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    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Warning: This S*** is long.

    The bad mortgages that got the current financial crisis started have produced a terrifying wave of home foreclosures. Unless the foreclosure surge eases, even the most extravagant federal stimulus spending won't spur an economic recovery.

    The Obama Administration is expected within the next few weeks to announce an initiative of $50 billion or more to help strapped homeowners. But with 1 million residences having fallen into foreclosure since 2006, and an additional 5.9 million expected over the next four years, the Obama plan -- whatever its details -- can't possibly do the job by itself. Lenders and investors will have to acknowledge huge losses and figure out how to keep recession-wracked borrowers making at least some monthly payments.

    So far the industry hasn't shown that kind of foresight. One reason foreclosures are so rampant is that banks and their advocates in Washington have delayed, diluted, and obstructed attempts to address the problem. Industry lobbyists are still at it today, working overtime to whittle down legislation backed by President Obama that would give bankruptcy courts the authority to shrink mortgage debt. Lobbyists say they will fight to restrict the types of loans the bankruptcy proposal covers and new powers granted to judges.

    The industry strategy all along has been to buy time and thwart regulation, financial-services lobbyists tell BusinessWeek . "We were like the Dutch boy with his finger in the dike," says one business advocate who, like several colleagues, insists on anonymity, fearing career damage. Some admit that, in retrospect, their clients, which include Bank of America (NYSE:BAC - News), Citigroup (NYSE:C - News), and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM - News), would have been better off had they agreed two years ago to address foreclosures systematically rather than pin their hopes on an unlikely housing rebound.

    In public, financial ins utions insist they've done their best to prevent foreclosures. Most argue that giving bankruptcy courts increased clout, known as cramdown authority, would reward irresponsible borrowers and result in higher borrowing costs. "What we're trying to do now is target the bill to make it as narrow as possible," says Scott Talbott, a lobbyist for the Financial Services Roundtable. On the defensive, the industry nevertheless benefits from one strain of popular opinion that home buyers who took on risky mortgages -- even if the industry pushed those loans -- don't deserve to be rescued.

    An Industry In Denial
    However the skirmish ends, the industry's contention that it has done as much as possible to limit foreclosures seems hollow. Some statistics it cites appear to be exaggerated. Even pro-industry figures such as Steven C. Preston, a Republican businessman who headed the Housing & Urban Development Dept. late in the Bush Administration, concede that many lenders have dragged their heels. "The industry still has not stepped up to the volume of the problem," Preston says. One program, Hope for Homeowners -- which Bush officials and banks promised last fall would shield 400,000 families from foreclosure -- has so far produced only 25 refinanced loans.

    Meanwhile, an already glutted market sinks beneath the weight of more foreclosed homes. Borrowers whose equity has evaporated have nothing to tap into if the recession costs them their jobs. Some lawmakers and regulators are calling for a foreclosure moratorium. "People are falling through the cracks," Preston says. "That's bad for communities, bad for the individuals losing their homes, and bad for investors."

    In early 2007, as overextended borrowers began to default on too-good-to-be-true subprime mortgages, housing experts sounded an alarm heard throughout Washington. Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.), chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, wanted to push a bill requiring banks to modify loans whose enticingly low "teaser" interest rates soon give way to tougher terms. But he knew that with Republicans strongly opposed, he lacked the muscle, according to Senate aides. So Dodd did what politicians often do. He convened a talkfest: the Homeownership Preservation Summit.

    A who's who of banking executives gathered on Apr. 18, 2007, behind closed doors in an ornate hearing room in the marble-faced Dirksen Senate Office Building. Dodd told them they needed to get out in front of the foreclosure fiasco by adjusting loan terms so borrowers would continue to make some payments, rather than stopping altogether. Foreclosure proceedings typically cost banks about 50% of a property's value. That's assuming the home can be resold -- not a certainty when empty houses multiply in a neighborhood. "What are you doing?" Dodd asked the executives. "What do you need me to do to help you modify loans?"

