The annual vastly overrating the next year's draft is in full effect.
To further elaborate: IF ATL wanted to blow it up internally and thought that was the best path, obviously getting their 25 pick back would be imperative. But besides that, on just raw value alone, I dont think its a stretch to say that if Sarr, Risacher and Reed were in the 25’ draft instead of this one, that none of the 3 would go top 10.
So in that regard you are trading pick 12-18 next year for full control over your own pick more or less. Do you think theres a solid chance that you can get an equal player to Risacher, Sarr or Reed at pick 12-18 next year if you are ATL worst case alongside being able to blow it up and truly tank if you want to?
You better value Risacher/Sarr a wholeeeeee lot to argue that its not fair value IMO
The annual vastly overrating the next year's draft is in full effect.
No. Even if the 2025 ATL pick falls in the 8-12 range and doesn’t jump up into the top 4, it’s a far better draft, and that pick may well be better than 1 in this draft. If it does jump into the top 4, you’ve ed up your chance t draft Wemby’s co-star.
This draft is crap, and NO resources should be spent to move up.
Yeah, I see the Spurs' trading down from 8 if anything this year.
You’re overvaluing their current talent. ATL won’t finish 12-18, they’ll likely finish 6-12. They’ve been going backwards for 3-4 years, and I see no reason for that to change. Their ownership seems tax averse, and they’ve been offloading players to save money, with little return.
Is it that or underrating this draft?
Agree. I would not do the deal if I were SA. I was gaming it out for those saying ATL wouldn’t do it or would be “crazy” to do it
At least there's a clear #1 prospect. This year I've seen about 6 people in that top spot on projections.
Wasn't Ron Holland a clear #1 prospect coming out of high school?
"Scoot is a generational talent. He would absolutely go number one in any other draft."
Not said by me, lol. I was never high on Scoot or Amen or Ausar or as even top 3 picks unlike much of the board. The beautiful thing is I put that on record here on multiple threads.
Next year has Cooper Flagg. People are already calling it the Cooper Flagg draft just as tge called last year the Wemby draft. Not quite sure how to respond to your post other than those two points above...wasn't me saying that about Scoot and next year is clearly defined which was my original point.
How does that relate to what I posted on next year's draft already being known as the Cooper Flagg sweepstakes other than youre referencing their status' coming out of HS? I certainly never heard Hollands draft after HS be referred to as the Ron Holland sweepstakes
Last edited by offset formation; 06-24-2024 at 12:25 PM.
I'd bet money that Cooper Flagg is going to have a good, but not exceptional year at Duke. He's a physical specimen against high schoolers without a lot of polish, and he cannot shoot. Once people actually watch him play it's going to be feeding season. Good, but not generational. Fortunately the draft looks really solid at top anyway.
It's Cooper Flagg draft because ESPN needs something to market.
Who knows how's draft going to look this time next year.
Still think Sarr ends up going 1st Overall, but this is the Hawks we're talking about here so who knows tbh.
Why would anyone take this bet? You're not making any money on Risacher and there's a good chance he doesn't get picked there.
Didn't Jabari Smith Jr have the best odds to be picked at #1 in 2022 draft and then he dropped to #3?
Most likely outcome (and I say likely very loosely here lol):
Sarr, Risacher, Reed top 3.
So SA, unless they trade up, starts with that base of players being gone by 4 IMO
Fully agree. Castle at 4 is perfect form me though cause he's my pet cat in this draft, though I'd honestly be happy with any of those top 4 guys tbh.
Yup. Similar situation too. Banchero hadn't worked out with Orlando either, but they were able to land a last-minute sit down with him and then selected him a couple days later.
Salaun at 4 would be a disaster. Legit.
**Taking a swing on Salaun at 8 is one thing, but drafting him over Castle or Sheppard at 4 would be another. I'd never forgive BW tbh.
Last edited by BatManu20; 06-24-2024 at 12:59 PM.
That’s too steep a price to pay in my book for such a flat draft. I like Risacher too and he’s #1 on my draft board, but I certainly wouldn’t give back Atlanta’s 2025 pick for him. The most I’d be willing to give up is pick #35, which the Hawks probably would say no to. Given that, I’d be happy to let them pick whoever they want at #1 and then pick the highest available player on our draft board at #4.
Givony has been a massive backer of Risacher throughout the cycle. There's no other player he's pushed so relentlessly and over-praisingly. He's also the one who created and is still pushing the narrative of the Spurs trading up and giving a lot for him.
A lot of what he's saying is kind of bull , too. So what if Risacher is showing as a better passer in workouts? What the are workouts? How does he pass in actual games? ty.
Why does it matter if he initiates contact in workouts? He shies away from it in games. WTF.
Based on the latest ESPN mock, the Spurs’ big board appears to be:
1. Risacher
2. Sheppard
3. Castle
4. Dillingham
5. Buzelis
6. Knecht
7. Williams
8. Salaun
9. Topic
The mock also stated that the Spurs will take a “best player available” approach to both picks, which means picking the highest available player on this big board for both #4 and #8.
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