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  1. #251
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    Latest Jersey Poll:


    New Jersey Marist Obama 48, McCain 45 Obama +3

    Last one was down to 6.

    Following the trend in Washington State.

  2. #252
    Senior Member TheMadHatter's Avatar
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    ^You clearly don't know politics.

    McCain has no shot in NJ or WA, just as Obama has no shot in Florida.

  3. #253
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  4. #254
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    Will you eat crow when Obama wins Whott?

  5. #255
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    It's over.

  6. #256
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    ^You clearly don't know politics.

    McCain has no shot in NJ or WA, just as Obama has no shot in Florida.

    Obama has a shot in Florida. McCain has no shot in NJ. I wouldn't start worrying about Obama being behind in the national polls until mid-October.

  7. #257
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    McCain being only 3 points behind in a Jersey poll is akin to Obama being compe ive in some of those state polls in Montana and North Dakota.

  8. #258
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    No..it isn't. It's not akin to it at all.

    This is what happens when you give your nomination to a guy who got a royal assbeating in the primaries in these states...with the exlusion of the caucus states.

    I can't wait to see California and NY.


    ing ignorant...and neither voter fraud, nor media bias, nor having a million net geeks that can't get laid, on your side...is going to be able to prevent it.




    Donate money to Obama quick! He needs it

  9. #259
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    Code:
    State Date  Obama Clinton    Spread 
       
    Popular Vote Total   17,535,458 48.1% 17,493,836 48.0%    Obama +41,622 +0.1% 
       
    
       
    California 02/05  2,186,662 43.2% 2,608,184 51.5%    Clinton +421,522 +8.3%    
    New York 02/05  751,019 40.3% 1,068,496 57.4%    Clinton +317,477 +17.1% 
    New Jersey 02/05  501,372 43.9% 613,500 53.8%    Clinton +112,128 +9.9%
    Pennsylvania 04/22  1,046,822 45.4% 1,260,937 54.6%    Clinton +214,115 +9.2%
    These are the four biggest solid blue states:

    CA 55 EV
    NY 31 EV
    Penn 21 EV
    NJ 15 EV


    Hillary took over 50% of the vote in all of them.....and you guys didn't even put her on the ballot.

    And Obama didn't win Texas either....or MI(as far as we know).

    That means you gave your nomination to a guy who barely won the Primaries because of how he performed in the Small Red States...the most conservative States in the Nation.

    That has got to be one of the most ignorant moves in history.


    I wish I would have studied the Electoral Maps during the primaries...I could have told you that was stupid.

  10. #260
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    [QUOTE]
    No..it isn't. It's not akin to it at all.
    Obama polls compe ively in two red states (ND and MONT) yet any political scientist can tell you McCain will win these states. Meanwhile McCain comes within 3 points in a single poll in NJ, yet any political scientist will tell you Obama will win that state. Yeah, totally different.


    This is what happens when you give your nomination to a guy who got a royal assbeating in the primaries in these states...with the exlusion of the caucus states.
    While Hillary was out trying to win big primary states, Obama was running a professional, focused campaign based on the understanding of what exactly he had to do to win the nomination. And just as McCain has run a half-assed campaign, Obama is running a campaign knowing that the election will hinge on whether he can peel off Florida or Ohio, Path #1 to winning, or peel off two of the mountain states, Path #2 to winning.
    I can't wait to see California and NY.

    ing ignorant...
    Awww, whot is getting testy. You're so cuuute.


    I can't wait to see California and NY.
    What can you not wait to see? A poll that has McCain within 5 points? Or election night when they go into Obama's column? I remember Bush polling compe ively in California and Hawaii in 2004. You truly have no understanding whatsoever of the electoral map. The race is a statistical dead heat and the election is only taking place in 13 states.

    and neither voter fraud, nor media bias, nor having a million net geeks that can't get laid, on your side...is going to be able to prevent it.
    Yeah, it's the Democrats and liberal "elites" that love to deal in stereotypes and engage in class warfare. Stay classy, whot.

  11. #261
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    LOL I bet the Obama brain trust thinks the Clintons are actually trying to help him


    Tell you what, go look at Ferraro, the Clintons, and McCain...they have all have the exact same smile on their face

    How's Obama doing in those places Hillary's been campaigning for him anyway?

  12. #262
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    Code:
    State Date  Obama Clinton    Spread 
       
    Popular Vote Total   17,535,458 48.1% 17,493,836 48.0%    Obama +41,622 +0.1% 
       
    
       
    California 02/05  2,186,662 43.2% 2,608,184 51.5%    Clinton +421,522 +8.3%    
    New York 02/05  751,019 40.3% 1,068,496 57.4%    Clinton +317,477 +17.1% 
    New Jersey 02/05  501,372 43.9% 613,500 53.8%    Clinton +112,128 +9.9%
    Pennsylvania 04/22  1,046,822 45.4% 1,260,937 54.6%    Clinton +214,115 +9.2%
    These are the four biggest solid blue states:

    CA 55 EV
    NY 31 EV
    Penn 21 EV
    NJ 15 EV


    Hillary took over 50% of the vote in all of them.....and you guys didn't even put her on the ballot.

    And Obama didn't win Texas either....or MI(as far as we know).

    That means you gave your nomination to a guy who barely won the Primaries because of how he performed in the Small Red States...the most conservative States in the Nation.

    That has got to be one of the most ignorant moves in history.


