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Very good breakdown
Overall, I think Hill's combine results are positive. That three-quarter quarter speed is really impressive and that's the first number I look at for a point guard. That's the result that Parker broke the all-time record when he tested out and made teams start recognizing him. He had something ridiculous like 2.85 ... which for him translated well to the basketball court.
Lane agility is something I look at when evaluating a bigman. It involves a lot of backpedaling and moves in the lane that most bigs need to be able to make to survive defensively. I never really look at it for point guards but yeah you are right that Hill's number is shockingly bad. After he got drafted I looked it up and it's a little bit scary because big center stiffs have had better numbers.
However, lane agility is really a drill that can be mastered. For example, a lot of draft prospects hook up with trainers who specifically work on that drill. They do it like 20 to 25 times a day for six weeks before the draft. Doing that can shave full seconds off the time. If Hill didn't prepare for it and if that was one of the first times he attempted the lane agility test, that could explain why his results were so bad.
As far as wingspan versus standing reach, I think wingspan is a tad more important for a point guard. A point guard with long arms who can reach and get steals is more important than a point guard who can jump up and contest a shot. Both of Hill's numbers look good enough.
Hill's vertical jump numbers are interesting. You are right that his no-step vert is pretty damn impressive but he didn't really improve as much as expected when going to his max vert. That could mean he jumps off of two feet a la Dominique Wilkins or again perhaps he just didn't get the training. Without knowing the proper procedure of how to take the steps in the max vert, you can easily not jump as high as possible.
The videos make him look bigger than his listed height ... which is a good sign. Dunking in traffic is impressive, considering he's probably exactly as tall as Parker. Being able to dunk isn't hugely important but knowing that the kid is athletic is important considering he's coming from a small school. A lot of non-athletes can do good at a small school.
Overall, the videos I've watched of him make him look pretty good. I'm obviously not sold yet but nothing has stood out to tell me he's going to fail. That lane agility time is concerning but we'll see if it actually translates to him being immobile on the court against NBA players.
His coach has compared him to Parker for a long time and watching the videos, he does have a lot of Parker in his games. He has the little tear drop in the lane. He uses english off the glass. He'll even post up in the lane and then use good footwork to score. He doesn't have the blinding speed but he can jump better.
I'm hopefully Hill can contribute right away in his rookie year. There's still a better than 50/50 shot he doesn't amount to anything but so far, I haven't seen any huge red flags. Ten to twelve minutes per game of energy and attacking is what I'm hoping out of him during the season.
