Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 25 of 70
  1. #1
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    They sure are, but not purposely. With so many new fraudulent democrat registrations, polling places are over sampling democrats. I read someplace that the poll takers are going by the numbers of registered voters, and that there are now so many more democrats than republicans. As a result, the polls are wrong. This will make the Obama campaign focus less on states they cannot afford to, and the reverse for republicans. This will probably help bring a republican majority in too!

    The way polls are currently sampled, you can take the democrat number and multiply by 0.906 and take the republican number and multiply by 1.106.

    Todays RCP average for battleground states:

    Obama McCain State
    50.6 44.6 Colorado
    48.8 45.5 Ohio
    49.2 46.0 Florida
    49.0 44.8 Nevada
    48.8 45.8 Missouri
    47.3 46.0 North Carolina
    53.3 44.7 Virginia

    With corrections:

    45.8 49.3 Colorado
    44.2 50.3 Ohio
    44.6 50.9 Florida
    44.4 49.5 Nevada
    44.2 50.7 Missouri
    42.9 50.9 North Carolina
    48.3 49.4 Virginia

    Now with the cheating going on in Ohio, it will still go to Obama. However, unless his numbers go to double digit leads, don't expect him to win those states. This still isn't counting the Bradley Effect (or whatever it's called.)

  2. #2
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Mavericks
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Post Count
    25,321

  3. #3
    2nd Verse Same as the 1st Oh, Gee!!'s Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
    Post Count
    8,869

  4. #4
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Post Count
    154,406
    I'll let Manny field this one.

  5. #5
    Orange Whip? Orange Whip? Viva Las Espuelas's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Post Count
    19,497
    I'll let Manny field this one.
    he's busy shaking hands and contributing to his 401k

  6. #6
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Post Count
    154,406
    True, but he has already dealt with it anyway. It's easy enough to find with his screen name and the keyword weight.

  7. #7
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    Well, we will see if I'm wrong in November, right?

  8. #8
    Veteran hater's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Post Count
    74,105
    keep telling yourself that to feel better

  9. #9
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Post Count
    154,406
    Well, we will see if I'm wrong in November, right?
    If you could give more of a source than "I read somewhere" I might be willing to look at it.

    I don't believe anything you say otherwise. You have made up too much complete bull in the past for anyone to take your word for it.

  10. #10
    The Dude Buddy Holly's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    7,358
    wild cobra =


  11. #11
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    If you could give more of a source than "I read somewhere" I might be willing to look at it.

    I don't believe anything you say otherwise. You have made up too much complete bull in the past for anyone to take your word for it.
    My God. If I wanted to, I could own you so easily over this, with the way you carry on.

    Point is, what I read was:
    poll takers are going by the numbers of registered voters
    OK? I also saw an interview with a pollster that said the same thing on TV. He cautioned that there is an oversampling because of ACORN registrations too.

    The rest I extrapolated myself from available numbers. Sure, it's not an exact science, but I'll bet it's more accurate to adjust the polls as I did than as they are released!

    When will you realize. I don't lie about things. I am sometimes wrong.

  12. #12
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Post Count
    154,406
    My God, man!

    I read somewhere -- I mean I saw someone say -- I mean --

    My God, man! Why do insist on holding me to the slightest amount of accountability?

  13. #13
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Mavericks
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Post Count
    25,321

  14. #14
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Post Count
    15,842
    WC, you are a LIAR

  15. #15
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    My God, man!

    I read somewhere -- I mean I saw someone say -- I mean --

    My God, man! Why do insist on holding me to the slightest amount of accountability?
    I don't have a photographic memory, nor do I take notes of everthing.

    Think about it. When you look at the internals of a poll, how many democrats vs. republicans are they sampling? Stop being so hard headed and have an open mind. I don't recall which polster or which program I was listent=ing to. I have heard interviews with Rassmusen, Zogby, and others on various talk show programs.

    I believe I'm right. I don't care if you believe me or not. Your at ude is rather childish I think. I told you what I can, and you expect more than I can deliver. Please grow up.

  16. #16
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    WC, you are a LIAR
    Should I even respond to a moron calling me a liar?

    Wow... you made me feel silly. Congragulatons.

  17. #17
    The Dude Buddy Holly's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    7,358
    I don't have a photographic memory, nor do I take notes of everthing.

    Think about it. When you look at the internals of a poll, how many democrats vs. republicans are they sampling? Stop being so hard headed and have an open mind. I don't recall which polster or which program I was listent=ing to. I have heard interviews with Rassmusen, Zogby, and others on various talk show programs.

    I believe I'm right. I don't care if you believe me or not. Your at ude is rather childish I think. I told you what I can, and you expect more than I can deliver. Please grow up.
    Do you even actually know how they come up the percentages they do?

  18. #18
    The Dude Buddy Holly's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    7,358
    Should I even respond to a moron calling me a liar?

    Wow... you made me feel silly. Congragulatons.
    You call someone a moron and then precede to spell the word congratulations, well, like a moron.

  19. #19
    2nd Verse Same as the 1st Oh, Gee!!'s Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
    Post Count
    8,869
    Congragulatons are the inhabitants of the icy planet, Congrag. They are known for their inability to grasp completely made-up facts and statistics.

  20. #20
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    Do you even actually know how they come up the percentages they do?
    I don't know the exact science, but they already try to take sampling errors into account. I'm saying they are not compensating right because they think there are so many more democrat voters than there are.

    Thank-You ACORN!

  21. #21
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Post Count
    154,406
    From a Washington Times live chat with Mr. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Ins ute:

    Question: How does the horrible over-registration of Democratic "voters" by ACORN affect the polls? Also, are poll respondents informed of NObama's ties to ACORN? by Santa Fe, NM

    Answer: Actually, the questions about ACORN really do not make a difference in the polls. Our screen to figure out who is a likely voter asks about intention to vote rather than past voting history. I have no way of gauging how much voters know about ACORN or any ties that Sen. Obama may or may not have to the organization.

    http://www.washingtontimes.com/livec...r-peter-brown/

    I mean, I read somewhere that some dude said what WC thinks is bull .

  22. #22
    The Dude Buddy Holly's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    7,358
    Congragulatons are the inhabitants of the icy planet, Congrag. They are known for their inability to grasp completely made-up facts and statistics.
    So, this is Wild Cobra?


  23. #23
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
    My Team
    Dallas Mavericks
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Post Count
    25,321
    ....i just heard that polling is an exact science......

  24. #24
    The Dude Buddy Holly's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    7,358
    I don't know the exact science, but they already try to take sampling errors into account. I'm saying they are not compensating right because they think there are so many more democrat voters than there are.

    Thank-You ACORN!
    I can honestly bet 100 dollars you have no idea whatthe youaretalkingabout.

  25. #25
    2nd Verse Same as the 1st Oh, Gee!!'s Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
    Post Count
    8,869
    So, this is Wild Cobra?

    yes, Wild Cobra is a Bogulon. He is from the planet Bogus. The Bugulons' main exports are made-up facts and statistics. They are at war with the Congragulatons.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •