Per NHC.
11:00 PM AST Tue Aug 18
Location: 17.2°N 53.4°W
Max sustained: 125 mph
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 952 mb
000
WTNT63 KNHC 190030
TCUAT3
HURRICANE BILL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
830 PM AST TUE AUG 18 2009
...BILL BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...
REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT BILL HAS
STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125
MPH...205 KM/HR. BILL A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. A COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
KIMBERLAIN/PASCH
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
Looks like he's on a WNW track right now, heading straight for the Lesser Antilles.
EDIT: Looks like he's experiencing some dry air to his W side. Could slow him down and weaken him a bit.
Last edited by Cry Havoc; 08-18-2009 at 11:24 PM.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/S.../anim16wv.html
Good IR animation here.
Current models are forecasting Bill to miss the NE seaboard by about 200 miles (mean), though some models have him bearing right down on the coast.
And this:
http://forums.accuweather.com/index....=post&id=50663
Is downright scary.
Better stay tuned to this 'cane, could be a bad one for the northern coast.
Very frightening path projections as they are now much closer to the coast than they were before. A large impact on NYC is not out of the question here.
Damn Bill!
Ohhhh noooooooooooooo!!!
Do you have a water temp graphic? Usually by the time storms get that far north the lower water temps have killed development, and they're going quite rapidly.
Bill has reached Category 4 status with sustained winds (1 min) of 135 mph.
Everyone on the Eastern Seaboard from Washington D.C. north should be watching this storm.
This isn't necessarily true. Yes, cooler water will end the life of a hurricane, but it's a matter of HOW cool the water is, but also how fast the hurricane is moving. If it's moving fast enough, the cold water will not have enough time to dissipate it unless it the cooler waters start very far out to sea.
Last edited by Cry Havoc; 08-19-2009 at 10:51 AM.
The worst that will probably happen is some coastal erosion from big waves...predicted conditions are just not there for it to make landfall on the east coast.
[New Englander]Why do those idiot Texans choose to live close to the coast where hurricanes can hit? Dumb rednecks.[/New Englander]
Not my pandas @ National Zoo.
Just another friendly reminder to me of why I don't ever want to live on the east coast.
In fairness, there's a bit of a frequency difference between the Northeastern Seaboard and Texas in terms of the # of hurricanes coming ashore.
That's by no means certain right now. Hurricane forecasting is still in it's infancy, and the there is some disagreement in the models at the moment where Bill will go.
That's pretty damn close to the coast. A bit of a West turn in Bill now, or if he decides to speed up suddenly puts him right along the coastline.
We need that stupid high pressure system that's been camped out here all summer to suddenly move to the east coast.
Another potential track:
That is ~100 miles off-shore. Way too close to say he's going to miss the NE coast.
Uh.
.
If Bill rolled over south texas.............the San Antonio domed force field would shatter that storm.
Pretty sure many Texans are praying for a hurricane to hit Texas right about now.
If you do not have access to a pool, you are pretty much SOL for finding a cool wet place in this state
I'd settle for a warm wet place.
When did you become Manny, and if you are Manny who is Manny?
Holy . hope it doesnt hit jersey hard
manhattan's gonna get ed up
but hey can you say stock holiday?
99% total miss, next.
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