Most of the underlying assumptions they choose to feed into their equations are false.
How can one expect to get a meaningful true/false calculation of probability if your starting assumptions are flawed?
I am really tired of reading all your bull sites, and you not returning the favor.
Read a few debunking sites. Spend 1/100th of the time you spend on reading the conspiracy theories and read an opposing point of view.
What are you really afraid of?
What if you are wrong Dan?

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distilled from the 9/11 commission report. 