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Mavs coming out of the gate like a bunch of newly waxed assholes
When are the lottery odds for 12 and 13?
Mavs coming out of the gate like a bunch of newly waxed assholes
Did Miami lose thier first round pick by winning?
Yes and happily. Otherwise they would have owed their 2026 and 2028 firsts unprotected.
tbh I think likely this pick get traded for future pick again
To be fair exstatic has been pounding on this drum all season long. The Hawks were simply way worse than their record suggested lucking out with bunch of wacky early wins vs Cleveland, Boston and injured Bucks coupled with few Trae buzzer beaters..Sure they aren't a bottom 6 team, but i expect them be in the 8-14 pick range again next season.
Definitely could see us trading the pick lol although I could see the spurs taking a swing on Nolan Traore with it
This is an accurate description of the suckfest we are witnessing at the moment
When would they do the coin flip to determine lottery odds?
Wow. What were the conditions of the pick, and who is it owed to?
So nice to see it reflected on tankarhon!
I think to OKC.
Lol. You sling some of the best .
Love it.
That one time you got truly excited during a game and wanted to see how far Wemby could get in your butthole was legendary.
Thanks. In either case we went from just over 26% chance at a top 4 pick to 30%. I’ll take it.
Tried to type a long answer but apparently no one has fed the hamster today so the site barely works and couldn’t post it.
2026 to OKC, 2028 to Charlotte.
I think that the probability is less than 30% as the two draws are independent. We are probably closer to 28-29%. Still better than 26.4%.
Yeah it’s almost like going from the 8th spot odds to the 7th spot odds. Now if the Mavs win the Spurs odds will jump even higher to like almost the same odds as the 6th spot Brooklyn Nets.
I don’t think that you simply add the odds. If you have the 1st and 2nd picks, you don’t have 104% chance of getting a top4 pick, you can still end up with the 5 and 6. If Atlanta were to get the 12th pick (pretty unlikely seeing the Mavs game), the chance for a top4 pick would be around 32%.
Honestly, I think they might be better next season with Jalen Johnson back and whoever they take with the Kings' pick. East is gonna tank even harder next season with the top 3/4 of the 2026 draft being even better than this year as a whole.
Unfortunately, I’m like this at work and around family/friends, it has mixed results
It depends on how many East teams decide to tank for Dybantsa. There were a load this year, and ATL still wound up in the lottery. If even a couple teams decide to go the Detroit route and actually win, ATL could slip even further. Trae could also ask out. He has an option, and can be a UFA in 2026. He could force their hand. Or, ATL could decide they don’t want to pay Trae $70M to lead a treadmill team, and just unilaterally cash out on him.
Hopefully they don't trade him tbh; he'll keep them from being even better imo. I could see teams like the Heat and Bucks blowing it up this offseason to tank with only Toronto potentially challenging to take their place. Gonna have to see what happens over the next few months but the Spurs should look to move off the Atlanta picks for better value if possible.
Good point. For what it’s worth the AI tells me that by controlling 8 and 14, the Spurs’ chances of securing:
1) a top-four pick in the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery increase from 26.2% (with only their own pick) to approximately 28.0%.
2) No. 1 pick in the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery increase from 6.0% (with only their own pick) to approximately 6.47%.
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