    Some from the industry denied a foreclosure problem existed, including Sandor E. Samuels, at the time chief legal officer of subprime giant Countrywide Financial. They vowed to continue selling loans with enticing introductory rates as well as those requiring minimal evidence of borrowers' income. "We are going to keep making these loans until the last second they are legal," Samuels later told a fellow participant.

    On May 2, 2007, Dodd's office issued a "Statement of Principles" stemming from the summit. It outlined seven vaguely worded industry aspirations, such as making "early contact" with strapped borrowers and offering modifications that could include lowering loan balances. The principles had no effect, some summit participants now concede.

    Much of Dodd's attention shifted to his campaign for the Democratic Presidential nomination. Senate Banking Committee spokeswoman Kate Szostak says Dodd aggressively pursued the foreclosure issue, but "both the industry and the Bush Administration refused to heed his warnings." The lawmaker accepted $5.9 million in contributions from the financial-services industry in 2007 and 2008.

    Asked about his role at the summit, Samuels confirmed in an e-mail that he "did speak -- formally and informally -- about the performance" of subprime loans. But he declined to elaborate. He now works as a top in-house lawyer for Bank of America, which acquired Countrywide in July 2008.

    A major reason financial ins utions and investors are so determined to avoid modifying loan terms more aggressively has to do with accounting nuances, say industry lobbyists. If, for example, a bank lowered the balance of a certain mortgage, there would be a strong argument that it would have to reduce the value on its balance sheet of all similar mortgages in the same geographic area to reflect the danger that the region had hit an economic slump. Under this stringent approach, financial industry mortgage-related losses could far surpass even the grim $1.1 trillion estimated by Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS - News) in January. A desire to postpone this devastating situation helps explain lenders' intransigence, says Rick Sharga, vice-president of marketing at RealtyTrac, an Irvine (Calif.) firm that analyzes foreclosure patterns.

    By mid-2007, Bush Administration officials were deeply worried about the financial industry's unwillingness to confront the growing catastrophe. Even banking lobbyists say they realized that their clients had lapsed into denial. The K Street representatives agreed that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson needed to step in, says Erick R. Gustafson, then the chief lobbyist for the Mortgage Bankers Assn. "It was like an intervention," he says. "We had to get Treasury involved to get the banks to give us information."

    That summer, Paulson, a former CEO of Goldman Sachs, summoned industry executives to the Cash Room, one of Treasury's most elegant venues. There, beneath replica gaslight chandeliers, Neel T. Kashkari, a junior Goldman banker whom Paulson had brought to Treasury, urged industry leaders to move swiftly to keep more consumers from losing their homes. Bankers know how to adjust interest rates, extend loan durations, and, if necessary, lower principal, said Kashkari, who has temporarily remained in his post. A couple of months later, Paulson summoned the executives again, this time to his conference room. "We told them we need to get over the goal line," recalls a former top Treasury official. "Cajoling is a euphemism for what we did. We pounded them."

    One product of the Treasury conclaves was the Hope Now Alliance, a government-endorsed private sector organization announced by Paulson on Oct. 10, 2007. Lenders promised to cooperate with nonprofit credit counselors who would help borrowers prevent defaults. Faith Schwartz, a former subprime mortgage executive, was put in charge.


    Window Dressing?
    The alliance got off to a shaky start. An early press release contended that there had been more foreclosures nationally than the Mortgage Bankers Assn. was conceding at the time. "We looked like the Keystone Kops," says an industry lobbyist. Soon it became apparent that the program was primarily a public-relations effort, the lobbyist says. "Hope Now is really just a vehicle for collecting and marketing information to the Treasury, people on the Hill, and the news media."
    In a press release last Dec. 22, Hope Now said it had prevented 2.2 million foreclosures in 2008 by arranging for borrowers to catch up on delinquent payments and, in some cases, easing terms. But the data don't reveal how many borrowers are falling back into default because many modifications don't, in fact, reduce monthly payments. The alliance doesn't receive this information from banks, says Schwartz.

