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the cope
Rudy
the cope
Aurora, Colorado
Came in third
The Trump-aligned Aurora City Council member at the center of the Tren de Aragua apartment-takeover debate has conceded the race after lagging behind two progressive candidates: Alli Jackson and Rob Andrews.
"I have served my hometown and all of you with every ounce of passion, loyalty, and heart that I have," she wrote in a post on X, formerly Twitter.https://denverite.com/2025/11/05/aur...gressive-flip/“It’s a sea change for Aurora. We are going from having seven conservatives and three progressives to six progressives and four conservatives,” said Councilmember Alison Coombs, a self-described leftist who was not up for re-election this year.
big, big shift in GA
https://almanacofamericanpolitics.su...24-performanceOf the 22 counties Democrats flipped—the most populous of which were Paulding and Fayette on the outskirts of Atlanta—many were enabled by a substantial blue shift.
Seven of the counties that voted Democratic for public service commissioner gave Harris between 35% and 38% of the vote just a year earlier. Nine others gave Harris between 40% and 45%. The remaining six gave Harris between 46% and 49% of the vote.
GOP special election turnout has been dog for a decade. Not really big news. Next year will be more of an actual harbinger.
The GOP does seem to be treating the healthcare cliff as a problem now, and I think you can firmly place that on election results from last Tuesday
VA hasn't had 60 Democrats in the House of Delegates since the 1980s
if a legislative supermajority cuts no ice with you, by all means, hit the snooze bar
.....and yet the state supreme court still has a conservative majority, and Youngkin will be sure to keep that intact as best he can in the next ~2 months
ergo: the Democrats won't be able to gerrymander the snake district map they want.
60 seats isn't a supermajority in almost every other state.
it's an impressive win, but it's still a special election and Sears was a historically bad governor candidate for VA
MM with the slap on Wine Ho.....lmao
Paul amendment goes down 78-22
Hemp products will be re-criminalized with a hard cap of .4mg THC per container
“any intermediate hemp-derived cannabinoid products which are marketed or sold as a final product or directly to an end consumer for personal or household use”
Mamdani was at the White House today. I didn't know Elise Stefanik had called him a "Jihadist". She is awful. How vile can you get?
Poor Stefanik
She tries so hard to get Trump's attention, but he wouldn't piss on her if she was on fire
Apparently Elise just doubled down on the claim, but that's how "Macho Man" GOP politics seem to work these days.Poor Stefanik
She tries so hard to get Trump's attention, but he wouldn't piss on her if she was on fire
https://www.newsnationnow.com/politi...onal-district/
Tennessee AOC
Van Epps won by over 8%, which is bad for Dems for a special election, i.e. the party of special elections, even in a ~Trump + 20% seat.
Trump plus 22
It wasn't close, but that's not a good margin for Rs -- minus 14 points compared to last year
If that margin were generalized next year, Rs lose both the House and Senate
(House by ~50)
Pfffttt
Rightlys knew we’re gonna smoke Tenn AOC
Lots didn’t show cause they knew it was a blow out
Lefties blew all that $$ (it’s what they do) on a lost cause
Reading anything into this other than a blow out is misguided
DON'T WRITE THAT WE WERE SCARED
Calm down spaz
Congratulations guys! You did it!
lol gloating over a gimme
Unfortunately for you, the dems are the party of special elections and off year, off beat elections, and the republicans do actually show up for general elections. In midterms a higher volume, generally more educated (but somewhat more moderate/pro choice) GOP electorate turns out, and in president elections it's the magacore base, oddly the more educated Republican voters tend to vote slightly more in the midterms than in presidential years but it's not by a lot, but it was enough to flip a few seats in CA and NY red in 2022 that flipped back blue in 2024. The magacore vote is comprised of a lot of evangelicals who don't give a damn about anything down-ballot. But the black democrat vote is often the exact inverse and also low turnout in midterms.
The democrats do well when they can zone in on a single election that they can put all their eggs in that the average conservative voter doesn't see as priority and maybe the national GOP party takes for granted, like the Alabama special election for Senate in 2017, no way in that should have ever gone blue but it did, which shows the Trump era GOP are actually slightly improving in special elections for what it's worth, though the democrats are still clearly the superior party there
The seat went to the in bent by 21%, and you would expect the dems to overperform in a special election with an open seat with a GOP president, that's always how it's worked. The final margin was R+9 which, sure on the surface looks bad for Republicans, but when you take into account that the special election electorate is never as blue anywhere as any general election midterm or presidential, maybe you can average it out and say Dems overperform by half of that, so about 5% compared to what they did in 2024, which still is losing in the House given the new maps and the senate races will be individualized on a state by state case and absolutely no guarantee that the national generic popular vote will be the deciding factor of any of those outcomes, similar to the D's winning very specific Senate and Governor races in the R+4 environment of 2022.
basing projections for 2026 on blue tsunami bloodbath midterms like 2006 which was definitely pre-polarization is beyond misguided, it's fallacy.
basing projections on 2024 voting patterns may prove to be misguided
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