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They're forcasting 25 foot storm surge? WTF? Thats nuts from a cat 2. I knew the surge would be higher than usual because of the large wind field but I didn't think it would be ing Katrina surge.
Holy Batman! This one has potential.
They're forcasting 25 foot storm surge? WTF? Thats nuts from a cat 2. I knew the surge would be higher than usual because of the large wind field but I didn't think it would be ing Katrina surge.
the people ing about not getting rain.
* Galveston and Houston are going to take it up the ass.
* 1/3 of the nation's refining capacity sits right in the bullseye as of the latest update. Say o to $6 gasoline.
Its predicted to land as a 3 and outside shot of being a 4.
This is the first time I've seen a prediction of over a 20ft surge...most of the talk has been about 20 max...that is crazy! So even with the seawall they are pretty much effed!
As stated, Ike is now larger than Katrina was, with a wider wind field. This hurricane is going to be disaster for the Galveston area. I hope everyone living there leaves.
ing . This is gonna be entertaining. For the record i dont want anyone to get hurt.
Katrina was also a lot stronger. A ton stronger.
I dunno - I'm very skeptical of any surge over 18ft high barring no further deepening of the storm.
That may be, but wind speed isn't everything. Plus, Ike is still forecasted to strengthen at least to a Category 3.
Storm surge on Pensacola Beach, several hundred miles from Ike:
http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-8310...eds%2Fnewsiest
This storm is absolutely scary.
Also an unconfirmed report of a very high tide in Texas which is being attributed to the proximity of Ike.
yeah th swells from this storm are causing coastal flooding all over the gulf. I was expecing big surge, but not record surge. 27 feet would be the 2nd highest surge ever.
Keep in mind that the continental shelf is very flat offshore a LONG ways which makes it easier for the storm to build up a surge.
This isn't the best map but gives an idea of the difference in the shelf offshore Houston and NoLa:
Thats why they pay the meteorologists the big bucks, Manny you are just a wannabe :0
Easjer, SFIE, & Enigma...you guys might want to check out this link. It's supposed to estimate what the winds will be in each zip code of Houston.
www.houstonhidefromthewind.org
K well we'll see about the surge, but I'm a betting man and If the O/U was at 20ft I'm taking the under
Here's the latest local (San Antonio/Austin) statement from the NWC:
000
WTUS84 KEWX 112131
HLSEWX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
431 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
AND TOWARD THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FOR FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS IKE MOVES INLAND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING SOMEWHERE ON
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST.
TXZ194-209-224-225-120345-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TI.A.0001.080913T0000Z-080913T2100Z/
LEE-FAYETTE-DE WITT-LAVACA-
431 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LA UDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510
MILES...820 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT
400 MILES...645 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...LEE...
FAYETTE...DE WITT...AND LAVACA COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WIND - 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS TO 60 TO 65 MPH...MINOR DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE
SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE
MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND
LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY
BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL
WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE
BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES.
...WINDS...
NORTH WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH FRIDAY EVENING WILL INCREASE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE BY MIDNIGHT WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH...BECOMING
NORTHWEST 45 TO 55 MPH SATURDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 65 MPH.
WINDS WILL TAPER OFF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS IKE MOVES FURTHER INLAND
AWAY FROM THE AREA.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AS IKE MOVES INLAND.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE NO LATER THAN 10 PM CDT.
I know there are so, so many people that are going to be devastated by this storm, and there is nothing wrong with my perspective of the whole scheme of things .... but it really makes me sad that my 2 poor little baby trees may not fare very well. We had 20-25 mph gusts not all that long ago and they just barely hung on. And they are the only one's we've got. *sniff, sniff*
Lots of people in Galveston are right there with you.K well we'll see about the surge, but I'm a betting man and If the O/U was at 20ft I'm taking the under
Jeff Masters wins again
Its been canceled for this weekend but its moving to either next weekend or the weekend after.
here is video footage taken today from Pensacola, Fl ... several hundred miles away from Ike.
http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-8310...eds%2Fnewsiest
That BMW is ed
One scary modelK well we'll see about the surge, but I'm a betting man and If the O/U was at 20ft I'm taking the under
Eat me, head. I need rain.
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml
Hokey smokes. I've never seen anything like that written before.
That's insane. Hopefully all living on the water that are going to be washed out have left.
"FACE CERTAIN DEATH"
no misunderstanding that right there, if your stupid enough to stay you deserve whats coming to you.
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