    There's reason for skepticism. Federal banking regulators reported in December 2008 that fully 53% of consumers receiving loan modifications were again delinquent on their mortgages after six months. Alan M. White, a law professor at Valparaiso University, says the redefault rates are high because modifications often lead to higher rather than lower payments. An analysis White did of a sample of 21,219 largely subprime mortgages modified in November 2008 found that only 35% of the cases resulted in lower payments. In 18%, payments stayed the same; in the remaining 47%, they rose. The reason for this strange result: Lenders and loan servicers are tacking on missed payments, taxes, and big fees to borrowers' monthly bills.

    Consider the case of Ocbaselassie Kelete, a 41-year-old immigrant from Eritrea who called Hope Now last fall. Kelete, a naturalized U.S. citizen, bought a $540,000 townhouse in Hayward, Calif., in November 2006 with no down payment and 100% financing from First Franklin Financial, a subprime unit of Merrill Lynch. At the time, he and his wife earned $108,000 a year from his two jobs, with a pharmacy and an office-cleaning service, and hers as a janitor. Kelete says First Franklin and his realtor convinced him that he could afford a pair of mortgages, one with a 7.5% initial rate that would rise after three years, and a second with a fixed 12% rate. His monthly payment would total $3,600.


    "Work With Me"
    "The realtor said, 'Just make sacrifices for two years. Home prices will go up, and you can refinance at a lower rate,' " Kelete recalls. He regrets signing a mortgage he couldn't afford -- a mistake many people made during the subprime craze. Home prices didn't go up. He lost his office-cleaning job. First Franklin modified his loans, but added on property taxes it had failed to collect earlier. Kelete's monthly bill rose to $3,900. In October 2008, he called Hope Now. A counselor set up a conference call with First Franklin. The lender's representative said Kelete should get another job or give up the house, the borrower says. Kelete responded that he'd already lost his second job cleaning offices and couldn't find another in a faltering California economy. "Why don't you work with me?" he asked First Franklin. The lender declined. The Hope Now counselor said there was nothing more to do. "Foreclosure is the only future I see," Kelete says. A spokesman for BofA, which acquired Merrill in December, declined to comment, citing the borrower's privacy. After BusinessWeek's inquiries, however, First Franklin contacted Kelete about lowering his monthly payments.
    Hope Now's Schwartz acknowledges she is fighting an uphill battle. By her calculation, 45% of the borrowers her organization advises still end up in foreclosure. "If I seem frustrated," she says, "it's because we are dealing with nothing but an exploding problem." She has a full-time staff of four in Washington; 500 counselors participate in the industry-funded hotline. "You shouldn't take it lightly, what we have achieved," Schwartz says. She bristles at suggestions that the statistics she disseminates are misleading. "I print what I know," she says, noting that some of her bank members aren't forthcoming about loan modifications. "It's like herding and juggling cats."

    By early 2008 it was obvious that Hope Now wasn't halting a significant percentage of foreclosures. Democrats in Congress began gathering ideas for a government-sponsored remedy. Many of those ideas came from the industry. Lobbyists and congressional aides referred to one concept as "the Credit Suisse plan." Another, "the Bank of America plan," would allow borrowers to refinance mortgages with loans guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration. Representative Barney Frank (D-Mass.), the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, had solicited BofA's advice via an old Boston acquaintance, Anne Finucane, the bank's chief marketing executive and a politically active Democrat. He assigned several aides, including Michael M. Paese and Rick Delfin, to work out the details.

    Francis Creighton, a Democratic former staff member on the Financial Services panel who had gone to work as a lobbyist for the Mortgage Bankers Assn., negotiated with Paese and Delfin. Creighton's Republican colleague Gustafson huddled with aides to such GOP lawmakers as Representative Spencer Bachus and Senator Richard Shelby, both of Alabama.

