The Official Kamala Harris is Doing Awesome Thread

[SnakeBoy]

Holy just saw this

Is this real or AI????

The cringe is ing apocalyptic

Had to stop it. Was just embarrassed at myself and all involved

Holy that was bad

[Ef-man]

Nate Silver, oof

Harris 49%
Felon 46.7%

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-si...on-polls-model

[TSA]

Nate Silver, oof

Harris 49%
Felon 46.7%

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-si...on-polls-model

Now show Nate Silver's odds from 3 weeks ago and show how much she's collapsed since then.

[ChumpDumper]

Now show Nate Silver's odds from 3 weeks ago and show how much she's collapsed since then.

The betting odds?

The probability she will win?

How are those determined?

[TSA]

The betting odds?

The probability she will win?

How are those determined?

Nate Silver has a whole thing written up on how he runs his model. If you are curious look it up.

[ChumpDumper]

Nate Silver has a whole thing written up on how he runs his model. If you are curious look it up.

So you don't know how any of it is calculated?

[TSA]

So you don't know how any of it is calculated?

I read it a while back when he left 538 and I don't remember the details. If you are curious look it up.

[ChumpDumper]

I read it a while back when he left 538 and I don't remember the details. If you are curious look it up.

So you don't know how any of it is calculated.

[hater]

[TSA]

Nate Silver, oof

Harris 49%
Felon 46.7%

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-si...on-polls-model

dip ...you just posting his polling aggregate

His probability today has her dropping 3.9% over the last week

oof

[TSA]

So you don't know how any of it is calculated.

I don't remember the details. Since you are too lazy to look it up here you go. All of this was easily found in Ef-man's link.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/model-methodology-2024

There are even more links within that link to satisfy your curiosity. Enjoy

[ChumpDumper]

I don't remember the details. Since you are too lazy to look it up here you go. All of this was easily found in Ef-man's link.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/model-methodology-2024

There are even more links within that link to satisfy your curiosity. Enjoy

So you don't know how any of it is calculated. Nothing about polymarket at all. I do enjoy your getting pissy about your own ignorance

[TSA]

So you don't know how any of it is calculated. I do enjoy your getting pissy about your own ignorance

I don't care how it's calculated. You asked and you were provided the link. Was there a point to you asking how it was calculated or did you just want to do 20 questions until I get bored and ignore you and then you say I folded and you claim another imaginary victory? Your schtik is TIRED dude.

Getting pissy You project more than any other poster here. It's a clear tell that you're flustered.

I'm currently enjoying watching you flail around. You're doing great keep up the good work. Looking forward to your next projections.

[ChumpDumper]

I don't care how it's calculated.

We know all you care about is getting back at us.

[LkrFan]

[TSA]

Polls and odds are constantly changing, but here's where each candidate stood as of 3 p.m. on Oct. 17, 2024:

ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls at 48.5% to Trump at 46.1%. In the past, Harris has led Trump by as many as 4 percentage posts, though more recent polls show them much closer.
270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.2% over Trump.
Realclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris' favor with a spread of +1.5 over Trump.

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news...s/75723475007/

Keep digging though so you can keep the oof posts going. Seems like fun.

Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48%

Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.

[ChumpDumper]

Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48%

Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.

So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?

[ChumpDumper]

Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48%

Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.

So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?

Or was that 2 days ago?

And is this all polymarket now or an actual Silver model?

This all seems to be getting intentionally comingled tbh.

[Ef-man]

So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?

Or was that 2 days ago?

And is this all polymarket now or an actual Silver model?

This all seems to be getting intentionally comingled tbh.

$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in the Felon's Favor on Polymarket

Polymarket

Four different accounts have pumped $30 million into the betting site Polymarket, swaying the site’s prediction in favor of a felon's victory. The two candidates have been neck and neck since Harris entered the race in August, but the felon pulled ahead with a commanding lead in October. News that someone or someones have dumped tens of millions of dollars into the market and swayed the odds is further proof that Polymarket, and other predictive betting sites, are easy to manipulate and not a reflection of reality.

https://gizmodo.com/30-million-is-all-it-took-to-shift-the-odds-in-polymarket

[Blake]

Melon Usk is one of the cringiest weird moda as in history

He starts acting like a retatded child when on stage

Hes a walking cringe fest

And you're nowhere to be found when everyone is making fun of him. Weird.

[Blake]

Not only was your Real Clear Polling percentage way off but 538 forecast has Trump at 52% and Harris at 48%

Time to break out your copium because your hopium article is all out of gas.

So you're saying the article lied? Interesting.

[Blake]

So Harris has a 56% chance of winning and Trump has a 44% chance of winning?

Or was that 2 days ago?

And is this all polymarket now or an actual Silver model?

This all seems to be getting intentionally comingled tbh.

Lol

Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.

Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, Lib S!

[Ef-man]

Lol

Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.

Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, Lib S!

qtsa picking both sides so he can say, see I was right!

[Winehole23]

Lol

Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.

Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, Lib S!

[TSA]

Lol

Tsa chart: Harris wins 56 times/100 Trump wins 44/100.

Tsa: BusT ouT the cOpiUm, Lib S!

Where the are you getting Harris 56% and Trump 44%?

The tweet I posted with the new 538 prediction has Trump 52% and Harris 48%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/