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  1. #226
    License to Lillard tlongII's Avatar
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    Did metmike18xx write this post for you? Any meteorologist who called Ike annular is piss poor at what they do. But I tell you what. Why don't we wait for the NHC post season write up on the storm. If they make any mention of Ike being an annular storm you can change my le to anything you want.

    You're right on the next subject; I can't be right or wrong in a situation where I didn't make a prediction. I didn't say you were wrong in this situation, did I? My assertion of you being wrong was in no way related to you saying it was going to get into the Gulf. It was completely related to your arguments over the structure of Ike and the forecast of Gustav. I made that extremely clear in my posts and have continued to do so. That you, Paki, and Luvbones can't discern that is not of my concern. If you want to continue the Sports bookie analogy keep in mind I never placed a bet on the game I merely gave you the pregame odds. Its like me telling you the Spurs are a 6:1 favorite to win the next game and you telling me I'm wrong when they don't. Do you see how foolish that is?

    As for metmike, why does this guy have any credibility? I know you keep comparing him to me and my name, but I wouldn't expect you to try to convince anyone of a point using something I posted and reference my screen name. I never CLAIMED to be a credible source on the subject and pointing that out doesn't automatically lend your chosen source credibility.

    I got defensive with Paki because I thought him calling me out was completely out of line. Of course when I defend myself It shows that while I'm a know it all who is condescending I also have a low self esteem. Its great, I'm labeled an egomaniac with low self esteem by our in house psychologists. Probably stayed at a holiday inn express.

    Anyway, I did notice that you weren't posting in the thread and I agree I was over the top with the insults against you. For the most part I think you're an intelligent person who makes good weather posts but I found (and still find) your annular arguments ridiculous as well as your analysis of the Gustav forecast. But hey, just like I never made a prediction on where Ike was going, I never claimed to be anything but a head.
    An egomaniac with low self esteem seems counter intuitive to me. I would just call you an asshole.

  2. #227
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    That was my point.

  3. #228
    Eat More Chips AlamoSpursFan's Avatar
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    I think I'm gonna need a bigger rain gauge...


  4. #229
    Veteran ATRAIN's Avatar
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    3 days out the average error is within 100nm. We're still a bit more than 3 days out from landfall I think, but its getting really really close. This is the NHC forcast track though, not any particular model.
    Manny where do you think it will hit as of right now?

  5. #230
    Veteran ATRAIN's Avatar
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    hey B2B if it hits, leave your wife and kids in SA and come up to Austin so we can get ed up downtown.

  6. #231
    needs a margarita
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    Too bad you didn't move to Michigan, Manny. I'm sure you'd have a blast predicting snow!

    I keed, I keed.

  7. #232
    I love J.T. smeagol's Avatar
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    Manny where do you think it will hit as of right now?
    (puts the trap, places the bait . . . and runs away)

  8. #233
    Veteran ATRAIN's Avatar
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    (puts the trap, places the bait . . . and runs away)
    I didn't go anywhere, I asked Manny his honest opinion on the last 3 TS/hurricaes. I really want to know what he thinks. This is the only topic where I value Manny's opinions and he knows that (or he should).

  9. #234
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Too bad you didn't move to Michigan, Manny. I'm sure you'd have a blast predicting snow!

    I keed, I keed.
    I'm going next weekend. I've never been so far north. I predict I'll probably die.

  10. #235
    Forum Official Personal Life Coach BacktoBasics's Avatar
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    hey B2B if it hits, leave your wife and kids in SA and come up to Austin so we can get ed up downtown.
    Would be fun.

  11. #236
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Its gonna hit the coast.

  12. #237
    Veteran ATRAIN's Avatar
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    Its gonna hit the coast.
    DUDE lol if you want to pm me where you think its going to land, that would be cool. I am just concerned for my family in the RGV, they are still recovering from ing Dolly.

  13. #238
    Forum Official Personal Life Coach BacktoBasics's Avatar
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    Its gonna hit the coast.
    I see what you did there.

  14. #239
    needs a margarita
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    I'm going next weekend. I've never been so far north. I predict I'll probably die.


    You need to go when the leaves start turning. You'll fall in love with autumn.

  15. #240
    Who is this guy, again? travis2's Avatar
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    DUDE lol if you want to pm me where you think its going to land, that would be cool. I am just concerned for my family in the RGV, they are still recovering from ing Dolly.

    I am pretty sure I know what you mean...at least, I hope I do...

  16. #241
    Veteran ATRAIN's Avatar
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    I am pretty sure I know what you mean...at least, I hope I do...
    LOL I guess I should say from Dolly ing them.

  17. #242
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Pun intended? I like evergreens. WTF is so special about dead leaves?

  18. #243
    Dr. Pepper Johnny_Blaze_47's Avatar
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    B2B just stay tuned dude. I honestly don't believe its going to be as bad as the media machine is making it out to be.
    You're going to die, ers.

  19. #244
    I heart 2Blonde PakiDan's Avatar
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    Please don't be so condescending to me, Paki. I resent you thinking you know more about life than me. I think you should apologize.
    I apologize.

    .... buit just for your info, I may know a *little* more about life.... I've been through school, been married, had 2 kids, been divorced, been to every state in the union, been sued, been in jail, had my heart broken, literally had my heart broken, been in love, and many many more, so please don't assume you are the end all authority on anything and everything.

