Reply With Quote
response bias - you can shift all those organically to the right by about 5%. though, I don't think Minnesota is really in play, and Ohio won't vote to the left of Maine, but the Dems may actually be in trouble in New Hampshire
Senate polling update, per Nate Silver:
ALASKA 🔵 +1.2%
FLORIDA 🔴 +5.3%
GEORGIA 🔵 +8.4%
IOWA ⚪ +0.0% (TIED)
KANSAS 🔴 +3.6%
MAINE 🔵 +4.0%
MICHIGAN 🔵 +2.9%
MINNESOTA 🔵 +4.8%
NORTH CAROLINA 🔵 +8.7%
NEBRASKA 🔴 +0.9%
NEW HAMPSHIRE 🔵 +3.1%
OHIO 🔵 +4.1%
TEXAS 🔵 +2.4%
GENERIC BALLOT 🔵 +8.1%
response bias - you can shift all those organically to the right by about 5%. though, I don't think Minnesota is really in play, and Ohio won't vote to the left of Maine, but the Dems may actually be in trouble in New Hampshire
ChumpDumper , since you wanted specificity
the New York Giants one was literally just outsmarting the market. Because the average casual better doesn't know specifics about how football timing works in terms of two minute warning, 40 second playclocks, timeouts, etc. Literally the bet was made after the facemask so I made almost $1400 just to watch the Giants take a ing knee three times.
Dems +12 with likely voters and named candidates in Economist poll
in line with NYT polling
Rasmussen
Georgia - Senate Polling :
��Ossoff: 51%*
��Collins: 42%
Rasmussen / Sept 14, 2026
Marquette
today.marquette.edu/2026/09/new-...
New Marquette Law School national survey finds Democrats expand lead on congressional ballot: 54% of likely voters say they will vote for a Democrat, while 41% say they will vote for a Republican.
imagine 1994, but with Rs losing
https://reconmr.com/wp-content/uploa...ease-Final.pdf
In 2022, Siena’s September Texas poll had Abbott leading Beto, 50-43, and their October poll had Abbott 52-43. He won, 55-44.
Beto led in just one public poll of that race, in November 2021, and never polled higher than 46 percent.
Tarrant County internal Republican polling, as reported by Quorum Report
Last edited by Winehole23; 09-21-2026 at 06:37 PM.
Fox shifts 15 election forecasts towards the Dems
midterms are a referendum on the government
GOP throws in the towel on NC Senate race
Posting Permissions
