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  1. #5326
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    So you're saying the article lied? Interesting.
    Lied? Not at all. 538 just completely changed their prediction model after you posted it thinking 538's prediction was good for Harris

  2. #5327
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Where the are you getting Harris 56% and Trump 44%?

    The tweet I posted with the new 538 prediction has Trump 52% and Harris 48%.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/


    And that's polymarket?

  3. #5328
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    And that's polymarket?
    Are you drunk today trying to cope? It's literally linked in my post you quoted.

  4. #5329
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Are you drunk today trying to cope? It's literally linked in my post you quoted.
    Just trying to make sure about what you're basing your ownage on today. There is more than one thing you're posting.

    So you're most excited about the polymarket stuff that reflects the money that has been put into it the past few days?

    Just answer yes or no without all the pissiness.

  5. #5330
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    presenting things in a confusing way then clowning others for being confused is classic TSA

    (so is TSA not understanding what he's posted)

  6. #5331
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    This thing that works in a way of which I have no knowledge whatsoever says a thing that's a little different from two days ago and it completely owns you for indeterminate reasons! Aren't you angry right now? Answer me!

  7. #5332
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Lied? Not at all. 538 just completely changed their prediction model after you posted it thinking 538's prediction was good for Harris
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...2024/national/

    Real time right now ^

    Harris +2.1

  8. #5333
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Where the are you getting Harris 56% and Trump 44%?

    The tweet I posted with the new 538 prediction has Trump 52% and Harris 48%.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/


    Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.

    You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?

  9. #5334
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    NO STUPID IDIOT THAT'S THE OTHER THING THAT SAYS 538 WE'RE TALKING ABOUT THE GUY WHO USED TO BE 538 BUT ISN'T 538 BUT HAS 538 IN HIS SCREEN NAME AND MAKES MODELS BUT WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT HIS MODELS EITHER WE'RE TALKING ABOUT PETER THIEL'S GAMBLING WEBSITE THAT AMERICANS CAN'T LEGALLY USE AND CHANGES ACCORDING TO WHATEVER ANOYMOUS CRYPTO BETS ARE THROWN AT IT THE 538 BUT NOT 538 ANYMORE GUY WORKS FOR THAT SITE YOU'RE IN A TAILSPIN LOL

  10. #5335
    Yam Tits's Bonespur Xray Ef-man's Avatar
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    Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.

    You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
    So much for his “Answer me, answer me, answer me!!!!”

  11. #5336
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Honestly the TSA & Qompany feverbuzz created by these few million dollars worth of bets is better ROI than any conventional campaign donation.

    Do that and throw some comically low rated polls into closely watched averages and you can fake a tighter race until you make it.

  12. #5337
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Jesus Christ you’re re ed, that isn’t the 538 forecast that was in the article you thought was good for Harris and that isn’t “real time”.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/

    This is the 538 forecast and the graph will change once their update from TODAY that I linked is input

    For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.

  13. #5338
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.

    You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
    Have you never seen a tweet? Can you not read dates? That’s from two days ago and the top tweet is from 538’s update today. Posted so the change can be seen.

  14. #5339
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    presenting things in a confusing way then clowning others for being confused is classic TSA

    (so is TSA not understanding what he's posted)
    There is nothing confusing about what I posted unless you’re developmentally disabled.

  15. #5340
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Just trying to make sure about what you're basing your ownage on today. There is more than one thing you're posting.

    So you're most excited about the polymarket stuff that reflects the money that has been put into it the past few days?

    Just answer yes or no without all the pissiness.
    I haven’t once brought up Polymarket. Seriously, are you drunk?

  16. #5341
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    There is nothing confusing about what I posted unless you’re developmentally disabled.
    You've been posting numbers produced in a way you can't explain and don't care to know. We are confused about why we are supposed to feel bad about them.

  17. #5342
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    NO STUPID IDIOT THAT'S THE OTHER THING THAT SAYS 538 WE'RE TALKING ABOUT THE GUY WHO USED TO BE 538 BUT ISN'T 538 BUT HAS 538 IN HIS SCREEN NAME AND MAKES MODELS BUT WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT HIS MODELS EITHER WE'RE TALKING ABOUT PETER THIEL'S GAMBLING WEBSITE THAT AMERICANS CAN'T LEGALLY USE AND CHANGES ACCORDING TO WHATEVER ANOYMOUS CRYPTO BETS ARE THROWN AT IT THE 538 BUT NOT 538 ANYMORE GUY WORKS FOR THAT SITE YOU'RE IN A TAILSPIN LOL

  18. #5343
    Yam Tits's Bonespur Xray Ef-man's Avatar
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    Rofl. I'm literally posting word for word the blue line and the red line at the bottom of your chart.

    You know, the part that shows Harris 278/ Trump 260?
    Ignore the 4:07PM Oct 18, 2024 time stamp

  19. #5344
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    I haven’t once brought up Polymarket. Seriously, are you drunk?
    the word "Polymarket" is right there in your posts. Seriously, are you drunk?

  20. #5345
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    You've been posting numbers produced in a way you can't explain and don't care to know. We are confused about why we are supposed to feel bad about them.
    538 is an aggregate of polls. Do you know what aggregate means or does that confuse you?

  21. #5346
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    538 is an aggregate of polls. Do you know what aggregate means or does that confuse you?
    Honestly the TSA & Qompany feverbuzz created by these few million dollars worth of bets is better ROI than any conventional campaign donation.

    Do that and throw some comically low rated polls into closely watched averages and you can fake a tighter race until you make it.
    If I'm supposed to be upset by a bunch of polls that haven't moved out of the MoE, lol.

  22. #5347
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    the word "Polymarket" is right there in your posts. Seriously, are you drunk?
    I clearly posted that with the 538 presidential update and never once referenced Polymarket and have never referenced Polymarket. And that says Polymarket senate odds at the bottom of the tweet which I’ve never once brought up. Are you drunk? I’ve never seen you flail around this desperate before.

  23. #5348
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    If I'm supposed to be upset by a bunch of polls that haven't moved out of the MoE, lol.
    If you weren’t upset you wouldn’t spend this much effort trying to discredit them.

  24. #5349
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    If you weren’t upset you wouldn’t spend this much effort trying to discredit them.
    There's nothing to discredit.

    They're all within their MoEs.

    That fact discredits you.

  25. #5350
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Enjoy your weekend Chump. Hopefully you can log off and cool down a bit before your partner gets home. Maybe try and sober up as well


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