Someone has to jump, but you don't base your entire season on fairly low odds when you already have your franchise player and a couple more young players that need development.
Tankathon has Spurs at #9 and Hawks at #10, that would be good enough. Iirc, 32% chance to jump into top4.
I see Wemby as a sure thing. The most important thing for this season will be the evaluation of everyone else.
Devin's contract will be great even if he keeps this level, but we need to see if he can take the next step and be a legit second option.
Jeremy made no improvements to his offense whatsoever other than his FT form. If he keeps stagnating, there will be serious discussions about his future because he'll be up for an extension next summer.
Castle's development is probably the most important thing. If we can develop him into a two-way point guard, we struck gold. If not, it's going to be another disappointing pick because the value of a non-shooting off guard is severely limited.
Branham, Wesley, Cissoko and Mamu have one more season to show us something, but they're most likely gone.
I'm a firm believer that winning is the best thing for development. We obviously won't win 45-50 games with this roster, but trying to actually win every game would be an improvement.