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So you say the people ing about rain, and then about refining capacity
Glad they're putting it in black and white like that. We have clients down in Galveston, talked to one this afternoon on her way out, she told me some folks were staying behind saying it wouldn't be anything more than another Rita.
And she pointed out the surge was already lapping at the sea wall, and they had been told on the news about 4 foot of surge in Pensacola, 400 miles from the storm.
Sadly it sounds like Darwin's going to be awfully busy the next 48-72 hours.
So you say the people ing about rain, and then about refining capacity
We're still staying put. Hoping that things work out for the best for us. We are stocked up and ready to go, just need to get the house in shape.
bum bum bummm...Certain Death!
Holy , 68mph winds in my parents' zip code? That house sucks already, I'm going to call them again and tell them to head for the relatives in Tyler.
Rain in one location isn't even close to something that will impact the entirety of our economy nationally.
First and foremost it's frustrating to hear people are staying, because it's clear this storm means business.
But I was talking a step back from that and looking at the impact on the entire nation.
Damn, I hope for the best for Houston. I used to live on the Southside of Houston, and it flooded horribly anytime there was any kind of major rain.
You don't live in Galveston right?
No, they live in Houston.
Easjer & SFIE,
Please leave because otherwise we are going to worry about you guys. Please be safe.
Anyone leaving Houston area should leave at about 2 or 3 am tonight to escape the log jam of cars leaving tomorrow.
+1
And the same goes for Enigma and his Wifey as well. Enigma, you still got relatives in SA,right?
My "boy" is in Beaumont staging for evacuations in the morning and he is stuck at staging without any grub. Too damn far for me to drive...Bam Bam needs food.
gotdamn
I have NEVER seen anything like that before, thats really scary.
I know it's redundant, but I want to echo the others. Get the out. They are predicting 50 mph winds here in Dallas, over 200 miles from where this going to hit. If you're within 100 miles of the coast, get the out.
Damn, the reports are getting scarier everytime I turn on the news.As an adult I've only experienced Rita, so if this the real deal as they say I guess I better make plans to leave.
I thought I would be ok because I live in the non evac zone.I live on the third floor of an apt too, so no telling how it will hold.
I think they'll (Easjer, SFIE, & Enigma) will be alright IF they are prepared and NOT in a flood zone. The force of this hurricane is abnormally weaker than first predicted, it's just that it's a huge ing storm and the windfield is super spreadout.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at4
From oil platforms in the area (north of where Ike is at):
95 knot winds (110 mph)
25 foot waves
Do you guys remember the Katrina discussion?
000
WWUS74 KLIX 281550
NPWLIX URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005 ...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED... .HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969. MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE. HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY
VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK. POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS. THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE
CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE
OUTSIDE!
NWS guys usually know what they're talking about.
This storm is absolutely huge, but its also not very strong because its so broad. Wind reports are going to be low. A lot of the wind is over the ocean and its not mixing down there so its not going to do so over land. I dunno, I don't expect much wind wise out of this storm but the surge should be the story.
Hmm, the models have gotten confused again with a definite east-west split:
Only one that matters with that southern shift if the GFS. Should be interesting to watch though. I told you guys that the cone was very important with this storm and not the actual path and if the GFS verifies then thats definitely the case.
BTW if you go outside and look up you'll see Ike
Ike's winds are up 5 mph. Showing signs of strengthening as per NHC. North-western quadrant now looks a little weaker but Ike appears to be forming an eye.
Isn't that shift West worse for Houson/Galveston?
Damn! The surf at Galveston already looks nuts!!
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