I'm really unclear on how the technicalities of all of this work so don't jump on me if I get this wrong, just clarify.
So, Salim, Wright, Ian, Tolliver, and a couple others aren't guaranteed correct?
Now, Wright is 24 and a physically more imposing defender, but not a great scorer and he hasn't developed that much offensively. Furthermore, basketball isn't a relatively new sport for him.
Ian is recovering from an injury, but had a better shotblocking statistic per game last year than Wright and is more developed offensively than Wright. He also started playing basketball later than Wright.
Tolliver shot well in preseason, but not in the first couple of preseason games. However, the Spurs believe in his shot and he is similar to the type of 4 that Horry was, a 4 who can stretch the defense by knocking down the 3.
Salim has had at ude problems in the past and is small for a shooting guard, but in college was a stellar shooter.
And it has basically come down to picking two of those four, right?
I would pick Salim and Ian. This may seem short-sighted and it may even be short-sighted, but here's why:
The Tim Duncan window and Manu Ginobili window won't stay open that much longer. A year or two at most. Probably this year and then we need a new superstar on our team.
Last year, when Manu was injured, we had major problems getting more production! We needed more scoring, but couldn't get it.
And our path just to get to the Western Conference Finals was tenuous and difficult because of the standings.
With Manu's current injury causing him to be out at least 6 weeks and the likelihood that it will take several weeks after that for Manu to be making a major contribution to the team again, we will need every bit of scoring help that we can get.
We will struggle to score 90 points a game if we do the arithmetic, it looks like we don't get there.
Also, if we fall way behind and way only half or less than half of our games, we will be facing an unphill challenge the entire playoffs, assuming we make it.
Furthermore, if Manu is injured again in the playoffs and can't score (even if he is playing), then we will need that extra scoring punch.
If this were early on in Tim Duncan's career and his numbers weren't on the decline or if Manu did not have a history of injuries costing us playoffs (along with a history of great play causing us to win trophies), then we could afford to take a long view. We can't.
Therefore, I would elect to pick Salim and Ian.
Salim was described by college basketball analysts I respect as one of the best shooters in college there is on draft day, just at ude issues were the only concern. His numbers were great.
He may not pan out, but it is a low risk, high reward. It is possible that he could put up a lot of points for us and we need that. None of the other nonguaranteed contract players even have that remotely in their potential.
As a backup to Tony Parker or if we went small for some reason, he could really add to our scoring, potentially.
Furthermore, Ian's athleticism and improved scoring ability could really help us. I don't know the extent of his current injury and how long it will take for him to heal and the impact of it upon his play, but we could really benefit from any offense that he could bring.
For those reasons, I would choose Ian and Salim for the last two nonguaranteed spots.