    Before long, the anti-foreclosure provisions were being altered in ways the industry favored. Shelby, the ranking Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, along with other Republicans insisted on the pro-industry language in exchange for their support, aides say.

    In the end, the program included stiff up-front and annual fees and a requirement that homeowners pay the government 50% of any future appreciation in the property's value -- all of which made it much less attractive to borrowers. Moreover, the banks' participation was made entirely voluntary; there was no way to pressure them to cooperate.

    Congress approved Hope for Homeowners on July 26, 2008, as part of a larger measure imposing restrictions on the mortgage finance firms Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM - News) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE - News). At the Mortgage Bankers Assn., lobbyists gathered in Gustafson's corner office to lift plastic cups of wine in celebration.

    Those familiar with Hope for Homeowners anticipated that its fine print would discourage all but a few borrowers. "We knew it was likely to have limited appeal," says Preston, the former secretary of HUD, which oversees the FHA. George Miller, executive director of the American Securitization Forum, a Wall Street trade group, calls the program and its 25 refinanced loans "useless" because of the onerous details.


    Broken Bill
    Shelby, for his part, never expected Hope for Homeowners to accomplish much, according to Republican Senate aides. He agreed to it to gain Dodd's support for greater regulation of Fannie and Freddie -- and only when assured the program wouldn't drain tax dollars. "My consistent aim throughout this crisis has been to protect the American taxpayer," Shelby told BusinessWeek in a statement. He accepted $565,000 in contributions from the financial-services industry in 2007-2008.
    Frank, whose industry contributions totaled $948,000 over the same period, says he became skeptical Hope for Homeowners could achieve its initial goal of helping 1 million people. But he expected much more progress than the mere 25 refinancings that have occurred so far, according to HUD. He blames Republicans and the industry for undercutting his legislation. "I didn't have the votes to do more," he says.

    The Massachusetts liberal hasn't given up hope of repairing Hope for Homeowners. He is working on changes that would cut borrowers' up-front fees and provide bonus money for mortgage servicers that agree to participate in the voluntary program. Frank aides Paese and Delfin aren't assisting with the fixes: They have left their congressional staff positions for lobbying jobs with the Securities Industry & Financial Markets Assn. in Washington. They say they are observing the one-year federal ban on speaking with their former boss about business they did on the Hill.

    In the first days of 2009 it appeared that progress might be possible on a different front. A slumping Citigroup came back to the Treasury Dept. for a second round of bailout money. Bowing to pressure from regulators, Citi broke ranks with its rivals and dropped its opposition to bankruptcy cramdown.

    Senator Durbin (D-Ill.), who since 2007 had led unsuccessful efforts in Congress to give bankruptcy judges authority to modify home loans, dispatched his senior economic policy adviser, Brad J. McConnell, to talk with lobbyists for JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America. "Each agreed to take (the idea) back to their folks to see what they could do," says a person familiar with the talks. Citi's concession, the imminent Obama inauguration, and intensifying public hostility toward big banks contributed to an atmosphere Democrats assumed would be conducive to compromise.


    Talking Points
    By the time McConnell talked to the JPMorgan and BofA representatives the next day, however, "they had gone on full defense mode and started to complain about how lousy a deal Citi had struck," says the person familiar with the exchanges. Bank opposition, Durbin says, "was very shortsighted in light of the mess they have created in our economy."
    In the following weeks, banking lobbyists launched a renewed attack on the cramdown legislation, enlisting as an ally Republican Representative Lamar Smith of Texas, among others. Apart from Citi, "the industry remains united in that bankruptcy cramdown would destabilize the market" by creating widespread uncertainty about the value of numerous troubled mortgages, says Steve O'Connor, senior vice-president for government relations at the Mortgage Bankers Assn. His group is distributing talking points to key congressional aides laying out reasons why "Congress should defeat bankruptcy reform legislation." These include the argument that if lenders can't be confident that loan terms will survive, they will raise rates and reject riskier borrowers. Industry lobbyists are organizing home state bankers to pressure moderate Democrats they hope will be receptive to limiting the kinds of loans eligible for cramdown. One target: Senator Evan Bayh of Indiana.

    Stefanie and James Smith of Santa Clarita, Calif., fear they may need the help of a bankruptcy court if they are to keep the subdivision home they bought for $579,000 in November 2005. Stefanie, 37, a university human resources coordinator, and James, 40, a federal law enforcement agent, borrowed the entire amount in two subprime loans that required a total monthly payment of $3,000. A representative of their lender, Countrywide, told them not to worry, says Stefanie: They would be able to refinance in a year.

    By mid-2007 they were running late on payments, and refinancing options had dried up. With their monthly bill scheduled to jump to more than $4,000 this January due to a rising mortgage rate, Stefanie contacted Countrywide last summer. She asked for a loan modification so they could avoid default. In December the lender said it would be willing to increase their payment by $600. That was better than the scheduled rise of $1,100, so the Smiths agreed.

    But now they are struggling to pay the higher amount. Countrywide's parent, BofA, declined to comment, citing the Smiths' privacy. After BusinessWeek's questions, though, Countrywide called them to discuss cutting their payments.

    "We knew when we bought that the payments would be a stretch," says Stefanie. She regrets assuming they would be able to refinance at a lower rate. "We are not deadbeats," she adds. "All we want is a mortgage we can afford."

    By Brian Grow, Keith Epstein and Robert Berner --BusinessWeek Online


    -------------------------

    Business week online, man we should have expected something like this from that bunch of commie s.

  2. #2
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    On the defensive, the industry nevertheless benefits from one strain of popular opinion that home buyers who took on risky mortgages -- even if the industry pushed those loans -- don't deserve to be rescued.
    The banking industry is every bit as much to blame on this as dumb homebuyers, in fact, they are more so, because it was their duty to their shareholders to do the due diligence on their own assets.

    So they are now crying "BOO HOO" over having a bankrupcy judge potentially write down the loans that they shouldn't have bought/made in the first place.

    Part of the problem is that NO ONE knows how much those mortgages will ultimately be worth anyways. The banks can all they want about this, but ultimately they benefit from this legislation anyways, as they are getting stuck with having to sell the foreclosed homes for all anyways.

    Take the medicine, start staunching the foreclosure bleeding, and let the market do the rest.

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    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    Do you discriminate against someone if they are gay? What company do you work for?

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    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    Gay people pay their bills... you got...
    I currently work in the Mortgage Industry, modifying loans to be exact.
    Are you saying your work is completely devoid of subjectivity? What company do you work for?

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    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    I'm guessing you're not gonna tell us what company you work for. Shame. I'm sure they'd love to see some of the things you say here.

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    United Autodidact Society Shastafarian's Avatar
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    You hypocrite you.
    How am I a hypocrite?

  8. #8
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Here is what I dont understand. I currently work in the Mortgage Industry, modifying loans to be exact. Hope For Homeowners which is a Gov't agency is a complete joke!!! They have modified a little over 600 mortgages that I know of. Most of their clients wind up calling our company for help.

    Day after day I sit and listen to these sob stories of all these borrowers that cant afford to pay their mortgage due to adjusted rates, loss of income, or just flat out mismanaging their finances. Like having a $700 a month car when their mortgage is $1500 month. Its insane, believe me

    To make things worse, most of these people are so uneducated as to what needs to be done, and what is being done to help these homeowners... including the person that wrote the above article. Their only HOPE is Obama. They honestly believe that Obama is going to help them save their home that they cannot afford. Obama with the help of his administration is making things much worse.

    First, lets understand that the majority of these loans that are getting modified arent really modifications. They are Forbearance Programs. This is a program that the lender uses to help a borrower catch up on payments when the borrower get a few months behind. What happens is they split the past due months up into smaller payments and add those smaller payments on top of the regular monthly payment, resulting in a higher monthly payment. Now, Im not the brightest kid on the block, but if the borrower couldnt afford his regular monthly payment, then how in the is he going to afford a higher one, which explains why they wind up losing their homes 6 months later. Most borrowers agree to this prcedure because they are conditioned to believe that they can live on borrowed time... and money.

