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  1. #26
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    I'm still waiting for your proposed economic policy that will get the country out of this recession. If it's a tested and sound policy, even better yet.
    How about not replacing the last collapsed house of cards with another?

  2. #27
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    How about cutting the bailout and social spending by 2.5 trillion instead?
    The Republicans didn't have the balls to cut social spending, and actually spearheaded the bailouts. What makes you think a democrat government will undo all that?

  3. #28
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    Japan during the Great Depression and again in the early '90s.
    So you want the USA to be like the Empire of Japan was? How else can you make it work?

    I can see it now... Emperor Obama... Has kinda a nice ring, huh?

  4. #29
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    We love tax cuts and government spending. At some point, something's got to give.

    $2 trillion deficit? How about we agree to cutting spending by $1 trillion and increasing taxes by $1 trillion? Sound fair?
    Neither side will give in to that, though sensible. Much like a real compromise on the social insurance programs which ins utes means testing and provides assistance to those who need it, as opposed to everyone, will never fly politically.

  5. #30
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    The Republicans didn't have the balls to cut social spending, and actually spearheaded the bailouts. What makes you think a democrat government will undo all that?
    Spearheaded the bailout? Am I remembering that wrong?

    Correct me if I'm wrong. The October bailout almost didn't happen because the democrats had enough votes, but they wanted to get some republicans to vote with them!

    Am I right or wrong?

  6. #31
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    Spearheaded the bailout? Am I remembering that wrong?

    Correct me if I'm wrong. The October bailout almost didn't happen because the democrats had enough votes, but they wanted to get some republicans to vote with them!

    Am I right or wrong?
    Eh, that was a bipartisan effort, at least in name. But really an unipartisan effort of the DC party.

    Remind me again whose Treasury secretary ran to the Congress screaming for a $700 billion blank check.

  7. #32
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Japan
    The Great Depression did not strongly affect Japan. The Japanese economy shrank by 8% during 1929–31. However, Japan's Finance Minister Takahashi Korekiyo was the first to implement what have come to be identified as Keynesian economic policies: first, by large fiscal stimulus involving deficit spending; and second, by devaluing the currency. Takahashi used the Bank of Japan to sterilize the deficit spending and minimize resulting inflationary pressures. Econometric studies have identified the fiscal stimulus as especially effective.[48]
    The devaluation of the currency had an immediate effect. Japanese textiles began to displace British textiles in export markets. The deficit spending, however proved to be most profound. The deficit spending went into the purchase of munitions for the armed forces. By 1933, Japan was already out of the depression. By 1934 Takahashi realized that the economy was in danger of overheating, and to avoid inflation, moved to reduce the deficit spending that went towards armaments and munitions. This resulted in a strong and swift negative reaction from nationalists, especially those in the Army, culminating in his assassination in the course of the February 26 Incident. This had a chilling effect on all civilian bureaucrats in the Japanese government. From 1934, the military's dominance of the government continued to grow. Instead of reducing deficit spending, the government introduced price controls and rationing schemes that reduced, but did not eliminate inflation, which would remain a problem until the end of World War II.
    The deficit spending had a transformative effect on Japan. Japan's industrial production doubled during the 1930s. Further, in 1929 the list of the largest firms in Japan was dominated by light industries, especially textile companies (many of Japan's automakers, like Toyota, have their roots in the textile industry). By 1940 light industry had been displaced by heavy industry as the largest firms inside the Japanese economy.

    LINK

    ROFL. Please, oh great one, inform me of when it has worked here.
    They were never applied completely in the US. Roosevelt tried to do it while keeping the budget balanced, and he failed miserably. Hence, the attempt to apply these rules while being fiscally conservative has already been proven to FAIL.

    There's one more historical tidbit we can learn from:
    The crisis had many political consequences, among which was the abandonment of classic economic liberal approaches, which Roosevelt replaced in the United States with Keynesian policies. These policies magnified the role of the federal government in the national economy. Between 1933 and 1939, federal expenditure tripled, and Roosevelt's critics charged that he was turning America into a socialist state.

    Sounds familiar?

  8. #33
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    Remind me again whose Treasury secretary ran to the Congress screaming for a $700 billion blank check.
    Yep, he was a lame piece of . A very poor appointment. President Bush should have never listened to him.

    Also... the conflict of interest...

  9. #34
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    ElNono, borrowing and deficit spending is fine when used properly. The problem is, we always have deficit spending. When there is no control to pay it back in peacetime and a growing economy, there is only certain doom.

  10. #35
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    Remember the 70s?

    As for the Great Depression, that eventually ended thanks to WWII and the federal government spending more than the nation's GDP at times.

    Of course, I guess we should forget about the recent Japanese experience and the implications for increasing debt financed government expenditure after the collapse of an asset bubble. Not to mention, easing monetary policy to go along with that.

  11. #36
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Spearheaded the bailout? Am I remembering that wrong?
    Excuse me? You were the first in line ing at Bush and all the Republican cronies for even proposing the bailout. Or are you going to deny that the TARP program was invented by a republican and implemented by a Republican administration?

    Correct me if I'm wrong. The October bailout almost didn't happen because the democrats had enough votes, but they wanted to get some republicans to vote with them!

    Am I right or wrong?
    Are you telling me the democrats you abhor were about to save the day from a Republican bailout?

