So what's the ideal draft for people? I'm starting to wonder if it would be Risacher/Castle.
I'm not the biggest Zach fan, but he's the only SF prospect who looks like he could be the three-and-D pivot (though I guess he'd be an alero) that would let the starting unit work. Then Castle to come off the bench with Monk with Johnson, the best PF the RE can buy and Collins rounding out the bench. That's probably not impossible, but it is unlikely. I wonder how a Castle/Salaun draft would look. That seems significantly more doable. I'm not as in love with Salaun as some folks are, but he has the size to be a backup PF by mid-season. Ideally some vet is willing to come in and be compe ion for him, but the starting SF hole would require more immediate use of resources
The question becomes, what do you do in the off-season after that? RGM was briefly obsessed with a Garland/Vassell trade. Literally no Spurs fan agreed with it, so the talk shifted to Johnson/Jones/picks. I personally don't think Garland makes sense, but let's build something around that.
Draft-Day Trade:
Spurs trade Jones, Johnson, Wesley, 8, CHA25 and ATL25 to CLE for Garland and 20.
Spurs trade Graham, second(s) and the cash to cover his guaranteed salary to Detroit for a fake second
Draft:
At 4, the Spurs select Castle
At 20, the Spurs select Klintman
At 35, the Spurs select Mitc
At 48, the Spurs select Mogbo (two-way)
Free Agency:
The Spurs would enter the summer with just shy of $25 Million in cap space and the RE to fill three spots.
I'll make some people's days and have all that cap space to go Patrick Williams on a $106.8M/4 deal. Since this is an "ideal" off-season, Chicago just lets him go that contract. Otherwise, the Spurs would give the Bulls their 2025 pick back in return for them not matching. In that scenario, they could add Champangie to the deal to push the value up to $119.7M/4. But that's getting a bit crazy given everything going on with Williams. Just like with the Bulls pick, I'm going to assume that extra money isn't needed.
With the room exception, the Spurs sign Keenan Evans from Europe. I have no idea what the exchange rate is between the leagues right now. Maybe the RE isn't enough. Maybe a min deal is good enough. But he does seem like a pretty typical sixth man, especially if that 6-3 height listing is without shoes.
Finally, to wrap things up, the Spurs bring back Barlow for one last year, with his versatility allowing him to offer depth at PF and center.
Below is the roster after all this plays out:
Garland, Castle, Evans
Vassell, Branham, Mitc
Williams, Champangie, Cissoko
Sochan, Klintman, Barlow
Wembanyama, Collins, Bassey
TW: Mogbo and two other prospects picked up off the heap
(additions to the main roster in bold)
Thoughts: The bench is extremely worrisome in this scenario. Maybe Evans and Mitc provide immediate dividends, and the second unit is Evans, Mitc , Castle, Champangie, Collins. But this once again highlights the issues with trading Johnson in this types of deal. The sixth-man market has inflated even faster than the salary cap has. Even the full MLE isn't enough for most of those guys. Finding even just a good rotation player for the room exception is asking a lot. Evans looks to be more of a combo-guard in a bad way. He has respectable assist numbers, but he's more of a gunner than a creator. He can put vertical pressure on a defense, though, which is something that's not the case for the current guards.
But obviously the real heart of this off-season would be to create a Garland/Vassell/Wembanyama Big Three with Sochan and Williams supporting. I don't like the Garland fit, though I've been told that Darius is a good PnR player who'd improve beyond his All-Star status with a guy like Wemby to pass to. Perhaps with these three, the Spurs wouldn't need to worry about their bench much. But knowing how Pop does rotations, I think sixth man is still important. Considering what the Spurs will have paid to make this happen, I don't feel like they're even dark-horse contenders. Maybe in after two years of this core, they would be. But by then Sochan would be a free agent. After these moves, the Spurs would be $17.3 Million over the cap. They'd still be well under the tax, but they'd lose the benefit of having mostly flat or declining contracts and instead take Garland's, Williams' and Evans' raises. This means the Spurs could end up being a tax team after re-signing Sochan and making more draft picks.
There are worse scenarios out there, but I'd prefer a more conservative approach to rebuilding for the next couple of years.