    Second, why in the is our Gov't bailing out these bankers??? These lenders are already bailed out by PMI (Private Mortgage Insurance.) PMI is an insurance that the lender forces the borrower to pay just in case the borrower defaults on the loan, the lender can recoup some of the loss fees it may take to foreclose on the property and any damages that may be done to the property. This insurance is typically forced on borrowers that bought their home and paid less than 20% down. If you bought your home and you think you have more than 20% equity in your home, then you can have PMI insurance waived, because it doesnt protect you anyway, only the lender.

    Third, their should be rioting in the streets behind the bailout money that was wasted by the CEO's taken from the citizens by our politicians and given to the rich. I tell my clients this everyday. The lenders have already gotten filthy rich from the mortgage boom, why give them billions more, especially when these same lenders are playing hardball when it comes to modifying their borrowers loans. Yes, they are playing hardball. They would rather you sell your car, or go get a part-time job to make sure you pay them, but yet we bailed their asses out with billions.

    And last but not least, I'm watching this whole debacle of a hearing this past week, where our law makers lined these Bank CEO's up on a panel just to grill them. It looked like an old fashioned stoning... but with words. This literally made me sick to my stomach at the show these thieves put on to satisfy the sheepish citizens of America. They wanted the public to believe that they are upset at these CEO's, and want some accountability.

    NEWS FLASH!!! It was the law makers that deregulated the lending industry and made it possible for a person that makes minimum wages to buy a 300k home. , you didnt even have to have a job, you could just state what you think you should be making and get a 500k home...

    And the nerves of these law makers grilling these CEO's for doing what was enticed by the lawmakers. And after ruining the entire economy, these lawmakers gave billions to these same CEO's that couldnt be trusted in the first place. I can just imagine the jokes that are being said behind closed doors. And now they are lining up more billions to give to these same CEO's who in most part are refusing to modify their borrowers home loans.

    The panel that should be on trial here is our law makers. Why? Because they gave billions to greedy CEO's in a market that has no Gov't regulation. Where is Fred Sanford when you need him.

    If our Gov't is serious about helping the homeowners then they would halt Foreclosures for 3 months. Lower interest rates on every client that has a rate above 5%, and make it fixed. Add any past due payments to the back of the loan, and extend that loan from 30 years to 40 or 50 years. The investors would not lose a dime; infact, they would win in this situation. The homeowner would have some time to get his finances in order, and get a payment he could afford. If thats not enough to help you, then you should walk away from your home because you truly cant afford it.

    Instead of giving billions to these lenders to waste, give that money to invest in infastructure and agriculture to create jobs, which is the only thing that can give a boost to the economy. But they wont do that... why? Because homes are going to be on the market for pennies on the dollar soon. And our greedy ass Gov't is going to swoop in and clean up!!!

    Greedy ass Bas s!!!
    Some people are indeed simply walking away from the homes. It will happen more and more as people realize that they owe more than the house is worth.

    Oddly enough, I would agree with most of this post.

  9. #9
    Live by what you Speak. DarkReign's Avatar
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    The banking industry is every bit as much to blame on this as dumb homebuyers, in fact, they are more so, because it was their duty to their shareholders to do the due diligence on their own assets.

    So they are now crying "BOO HOO" over having a bankrupcy judge potentially write down the loans that they shouldn't have bought/made in the first place.

    Part of the problem is that NO ONE knows how much those mortgages will ultimately be worth anyways. The banks can all they want about this, but ultimately they benefit from this legislation anyways, as they are getting stuck with having to sell the foreclosed homes for all anyways.

    Take the medicine, start staunching the foreclosure bleeding, and let the market do the rest.
    I have tried to characterize the banking industry and its recently deceased loaning practices to that of drug dealers and users.