  12. #37
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    Yep, he was a lame piece of . A very poor appointment. President Bush should have never listened to him.

    Also... the conflict of interest...
    Yet, Bush did and a rather large contingent of congressional Republicans went along with it (a majority, if I am not mistaken). There's no way to claim that these bailouts are somehow merely a Democratic effort.

  13. #38
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    ElNono, borrowing and deficit spending is fine when used properly. The problem is, we always have deficit spending. When there is no control to pay it back in peacetime and a growing economy, there is only certain doom.
    We had a balanced budget merely 8 years ago. Even a projected surplus.

  14. #39
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    As for the Great Depression, that eventually ended thanks to WWII and the federal government spending more than the nation's GDP at times.
    Sounds like an argument that keynesianism worked -- military keynesianism.

  15. #40
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    Excuse me? You were the first in line ing at Bush and all the Republican cronies for even proposing the bailout.
    Yes, and as the democrats created the legislation, and more facts came out, it lost republican support.
    Or are you going to deny that the TARP program was invented by a republican and implemented by a Republican administration?
    This was a serious mistake by president Bush. I never said otherwise. However, the democrats really twisted it when they got a hold of it. Even in it's untwisted form, I was firmly against it.
    Are you telling me the democrats you abhor were about to save the day from a Republican bailout?
    There was that threat. I recall them stalling the final vote and making changes to get the republicans go along with them that didn't at first.
    Yet, Bush did and a rather large contingent of congressional Republicans went along with it (a majority, if I am not mistaken). There's no way to claim that these bailouts are somehow merely a Democratic effort.
    I don't remember the numbers. Have them handy by chance? I think it was about 1/3rd of the republicans, wasn't it?

  16. #41
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    We had a balanced budget merely 8 years ago. Even a projected surplus.
    Then why was there a deficit?

  17. #42
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    Sounds like an argument that keynesianism worked -- military keynesianism.
    Perhaps. If we are prepared to move to a command economy with the government spending $15 trillion+ a year (forget about this piker of a $3.5 trillion annual federal budget). Of course, some argue that the depression really didn't end until the late 40s as the federal government started to ramp down public expenditure and the federal government finally ended its almost two decade long massive intervention in the economy.

  18. #43
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Yes, and as the democrats created the legislation, and more facts came out, it lost republican support.
    Excuse me? The bill was introduced by a Democrat, but it had 274 cosponsors, including many Republicans. Not to mention this was entirely a Bush creation.

    This was a serious mistake by president Bush. I never said otherwise. However, the democrats really twisted it when they got a hold of it. Even in it's untwisted form, I was firmly against it.
    I know you were. I think pretty much everyone was. You don't really need to be a republican or democrat to know that was some bull legislation.

    There was that threat. I recall them stalling the final vote and making changes to get the republicans go along with them that didn't at first.
    They didn't want to take sole responsibility for passing such a measure. Understandable considering the presidential election was looming.

    I don't remember the numbers. Have them handy by chance? I think it was about 1/3rd of the republicans, wasn't it?
    Here's the senate count: LINK

    Way more than 1/3...

  19. #44
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    I don't remember the numbers. Have them handy by chance? I think it was about 1/3rd of the republicans, wasn't it?
    House GOP: 91 Yeas, 108 Nays

    Senate GOP: 33 Yeas, 15 Nays

    Executive GOP: 1 Yea

  20. #45
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    They were never applied completely in the US. Roosevelt tried to do it while keeping the budget balanced, and he failed miserably. Hence, the attempt to apply these rules while being fiscally conservative has already been proven to FAIL.
    While we're on the subject of Japan, take a look at how Keynesian policies DIDN'T work there in the 1990's, and what the resultant effect was on their national debt.

  21. #46
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Then why was there a deficit?
    What deficit? LINK

  22. #47
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Perhaps. If we are prepared to move to a command economy with the government spending $15 trillion+ a year (forget about this piker of a $3.5 trillion annual federal budget). Of course, some argue that the depression really didn't end until the late 40s as the federal government started to ramp down public expenditure and the federal government finally ended its almost two decade long massive intervention in the economy.
    The numbers seem to back you up. Who's your source for this. MB?

    Deficit spending (as a percentage of GDP) didn't pick up again until the mid 1970's, ed under Reagan and GHWB, and again under GWB.

  23. #48
    Pimp Marcus Bryant's Avatar
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    The numbers seem to back you up. Who's your source for this. MB?
    My memory, not that I was there though. Will find the source.


    Deficit spending (as a percentage of GDP) didn't pick up again until the mid 1970's, ed under Reagan and GHWB, and again under GWB.
    I was reminded of Nixon's "we're all Keynesians now" quote.

  24. #49
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    OK, play that stupid game.

    Did they follow the budget...

    If they did, why was the a larger debt each year afterward?

    I can make a household budget that shows I save $2,000 a month. Doesn't mean if I spend that money anyway.

    I budgeted to save the $2,000, but didn't follow through.

    Bottom line and what's important. can you show me those years that the debt was reduced?

    Was there a larger or smaller debt at the end of those budgeted.

    I don't know about you, but I look at the reconciled numbers. Not the bull they lay out for lemmings.

  25. #50
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    I don't know about you, but I look at the reconciled numbers. Not the bull they lay out for lemmings.
    Ok, let's play that stupid game. Let's see your numbers, WC.

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