach him to clean up his mistakes. That's all he really has to work on. Those two things.

    Yes and so pairing Wemby with a young turnover prone guard isn't the smartest thing to do. And when you add on top of that Collier can't shoot, for me it's a nonstarter. Speed and penetration are important but to me shooting has to be in there as well. That's why I want Dilly. He has speed, penetration, and shooting. Dilly just isn't going to ever be a good defender and to me that's not that important for a PG. Wing and interior defenders are way more important.

    Collier has too much (imo) to fix that he will never put it all together. We don't need to post up Wemby every possession, and by no means am I saying to. However it is disingenuous to say that we can have a nonshooting PG,PF, and SF on our team to surround Wemby with and expect to succeed. As of now, there's no plan of replacing PF, so our PG needs to be able to shoot.

  17. #3067
    Believe.
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    That's another worrying thing about Trae Young. He's in his sixth year and his turnover% stat has gone 17.6, 16.2, 16.2, 14.5, 15.2, 16.0 (this season). There is no track record of improvement there.

    Dejounte Murray is a poster child for improvement in this area. His turnover% in 7 seasons has gone 22.7, 16.6, 15.4, 10.2, 11.8, 10.2, 10.6 (this season).

    Disclaimer: I don't watch a lot of Trae Young. I don't know how much of his turnover problems are due to bad decisions compared to teammates. Advanced passing stats paint him as a PnR savant in terms of shot quality created; does he try to thread needles too often? Or are his turnover problems vis a vis Dejounte due to Trae being much more of a finisher than Dejounte (based on comparative usage rate)?
    Murray does make a lot more sense as a fit for us for a lot of reasons.

  18. #3068
    Remember Cherokee Parks The Truth #6's Avatar
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    Why do you think ball-dominant and a good slasher are the same thing?
    I never said ball dominant. I said dominant. Sounds like a misunderstanding.

  19. #3069
    Veteran Atl Spur's Avatar
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    Murray does make a lot more sense as a fit for us for a lot of reasons.
    Murray is waaaaaaaaayyyyyy too immature to have around this young group!

  20. #3070
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    Young has a lot that scared me about him as a prospect on the team He turns the ball over a lot, shoots stupid shots, and plays bad defense. On the otherhand, he can get to the lane, set up teammates, and he is a good shooter. Young is a classic case of he shouldn't be the best player on your team. Shrink his role a bit, and see if you can' teach him to clean up his mistakes. That's all he really has to work on. Those two things.
    I'd always rather take a player that's obviously smart and work on his flaws than take someone with fundamental shooting flaws that are really difficult to fix.
    Trae isn't Westbrook who just attacked the paint without caring about anything due to his physical advantage.
    He's the smallest guy on the court most of the time and while he's got the speed advantage, he wouldn't be able to do without high playmaking IQ.

    I'd like to see some stats about what percentage of his turnovers are kept in play and end in fastbreaks.
    He doesn't get stripped often and doesn't lose the ball in dumb ways, it's mostly overly-ambitious passes from what I've seen.

    And for every one of those turnovers, he'll make an assist or two very few players can make.

    If he buys into being Wemby's Robin, he'd be a perfect fit.
    If he doesn't his career as far as serious playoff basketball would be over because if Spurs couldn't make him work, noone can.

  21. #3071
    Believe. @ByndExistnz
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    Mr. Body Dejounte does this kid look like a limited stiff to you? Really?

    , I'm getting nervous that unless we get the #1 pick again, we won't be able to draft this guy.
    He will be the French Johnny Davis!

  22. #3072
    Pronouns: Your/Dad TheGreatYacht's Avatar
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    Topic is not a white american
    You’re deflecting. You said I don’t like Europeans and white Americans.

    Wait till the guy who doesn’t want us to draft euros or white Americans
    I am bias against the latter, and with good reason. Name me the 5 best white American players currently.

  23. #3073
    ಥ﹏ಥ DAF86's Avatar
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    He will be the French Johnny Davis!
    That's one of the weirdest comparissons ever. Davis is 6'4", Risacher 6"10". Davis couldn't shoot, Risacher is a 40% 3pt shooter.

  24. #3074
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    I mean the two best players in the league are white
    Doncic is not better than Embiid or Antetokounmpo and statistically Gilgeous-Alexander either. I'd give him the edge for now on the latter though considering the relative lack of track record.

    I have a feeling Collier is higher on their board than we realize. If timvp is to be believed, they had Amen high on their board last year. They aren't afraid of shooting struggles if the tools are there. They also showed with Murray and one-and-dones with poor freshman seasons don't get discounted if they think it's a bad situation and the high-school tape is good. Part of me feel like that's who they decided to not accelerate their rebuild for.
    That was pre Wembanyama.

    This team needs to stop trying to outsmart everyone else by picking some project and just pick someone who already knows how to (IQ and skill wise) play basketball, which is why I keep vouching for Risacher and Sheppard.

    Investing and waiting probably 3-5 years to see if Collier can figure out how to be become a likely still sub par shooter because he has the physical tools to be a good defender and can get "downhill" would be a waste of an asset and time at this point.

  25. #3075
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    Thank you.

    It's easy to say "We have to fix the point guard problem." It's another to look at the actual, tangible options.

    For this draft, unless some player suddenly comes into lottery range, in my estimation our first choices include:

    Topic
    Dillingham
    Sheppard
    Castle
    Collier

    Guys who may trickle into the teens or will last until the second round include:

    Jared McCain
    Tyrese Proctor
    DJ Wagner
    Tyler Kolek
    etc.

    If your request is for a good-shooting point guard who can manipulate defenses and get really pressure the lane while playing good defense, you ain't gonna get it. If you want all that AND that this player is ready right away, definitely ain't getting it.

    For every one of those guys, you have to give something up.

    There are maybe two of them who are very good at pressuring the rim, and that's Dillingham and Collier. Neither is going to provide much defense. Collier isn't going to provide any shooting. And, frankly, Collier just seems kind of dumb.

    If you want shooting and defense, then you hope Sheppard pans out, but he provides no rim pressure and his point guard skills are a bit shaky at this point (as in lead guard).

    If you want defense and size and a guy who may be able to do a lot, but who doesn't shoot, it's Castle.

    THAT'S why you have to find some other solutions, because your dream scenario isn't coming from these players. Now, I really like some of these PG prospects, but otherwise some of y'all sound like the people on those House Buying shows where they list all the things they want, including pool and view and fifty bedrooms, and then say their budget is $30,000.
    Im glad you mentioned Proctor and Kolek. I like both of these guys alot and Proctor, I think has a good chance of well out performing his current draft status.

    I wouldn't take either guy in tne top 10, but if we traded back or traded up from the 2nd round just a little bit, I'd be perfectly happy with either.

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