    As a police force, its easier and cheaper to arrest and prosecute the users, but you never get to the supply chain, therefore you'll never eliminate the user population.

    Going after the dealers and cartels is hard and expensive, but will have the most immediate and longterm effect on the number of users.

    Per usual, our law enforcement chooses the cheap and easy way opposed to the hard and expensive way. Only difference is, these arent criminals and they didnt do anything illegal (people with terrible mortgages, that is).

    Im not surprised.

  10. #10
    Live by what you Speak. DarkReign's Avatar
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    BTW, I dont work in the mortgage industry but I never understood why banks arent lowering their interest rates on existing loans with high percentages or why they havent just added 20 years onto a 30 year mortgage in an attempt to at least recoup their money (as lakaluva pointed out).

    Why dont they do this again?

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    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    BTW, I dont work in the mortgage industry but I never understood why banks arent lowering their interest rates on existing loans with high percentages or why they havent just added 20 years onto a 30 year mortgage in an attempt to at least recoup their money (as lakaluva pointed out).

    Why dont they do this again?
    Because the USG is backstopping all of their screwups. .

    Also, with the stimulus the gov't has declared its intention to to underwrite demand while private money stands on the sidelines with its hands in its pockets.

    If we declare default and send Citi or B of A into receivership, the banks will change their tune in a heartbeat.

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    Live by what you Speak. DarkReign's Avatar
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    Because the USG is backstopping all of their screwups. .

    Also, with the stimulus the gov't has declared its intention to to underwrite demand while private money stands on the sidelines with its hands in its pockets.

    If we declare default and send Citi or B of A into receivership, the banks will change their tune in a heartbeat.
    And the government isnt encouraging this course of action because...?

    (btw, thanks for the direct answer)

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    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    And the government isnt encouraging this course of action because...?
    It looks bad for capitalism and the USG both. It's tantamount to an admission that the market doesn't always allocate resources efficiently and that it is the government's job to fix it.

    Capitalism needs a kick in the nuts. If we keep socializing the risk, where's the incentive for prudence and responsibility?

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    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    BTW, I dont work in the mortgage industry but I never understood why banks arent lowering their interest rates on existing loans with high percentages or why they havent just added 20 years onto a 30 year mortgage in an attempt to at least recoup their money (as lakaluva pointed out).

    Why dont they do this again?
    Partially because if they do that, then they have to actually start putting dollar amounts on the losses. They want to hold off doing that for as long as possible, because the scale of the problem is so big that if they instantly do that, their surplus (bottom-line ending reserves required for solvency) will disappear.

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    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    It looks bad for capitalism and the USG both. It's tantamount to an admission that the market doesn't always allocate resources efficiently and that it is the government's job to fix it.

    Capitalism needs a kick in the nuts. If we keep socializing the risk, where's the incentive for prudence and responsibility?
    Bingo.

    'em.

    As I said, take a shovel to the zombie banks, force most if not all of the losses onto the shareholders (oops, did I mention that the shareholders are likely large pension funds and mutual funds that hold your 401k money?), and then if the next group of shareholders is so stupid as to allow management too free a hand, them too.

    Oddly enough, part of our present problem is one of corporate governance, i.e. shareholders not really looking after their own interests and allowing bank management to do all sorts of unwise things.

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    Live by what you Speak. DarkReign's Avatar
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    Aaaaahh....

    Appreciate the back and forth between you two. I learn .

  17. #17
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Oddly enough, part of our present problem is one of corporate governance, i.e. shareholders not really looking after their own interests and allowing bank management to do all sorts of unwise things.
    Do you know anything about this? I seem to remember reading something in the 1990's about shareholders being more or less locked out of corporate governance in the US.

    If true, that would explain a lot, but I'm not sure it is. Little help, RG?

  18. #18
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Aaaaahh....

    Appreciate the back and forth between you two. I learn .
    And I appreciate the reliability of your moral compass. Thanks for the clarity, DR.

