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This pretty much matches what we figured out on the other thread... Good job fellas...
Western Conference playoff scenarios
By Jeff McDonald
For those of you in need of a good headache this afternoon, here are the updated Western Conference playoff scenarios, as released this morning by the NBA:
Denver will be seeded:
• #2 if Nuggets win OR Rockets lose
• #3 if Nuggets lose and Rockets win
Houston will be seeded:
• #2 if Rockets win and Nuggets lose
• #3 if Rockets win and Nuggets win OR if Spurs and Blazers lose.
• #4 if Rockets lose, Spurs win and Blazers lose OR if Rockets lose, Spurs lose and Blazers win.
• #5 if Rockets lose and Spurs and Blazers win.
Portland will be seeded:
• #3 if Blazers win and Rockets and Spurs lose.
• #4 if Blazers win and either the Rockets or Spurs win (but not both) OR if Blazers and Spurs both lose.
• #5 if Blazers lose and Spurs win.
San Antonio will be seeded:
• #3 if Spurs win and Rockets lose.
• #4 if Spurs win, Rockets win and Blazers lose.
• #5 if Spurs lose OR if Rockets and Blazers win.
New Orleans will be seeded:
• #6 if Hornets win OR if Mavericks and Jazz lose.
• #7 if Hornets lose and either Mavericks or Jazz win (but not both)
• #8 if Hornets lose and Mavericks and Jazz win.
Dallas will be seeded:
• #6 if Mavericks win and Hornets lose.
• #7 if Mavericks win and Hornets win OR if Mavericks lose and Jazz lose.
• #8 if Mavericks lose and Jazz win.
Utah will be seeded:
• #6 if Jazz win and Hornets and Mavericks lose.
• #7 if Jazz win and either the Hornets or Mavericks win (both not both)
• #8 if Jazz lose OR Hornets and Mavericks win.
This pretty much matches what we figured out on the other thread... Good job fellas...
best explanation yet, thanks
Alright so now things are a little more clear.
I'm still confused!
I would prefer for the Spurs not to start off w/Portland so they need the #3 seed. They just have to win and hope the rockets lose.
Wednesday is going to be a great basketball night!! Will these games be on ESPN or TNT?
The Spurs game will only be on locally on FSNSW, while ESPN will have a double-header of Rockets-Mavs and Nuggets-Blazers.I'm still confused!
I would prefer for the Spurs not to start off w/Portland so they need the #3 seed. They just have to win and hope the rockets lose.
Wednesday is going to be a great basketball night!! Will these games be on ESPN or TNT?
This story is just a cut and paste from NBA.com.
Screw the scenarios. I never liked the theory of matchup avoidance. If you're good, just beat the team that you're matched up against.
Damn, Everyone has hard games to finish. Denver, Portland, Dallas, SA, NO, Houston, are all playing playoff teams for their final game.
We at least have a hope that HOuston loses tomorrow. NO is looking hobbled without Chandler and Peja, so that helps us. I would love to play them they way the look now.
Except that Chandler and Peja are both scheduled to play tomorrow, and since they always play like All Stars against the Spurs, look forward to a tough game.
Don't want to play Portland without home court....everything else we can live with if need be. To me that is the only nightmare scenario.
I don't know about nightmare, but it's not my favorite. It just means we'll have to rev into Ass-Stomping Overdrive Mode even quicker than usual.
Predictions?
I think Denver can beat Portland in Portland, but the Oregonians probably want to send a message. That's going to be a tough one. I wouldn't be surprised if Denver comes out to an early lead, and Portland battles back. They've done that all season.
Dallas has been playing fairly good at home, and they seem to be getting up to play good teams, but I don't see who is going to stop Yao in the paint. Dampier is the only guy they have and unless he gets some home cooking, he's going to be sitting down with foul trouble early and often. Is Howard even playing for Dallas?
As far as our game, it will all depend how Chandler is doing coming back. Peja looked out of rhythm against Houston. Then again, for some reason NO is a team that one night can have David West putting up 30 points and Antonio "Mr Freeze" Daniels shooting 80% from the field. Then another night they end up with a stinker (Houston game). If Timmy's knees are healthy, I still think we'll pull it out.
So I'll go with:
- Denver over Portland
- Houston over Dallas
- Spurs over Hornets
In that scenario, we would end up with the #4 seed, and open against Portland with HCA.
So more than likely, the Spurs will play the Trailblazers or Rockets in the first round?
Not necessarily. If Dallas and San Antonio both win, they'd face each other in Round 1.
The East has locked up 6 seedings (only seeds 6/7 left). West has only locked up 1 seed.
Wild, Wild, West indeed.
I can't wait for Thursday morning. West will have some great match-ups. I hope for
Lakers vs Jazz
Denver vs Nuggets
Spews vs Mavs
Rockets vs Portland
Thart 2 me would be best 1st round match ups
So if the Spurs beat the Hornets and the Mavs beat the Rockets it will be Mavs vs. Spus in round 1. Perfect. That is the dream matchup!
I assume you mean Denver vs. New Orleans.
If so, I'd also like those pairings.
Remember the days when your seed was determined like 2 weeks out from the playoffs, and you could rest your starters through the last games?
Looks like this damn season is going to come down to the buzzer out West.
We'll play Blazers or Mavs
As of today Spurs, Rockets and Blazers have a 0.654 winning record, with means.
San Antonio will be seeded
#3; 0.654*(1-0.654) = 0.226284 or 22.6% of the time
#4; 0.654*0.654*(1-0.654)= 0.147989736 or 14.8% of the time
#5; (1-0.654) + 0.654*0.654*0.654=0.625726264 or 62.6% of the time
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