    I wish I would have studied the Electoral Maps during the primaries...I could have told you that was stupid.
    And Obama smashed her in the Red States during the nomination battle, so of course he's going to win those same red states in the general election. All of those liberal Hillary voters in California and New York are going to sit on their hands or vote for McCain. smh

    In Michigan his name wasn't even on the ballot because all candidates agreed not to campaign there because they scheduled their primary before they were supposed to. Obama's base is consolidated and so is McCain's.

    You're one of these idiots that think his candidate is going to win 40 states and 400 EVs.

    I'm just really curious, whot, what is your final popular vote projection? What is your final Electoral College tally?

  13. #263
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    LOL I bet the Obama brain trust thinks the Clintons are actually trying to help him


    Tell you what, go look at Ferraro, the Clintons, and McCain...they have all have the exact same smile on their face

    How's Obama doing in those places Hillary's been campaigning for him anyway?
    Ask me again in 2 weeks when McCain's poll numbers can't be attributed to his convention bounce or veep excitement. All you're doing now is celebrating your team winning the coin toss and marching down the field to kick a field goal.

  14. #264
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    Here's my prediction, barring one of the candidates becoming incapacitated and having to withdraw, or a huge unforeseen scandal:

    Obama: 278 EVs
    McCain: 260 EVs

    Obama Pop Vote: 49.5%
    McCain Pop Vote: 48.5%
    3rd Party Pop Vote: 2%

    Obama holds all Kerry states and flips Iowa, Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico.

  15. #265
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    Ask me again in 2 weeks when McCain's poll numbers can't be attributed to his convention bounce or veep excitement. All you're doing now is celebrating your team winning the coin toss and marching down the field to kick a field goal.


    False...that's not all I am doing.

    You're the one with his head up his ass acting like this is like any other Election in American history what with your talk of convention bounces...


    This is unlike any other Election in American History...and there's never been a Sarah Palin in American Politics before. There's never been anything close to her...

    She's a lot more like Elvis Presley than she is any other politician we've seen before.

  16. #266
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    Hey, let's give the nomination to the guy that didn't win any major blue states.

    Brilliant!

    And this is revelatory to me for a variety of reasons...only lefties could ever delude themselves into believing the entire political view of America has suddenly swung far left.

    That is the myopia...

  17. #267
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    PS: Don't get too excited bout all those Democrat Voter Registrations...lot of them are registered from voting in the Democratic Primaries...

    For instance...every Republican I know voted in the Democratic Primaries in Texas this year....and not for the reason you think.

  18. #268
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    How's Obama doing in those places Hillary's been campaigning for him anyway?

  19. #269
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    You're one of these idiots that think his candidate is going to win 40 states and 400 EVs.

    I'm just really curious, whot, what is your final popular vote projection? What is your final Electoral College tally?


    And you're one of the idiots thinking Obama deserves the nomination because of his ability to win the KKK states

  20. #270
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    LOL I bet the Obama brain trust thinks the Clintons are actually trying to help him


    Tell you what, go look at Ferraro, the Clintons, and McCain...they have all have the exact same smile on their face

    How's Obama doing in those places Hillary's been campaigning for him anyway?


    I'm telling you Whottt, in a few weeks is going to turn to .....
    for you.

  21. #271
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    And you're one of the idiots thinking Obama deserves the nomination because of his ability to win the KKK states
    Go shadow-box with a strawman. I think he's going to win because this is a horrible political environment for the Republicans and the country is in an anti-in bency mood. I think it will be extremely close.

    I'm guessing you think McCain is going to win 63% of the popular vote and Obama will only carry Hawaii, Illinois and Massachusetts, right?

  22. #272
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    False...that's not all I am doing.

    You're the one with his head up his ass acting like this is like any other Election in American history what with your talk of convention bounces...


    This is unlike any other Election in American History...and there's never been a Sarah Palin in American Politics before. There's never been anything close to her...

    She's a lot more like Elvis Presley than she is any other politician we've seen before.
    Sarah Palin is an unknown quan y and political Viagra to McCain's campaign. On November 5th he'll be lamenting that Mitt Romney could've gotten him Michigan. She is a highly polarizing figure - the knuckledraggers that make up the Republican base love her and Dems hate her. Only people whose opinions matter are undecideds. Eventually the Dems and their surrogates will stop talking so much about her and will learn to compare her to Biden and not Obama. And they'll use their females (Pelosi, Hillary, Granholm, Sebelus) to attack her when it's necessary. Vice Presidents don't win elections and she's not going to win anything for McCain. She's gotten the GOP base on board and guaranteed McCain has a fighting chance. Only if the Dems keep talking about her in lieu of ignoring her will this thing work out for McCain.

  23. #273
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    Hey, let's give the nomination to the guy that didn't win any major blue states.

    Brilliant!

    And this is revelatory to me for a variety of reasons...only lefties could ever delude themselves into believing the entire political view of America has suddenly swung far left.

    That is the myopia...
    Yeah, Obama isn't going to carry California and New York in the general. Brilliant analysis there, whot!

  24. #274
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    I notice whot couldn't be bothered to give us his final projections on popular vote and Electoral Vote count when asked.

  25. #275
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    I notice whot couldn't be bothered to give us his final projections on popular vote and Electoral Vote count when asked.

    Oh I've already predicted I think it will be a landslide in the Republicans favor.

    I think at least one MAJOR Blue State is going to flip Red, and several others will be in play.


    As for specifics...I'm simply not ready to make that prediction yet...I don't want to under predict.

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