    I tend to get lost in intellectual bs. You cut right through it. That's a very good trait to have. I envy it.

  19. #19
    Live by what you Speak. DarkReign's Avatar
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    And I appreciate the reliability of your moral compass. Thanks for the clarity, DR.

    I tend to get lost in intellectual bs. You cut right through it. That's a very good trait to have. I envy it.
    Well thats a uva nice thing to say. Thanks man. For whats its worth, you bring a nice balance to an otherwise partisan board, IMO. Plus, you have the added benefit of being extremely smart and well spoken/written.

    "With your powers combined, I am Captain Planet!"

    "GOOOOOOOO PLANET!"

  20. #20
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Do you know anything about this? I seem to remember reading something in the 1990's about shareholders being more or less locked out of corporate governance in the US.

    If true, that would explain a lot, but I'm not sure it is. Little help, RG?
    Corporate governance is one of those things that you only really get to read about if you thumb through the business press a lot, and one of the things that affects us more than just about anybody realizes.

    We read a few articles on it during my accounting/business classes, and I read what analysis I can, and couple that with my own observations.

    Shareholders today have more say than they used to, pre-Enron, but it is rare for shareholders NOT to defer to managment 99% of the time, and that includes the f*** ed CEO/executive pay.

    The US does it better than most countries actually, but it is still not a perfect system.

    A couple of observations:

    One thing that the US does badly is that we put entirely too much emphasis on short-term results. This quarter, next quarter, etc. While that does tend to focus properly on investor returns, it makes for poor strategic decisions at times, and can harm long term returns.

    Most shareholders tend to simply abdicate their responsibility to proxies, who tend to be too closely tied with managment. People about executive pay, but WE control the companies through our pension plans and mutual funds. If you want to change that, then stick your money someplace where the fund manager isn't a pushover. Warren Buffet comes to mind, who most people consider pretty good at being an advocate, whottt notwithstanding.
    Wiki has a good article that I think sums up my reading rather nicely:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_governance

  21. #21
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    And I appreciate the reliability of your moral compass. Thanks for the clarity, DR.

    I tend to get lost in intellectual bs. You cut right through it. That's a very good trait to have. I envy it.
    Well thats a uva nice thing to say. Thanks man. For whats its worth, you bring a nice balance to an otherwise partisan board, IMO. Plus, you have the added benefit of being extremely smart and well spoken/written.

    "With your powers combined, I am Captain Planet!"

    "GOOOOOOOO PLANET!"
    Good lord fellas, you sound like you're going to make love.

  22. #22
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Aaaaahh....

    Appreciate the back and forth between you two. I learn .
    NPR bit on "zombie banks" (click on the listen here link when you get there if you can listen whereever you are)

    http://www.npr.org/templates/story/s...ryId=100762999

    Heh, I love radio. They get a guy talking about banks that really need to be put out of our misery, and his choice of words, "zombie banks", i.e. not dead and kept alive unnaturally, seemed pretty darned appropriate.

    The good folks at NPR of course decided that it would be funny to interject some sound clips from zombie movies in between sound bites of the reporter interviewing the financial expert.

    Here is another quickie from their marketplace segment:
    http://marketplace.publicradio.org/d..._zombie_banks/




    I f***king love the people at NPR for their sense of humor.

  23. #23
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Good lord fellas, you sound like you're going to make love.
    While we're in confessions mode:

    I just can't quit you, johnsmith.

  24. #24
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Good lord fellas, you sound like you're going to make love.
    Are you some kind of expert on the subject johnsmith, or are you just curious?

    Not that there's anything wrong with that of course.

    I think it's funny my personal aside to DR made you uncomfortable. Insecure much?

  25. #25
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    Are you some kind of expert on the subject johnsmith, or are you just curious?

    Not that there's anything wrong with that of course.

    I think it's funny my personal aside to DR made you uncomfortable. Insecure much?
    Easy there chief. I have a ton of respect for DR's posting, and I actually do for yours as well.

    I was kidding.

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