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  1. #5351
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Ignore the 4:07PM Oct 18, 2024 time stamp
    Ignore the 10/16 date clearly at the top of the tweet and the 10/18 538 update from the tweet above it. You just keep digging a deeper hole and Blake is right down there with you helping shovel dirt

  2. #5352
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Enjoy your weekend Chump. Hopefully you can log off and cool down a bit before your partner gets home. Maybe try and sober up as well

    Maybe you can log off and cool down a bit before seeing your kids. Maybe try and sober up as well and understand what MoE means someday.


  3. #5353
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    I haven’t once brought up Polymarket. Seriously, are you drunk?
    538 and 270 to win are National polling aggregates. It doesn't take an expert to understand that if Harris is under 3 in a National Poll that means Trump wins the electoral college.

    Real Clear Polling betting odds are not Harris +1.5---Trump 58.1 to Harris 40.4

    https://www.realclearpolling.com/bet...2024/president

    Betting Odds - 2024 U.S. President

    2020 U.S. President Betting Odds

    RCP Betting Average: U.S. President | GOP Nomination | Dem Nomination
    Betting Odds Data
    Betting Odds


    Trump Harris
    RCP Average 58.1 40.4

    BetOnline 59 39
    Betfair 56 39
    Betsson 58 43
    Bovada 59 40
    Bwin 59 42
    Points Bet 60 43
    Polymarket 58 37
    Smarkets 56 40
    Were you drunk five hours ago too?

  4. #5354
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Were you drunk five hours ago too?
    Blake brought up the Real Clear Polling betting odds and that was a response to him. You are so ing desperate for a win right now. I’ve never seen you grasping this hard

  5. #5355
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Maybe you can log off and cool down a bit before seeing your kids. Maybe try and sober up as well and understand what MoE means someday.

    Having to go back and edit this post to try and get a dig in at me about my kids because you’re tailspinning so hard

  6. #5356
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Having to go back and edit this post to try and get a dig in at me about my kids because you’re tailspinning so hard
    Having to log back in as soon as you get home after trying to get a dig in about my partner because you're tailspinning so hard

  7. #5357
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Blake brought up the Real Clear Polling betting odds and that was a response to him. You are so ing desperate for a win right now. I’ve never seen you grasping this hard
    you say this every single time. It's boring. Get to the exciting stuff.

  8. #5358
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    If Trump really were a threat to democracy, Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin would not be featuring him favorably in ads.

  9. #5359
    Believe.
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    If Trump really were a threat to democracy, Bob Casey and Tammy Baldwin would not be featuring him favorably in ads.



  10. #5360
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    Repping a gay from Puerto Rico

  11. #5361
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    Holy



    Is Biden the first president to develop full on Dementia in office?

  12. #5362
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    Rust Belt Democrats are running ads aligning themselves with Donald Trump and running away from the Biden-Harris Administration.

    Tell me again about "low quality" polls.

  13. #5363
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    So USA is suppose to bail other counties out ?
    They are not part of the 50 states of USA !

  14. #5364
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Jesus Christ you’re re ed, that isn’t the 538 forecast that was in the article you thought was good for Harris and that isn’t “real time”.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/

    This is the 538 forecast and the graph will change once their update from TODAY that I linked is input

    For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.
    I'd never heard of this 538 site before now. I see now what I Googled was the general vote where Kamala still has the lead. What changed today was the electoral vote where Trump finally for the FIRST time took a small lead. If that's what you were referring to, why couldn't you say that? Are you this ty at communication or are you trying for emoji scoreboard points?

    Just for future reference, is the site we're going to say is the one we're all going to refer to? Just making sure in case Harris takes a lead again and you find other polls to pick from and avoid this one.

  15. #5365
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Holy



    Is Biden the first president to develop full on Dementia in office?
    Trump would be the 2nd if elected. But you think Harris is still somehow dumber.

  16. #5366
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?

  17. #5367
    coffee's for closers FrostKing's Avatar
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    I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?
    F Polls. American politics are like a American Idol presentation.

    Long live my America

  18. #5368
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?
    Dozens of red team polls have dropped this month. They did this maneuver in 2022 as well to game the polling averages, we all know how that turned out.

  19. #5369
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    The difference is, this time Rs juking the stats will become a pretext for another attempt to throw out the election and install the loser.

  20. #5370
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    The difference is, this time Rs juking the stats will become a pretext for another attempt to throw out the election and install the loser.
    Gotcha makes sense

  21. #5371
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    e.g.,


  22. #5372
    Believe.
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    I just find it kinda fishy that all these polls have magically “shifted” all of the sudden without really anything happening. It sorta made sense in 2016 with the whole Comey stuff . But Trump is literally falling apart in front of us in real time and now all of these polls are trending Trump?
    its part of the GOP/Russian/Rt wing dis/misinformation election scam...

    they are desperate and are flooding the polls and the internet/social media sphere with - among other election interference/coup attempts now and in the next few weeks until trump loses and they try to steal the office again...

    plain to see if you have paid any attention...

  23. #5373
    Believe.
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    HATER not too obvious- as evidenced by his flooding the board with in thread after thread -

    not too obvious HATER is in a panic and has received his russian marching orders ...

  24. #5374
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    its part of the GOP/Russian/Rt wing dis/misinformation election scam...

    they are desperate and are flooding the polls and the internet/social media sphere with - among other election interference/coup attempts now and in the next few weeks until trump loses and they try to steal the office again...

    plain to see if you have paid any attention...
    Well the social media thing is pretty obvious. I just didn’t know that they could sway the polls like that .

  25. #5375
    Yam Tits's Bonespur Xray Ef-man's Avatar
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    In a close race, interesting stat from 538 (Oct 18, 2024) overlooked by shook poster:

    Unfavorable view of the felon: 52.6%
    Favorable view of the felon: 43.2%

    oof

    Unfavorable view of Harris: 47.2%
    Favorable view of Harris: 46.5%

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