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my IQ is really nothing to make fun of. I hold the truth......all you have to do is listen.
Cool Hand claiming he's smart is like WC claiming he's in the 99.95985048509480 Percentile.
my IQ is really nothing to make fun of. I hold the truth......all you have to do is listen.
his arrogance makes him think that 99.95985048509480 of people think like him...so he may have a point...
Cool Hand claiming he's smart is like WC claiming he's in the 99.95985048509480 Percentile.
when are we going to start the revolution?
...after another bong hit and a 30 hour marathon on his Xbox probably
my lady kori how are you tonight? hope all is well angel eyes
thickie Mickie!
I believe Whottt said all of that before the economic collapse. Without the economic collapse McCain probably wins.But whott predicted a McCain landslide. McCain would reach 300 electoral votes..Whott s the smartest guy in the room..
Latest Gallup;
GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...
And the latest Rasmussen has it at Obama +4, the closest it's been there since September 26th.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...tch_up_history
Lord Barack is going down ... just wait
Why does Drudge always say something is developing when it is either already fully developed or never further reported by Drudge?
There is 1 min left in this game and McCain is down by 17 points, so I guess technically there's still a chance.
hahahahahahaha
Gallup's "traditional" model assumes 2004 turnout and electorate demographics.
Try again, Palin s.
is ACORN the difference? I do agree your team is gonna win.
Are you a whottt troll?
Traditional!?!'traditional' likely voter model
That mean old coots!
whottt is a bag, why on earth would you take that guy seriously?
Political scientists give Obama 80% chance of victory
10/16/2008 @ 1:46 pm
Filed by Nick Juliano and Muriel Kane
Models predicted Bush win in '04
Even before the current economic turmoil steered more voters towards Barack Obama, political scientists were predicting the Democratic candidate would win the presidency.
Election forecasts completed this year give Obama an 80 percent chance of victory. Just one of nine forecast models being published this month predicts John McCain will win, and that model relies heavily on poll results inflated by the substantial bounce that running mate Sarah Palin briefly provided the Republican ticket.
Between January and September, political scientists began comparing statistics including economic data, the candidate's poll numbers, President Bush's approval ratings and other figures to create statistical models aimed at forecasting the 2008 election results. Nine models are being published this month in the journal of the American Political Science Association.
Of the nine models, six predict an Obama victory, with three of those predicting a landslide. Another two are too close to call. The models also weigh the probability of their predicted outcomes; the median result predicts an 80 percent chance Obama will win.
The same journal published similar models before the 2004 election. Six of seven forecasts predicted President Bush would win (the seventh predicted Bush would receive 49.9 percent of the vote).
Statistician Nate Silver, who blogs at FiveThirtyEight.com, predicts a 95 percent chance Obama will win, and the political exchange market Intrade puts Obama's chances above 85 percent.
The earliest of the predictions to be published in the political science journal, from January 2008, was based on the degree of support for each of the candidates in early primaries, and showed a too-close-to-call result, with of 50.1% of the popular vote goting to Obama and 49.9% to McCain.
Five predictions from last summer basically treated the election as a referendum on both President Bush and the state of the economy. Four of those showed Obama winning comfortably with anything between 52.2% and 58.2% of the popular vote.
The fifth came up with a raw figure of 56.57% for Obama but then lowered it to a virtual tie to reflect the impact of race on voters' preferences.
Two other predictions from July and August, which used more complex statistical models based on federal and state factors, also predicted an Obama victory with 52% or 53% of the vote.
The only prediction of a McCain victory came in September and combined second-quarter economic figures with the Gallup Poll numbers from Labor Day -- which was the scheduled first day of the Republican National Convention and just three days after McCain's attention-getting announcement of Sarah Palin as his running-mate. It showed McCain gaining 52.7% of the popular vote.
http://rawstory.com//printstory.php?story=12340
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HUSSEIN today warning against complacency.
Political scientists give Obama 80% chance of victory
10/16/2008 @ 1:46 pm
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which is basically the equivalent of what the gambling oddsmakers made it at. 1 to 5.
The polls are tightening. Still plenty of time left.
Gallup poll shows Obama 49% and McCain at 47%.
Here comes the Palin/McCain surge. Obama gave them an opening and it could just be the one they've been waiting for. Joe the Plumber is now the leader of the Palin/McCain campaign and they are going to ride it to the end.
I've always said that Obama has a much tougher climb.
Not to take a page out of Whottts book or anything, but I;m starting to wonder about these polls. I remember the same thing happening here in MD with our gubernatorial election 2 years ago. The in bent was a Republican and prior to the actual election day he had been trailing in the polls by 10 or more points the entire time, then all of the sudden like one day before the election the polls said that it was tied. The in bent wound up losing by 7-8 points. I just find it strange that 2 weeks before the election all of the sudden the polls are tightening again. And because of this Joe the Plumber schmuck..... Please.....
Those numbers were actualy taken before the debate too.
In all honesty I've never believed the polls showing Obama leading. As much as I hope and pray I still think there are too many people saying one thing but will do another once they are in the voting booth. I still say it will be a shocker if Obama wins.Not to take a page out of Whottts book or anything, but I;m starting to wonder about these polls. I remember the same thing happening here in MD with our gubernatorial election 2 years ago. The in bent was a Republican and prior to the actual election day he had been trailing in the polls by 10 or more points the entire time, then all of the sudden like one day before the election the polls said that it was tied. The in bent wound up losing by 7-8 points. I just find it strange that 2 weeks before the election all of the sudden the polls are tightening again. And because of this Joe the Plumber schmuck..... Please.....
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