  20. #245
    Mrs.Useruser666 SpursWoman's Avatar
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    A realistic worse-case scenario for Texas
    There is a significant chance that Ike will be the worst hurricane to hit Texas in over 40 years. The latest run of the HWRF and GFDL models paint a realistic worst-case scenario for Texas. These models bring Ike to the coast as a Category 4 hurricane (which I give a 20% probability of happening). The HWRF predicts a 170-mile stretch of coast will receive hurricane force winds of 74 mph or greater. A 100-mile stretch of coast will receive winds of Category 3 strength and higher, 115 mph. Hurricane force winds will push inland up to 50 miles, along a 50-mile wide region where the eyewall makes landfall. A 100-mile stretch of Texas coast will receive a storm surge of 10-15 feet, with bays just to the right of where the eye makes landfall receiving a 20-25 foot storm surge. This is what Hurricane Carla of 1961 did to Texas. Carla was a Category 4 hurricane with 145 mph winds at landfall, and drove a 10 foot or higher storm surge to a 180-mile stretch of Texas coast. A maximum storm surge of 22 feet was recorded at Port Lavaca, Texas. Despite the fact that the center of Carla hit over 120 miles southwest of Houston, the hurricane drove a 15-foot storm surge into the bays along the south side of the city.

  21. #246
    Veteran spursfan09's Avatar
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    are we going to really be feeling these hurricane cat 2 winds here in SA?

  22. #247
    Los Champs Los Spurs's Avatar
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    I wasn't paying much attention to this Hurricane Ike, until my cousin called me a few minutes ago and told me that they are going to open the Freeman Coliseum as a shelter.

  23. #248
    Owned by cats JudynTX's Avatar
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    The number of buses that have arrived in San Antonio to help evacuate residents along the Texas Gulf Coast fleeing from Hurricane Ike has increased to nearly 400, officials said Tuesday.

    Hundreds more are expected as the state continues to rev up its preparations for Ike’s landfall, now forecast to land somewhere near Corpus Christi on Saturday morning. Officials caution, however, that forecast can change as Ike churns away from Cuba — where it hit this weekend as a Category 3 storm — and into the warmer waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

    In preparation for Ike’s landfall, the San Antonio Volunteer Organizations Active in Disaster, or SAVOAD, opened up a volunteer operations center at Freeman Coliseum to aid in the recruitment of volunteers interested in helping those fleeing from the hurricane.

    Those wishing to help are asked to go to the coliseum’s Frontier Room, beginning at noon Wednesday to register for volunteer opportunities. The registration process includes the completion of an application, background check and orientation. Volunteers must be at least 18 years old, bring a photo id and come prepared with a schedule of availability. For more information or directions to the Freeman Coliseum, contact the Volunteer Operations Center at (210) 224-5365.

    Local officials also made pleas Tuesday for medical professionals to volunteer to help assist evacuees arriving in San Antonio. Everybody from doctors to nurses to medical students to mental health professionals wishing to volunteer were encouraged to call the Medical Volunteer Coordination Center at (210) 233-5910.

    Ike is currently a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 80 mph, but officials anticipate it could regain its strength as it moves into the gulf and make landfall along the Texas coast as a Category 3 storm.

    The threat prompted Gov. Rick Perry Tuesday to order the pre-deployment of state resources as Ike continues to barrel toward Texas.

    “We continue to closely monitor this storm and are preparing accordingly for its potential impact to our communities,” Perry said. “Hurricane Ike is making its way to the gulf as we speak, and it is imperative that residents pay attention to this storm, heed warnings from their local leaders and take the steps necessary to protect their families, homes and businesses.”

    On Monday, Perry issued a disaster declaration covering 88 Texas counties, including Bexar and surrounding counties. Local authorities mobilized the San Antonio Emergency Operations Center and began preparations to become a shelter city again for the second week in a row. Last week, San Antonio served as both a shelter and staging area for emergency personnel responding to Hurricane Gustav’s threat.

    One local shelter is already open and prepared to house up to 2,000 ambulance and bus drivers and other emergency personnel responding to Ike.

    Orlando Hernandez, Bexar County’s emergency management coordinator, said he anticipates up to 1,300 buses and between 250 and 300 ambulances to arrive in San Antonio, where they will wait to learn if, when and where they will be deployed.

    Federal Emergency Management Agency spokesman Peter Lembessis said FEMA officials who came here for Hurricane Gustav didn’t leave and would continue to stay in San Antonio in preparation for Hurricane Ike.

    Lembessis also said FEMA has pre-positioned people, equipment and supplies throughout Texas, including helping staff additional emergency operation centers in Austin, Denton and McAllen.

    He said aside from San Antonio, other staging facilities were in Austin, Beaumont, Dallas, Denton, Fort Worth, Houston, Lufkin, Marshall and Tyler.

    And the state of Oklahoma has agreed to shelter up to 12,500 evacuees with medical special needs.

    Officials with the San Antonio Emergency Operations Center said in addition to the buses being stationed at Port San Antonio, 22 ambulances were sent to Beeville, where they will await the storm.

    Electronic signs on the state’s freeways have already been programmed to urge residents along the coast to fuel up vehicles in preparation for Ike.

    People who cannot self-evacuate can let responders know who and where they are before an emergency or evacuation takes place by calling 211.

    link

  24. #249
    Hedo Layup Drill ShoogarBear's Avatar
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    Hey, B2B, you going to post some life lessons on How to Choose a Place to Live?

  25. #250
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    I apologize.

    .... buit just for your info, I may know a *little* more about life.... I've been through school, been married, had 2 kids, been divorced, been to every state in the union, been sued, been in jail, had my heart broken, literally had my heart broken, been in love, and many many more, so please don't assume you are the end all authority on anything and everything.
    Thats a really really really really really really presumptuous post. I wasn't aware your life experiences meant you knew more about life than mine. Thanks for the clarification though.

    Man Paki, for someone trying to act like I ever claim to be the end all authority on anything much less everything (find me a place where I've done that and I'll buy you a cookie, a big one) you sure do come off as a condescending know it all. Kinda funny. But I'll talk to you later, Pot.

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