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Meh. An awful long way of saying "SA will win because it's an odd year."
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1...sons-revealed/
Spurs Will Be The 2009 Champs: The Unwritten Reasons Revealed
If we are going to base my fearless forecast on statistics and probabilities, then I would rather not write.
Scientifically, the San Antonio Spurs don't have much of a chance to win it all in 2009, considering the presence of the almighty Los Angeles Lakers, the defending champions Boston Celtics and the now feared Cleveland Cavaliers.
Kobe and his golden-yellow army in L.A. are snatching victories here and there.
Boston's big three are still as dominant as ever.
Meanwhile, LeBron James and his Cavaliers are constantly piercing their way to the top.
Even Dwight Howard and his fellow sorcerers in Orlando magically catapulted their team to an overall fourth place in the entire league.
So, where do the Spurs stand at the moment? A far second from the L.A. Lakers in the Western Conference and fifth in the entire NBA.
Why then, am I insisting that the Spurs will still bring home the bacon despite being nowhere near Boston, Cleveland, Orlando and the Lakers?
The answer is something I personally call an "Analytical Gambler's Supers ion"
This is something experts won't believe, something fans don't care about.
An unwritten reason indeed. It is a supers ion, but based on factual analysis.
Scrutinizing 2004, 2006, and 2008 Spurs
Observe how the Spurs lost in even numbered NBA seasons.
In 2004, there was the Derek Fisher factor.
In Game Five of their best of seven series, Fisher made a miraculous game winning shot with barely 0.4 seconds remaining to give the Lakers a 3-2 series lead and they eventually sealed the deal in Game Six.
By the start of Game Six, the Spurs were already emotionally drained from the previous game's outcome.
Extremely bad luck for the Spurs, and extremely good luck for the opposing team.
In 2006, there was the Manu Ginobili foul factor.
In Game Seven of the semis between the Spurs and the Mavs, the Spurs were leading by two in the closing seconds when Ginobili committed the worst foul of his life.
He fouled Dirk Nowitzki, the Mav's deadliest shooter, as he was attempting a lay up. The game went into overtime and the Spurs lost.
Again, extremely bad luck for the Spurs and extremely good luck for the opponent.
In 2008, there was the delayed airplane flight factor.
Remember how the Spurs won a hard-fought seventh game against New Orleans during the semis of last season?
They were supposed to immediately go to L.A. to square off against the Lakers. What happened next was the most unfortunate airplane delay that made San Antonio's players sleep in the plane.
Needless to say, the players weren't able to sleep well as they are used to sleeping in lavish hotel rooms and not in an airplane.
As a result, they squandered a 20-point lead to the Lakers in the first game as they were clearly exhausted in the second half, probably because of lack of sleep.
Again and again, extremely bad luck for the Spurs and extremely good luck for their rivals.
Examining 2003, 2005, and 2007 Spurs
Now, lets take a peek at the odd numbered NBA seasons wherein the Spurs won the le.
In 2003, the most dominant players were Shaquille O'Neal and Kobe Bryant. They were fresh from accomplishing their three peat and were poised to add another trophy to their collection.
Not this time, dynamic duo. This is an odd numbered year. The Spurs will beat you black and blue.
Eventually, the Spurs did beat the Lakers and eventually claimed the Larry O' Brien trophy.
Bad luck for the Lakers, great luck for the Spurs.
Moving forward to 2005, the Spurs were up against the seemingly impenetrable Detroit Pistons who were considered the league's best defensive team that year.
When it is written by fate, no amount of defense could stop things from happening. Thus, the Spurs went on to win the championship via a seventh-game win over Detroit.
Bad luck for Detroit, great luck for the Spurs.
We need not mention 2007 here. That year was probably the luckiest for the Spurs as they swept the finals against the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Despite LeBron James's presence, it was still bad luck for Cleveland and great luck for the Spurs.
What about 2009?
Consider that the core of the Spurs team since 2003 are still in San Antonio this year.
Age factor? Yes, but look at Duncan, Parker and Ginobili's output this season before you judge. Plus,the star players of opposing teams are getting old as well.
Opponent factor? Yes, but the Spurs have faced seemingly insurmountable odds before in 2003, yet won it anyway.
Therefore, I reiterate my claim based on my "Analytical Gambler's Supers ion" that the San Antonio Spurs will be this year's NBA champions.
Meh. An awful long way of saying "SA will win because it's an odd year."
Even Duncan says it takes some Luck to win a Championship.
Lets see if we get lucky again.
goddammit the Spurs were winning by 3 vs mavs. Then Manu's fault gave Dirk 3pt play
why he had to remind us
2009 NBA Champions San Antonio Spurs
has a nice ring to it....
Great read...really long to say one thing, but I always get excited about odd years...
IMO the even years were terrible bad luck. But the odd years were mostly the absense of bad luck and Spurs being superior and wanting it more than anyone else.
Spurs could easily be 6 time champions right now if not for the bad luck
99', 03', 05', 07' and soon hopefully....09'? It would be 10 years since the Spurs won #1. Wouldnt it be great if 10 years later they captured #5?
yeah man, i remember that like it was yesterday...too bad the mavs suck and couldnt do anything with that gift
I will NEVER forgive Manu for that... NEVER!
Epic series with an Epic ending
honestly, i really don't see any good luck for the spurs when we won in your arguments. you could have brought the amare/diaw suspensions in 2007 to make your point.
but indeed, you can always find good and bad luck in almost each year, win or lose.
goddammit the Spurs were winning by 3 vs mavs. Then Manu's fault gave Dirk 3pt play
why he had to remind us
I will NEVER forgive Manu for that... NEVER!Epic series with an Epic ending
[MODE MANU'S GROUPIES ON]
if it wasn't for manu, there wouldn't even have been a game 7. you're just haters
[MODE MANU'S GROUPIES OFF]
hey, i've just been bashed for having said in another thread that these 06 PO were disappointing for manu because of this fault, so i guess you deserve the same treatment here.
i dont remember bashing manu....
settle down. none were bashing Manu
The NBA should just crown the Spurs champs and avoid risking its players injuries. No matter that the Spurs are old. No matter that they have been figured out. No matter the injuries. No matter that they have better compe ion. They will win. Book it. Afterall, it is an odd year.
That was probably one of the worst pieces of drivel I've ever read.
i definitely know you weren't. but just saying anything bad, including the 06 foul, about him can get you some harsh treatment by some of his fans. that's what i meant because i experienced it.
imo i wouldn't say it was luck, we keep saying the foul of manu on dirk , what about the foul of fisher on barry last year and was not call, can we say is all luck?
In 2008, there was the delayed airplane flight factor.
Remember how the Spurs won a hard-fought seventh game against New Orleans during the semis of last season?
They were supposed to immediately go to L.A. to square off against the Lakers. What happened next was the most unfortunate airplane delay that made San Antonio's players sleep in the plane.
Needless to say, the players weren't able to sleep well as they are used to sleeping in lavish hotel rooms and not in an airplane.
As a result, they squandered a 20-point lead to the Lakers in the first game as they were clearly exhausted in the second half, probably because of lack of sleep.
Again and again, extremely bad luck for the Spurs and extremely good luck for their rivals.
Stern !!!!!!
In 2008, there was the delayed airplane flight factor.
Remember how the Spurs won a hard-fought seventh game against New Orleans during the semis of last season?
They were supposed to immediately go to L.A. to square off against the Lakers. What happened next was the most unfortunate airplane delay that made San Antonio's players sleep in the plane.
Needless to say, the players weren't able to sleep well as they are used to sleeping in lavish hotel rooms and not in an airplane.
As a result, they squandered a 20-point lead to the Lakers in the first game as they were clearly exhausted in the second half, probably because of lack of sleep.
Again and again, extremely bad luck for the Spurs and extremely good luck for their rivals.
Stern !!!!!!
In 2008, there was the delayed airplane flight factor.
Remember how the Spurs won a hard-fought seventh game against New Orleans during the semis of last season?
They were supposed to immediately go to L.A. to square off against the Lakers. What happened next was the most unfortunate airplane delay that made San Antonio's players sleep in the plane.
Needless to say, the players weren't able to sleep well as they are used to sleeping in lavish hotel rooms and not in an airplane.
As a result, they squandered a 20-point lead to the Lakers in the first game as they were clearly exhausted in the second half, probably because of lack of sleep.
Again and again, extremely bad luck for the Spurs and extremely good luck for their rivals.
Stern !!!!!!
Sounds like Spurs fans already have their excuses lined up for when LA bounces them out yet again.
.
No one has noticed the biggest reason of why we will win this year? We have a much better supporting cast! With Mason & Gooden, along with Bonner knocking down shots, there should be no reason (barring injury of course), that we don't win it all this year.
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