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Clinton people:
Are you going to let these Obama people diss your girl like that? Stand up to them!
Total = 318
The fact that this is even plausible shows his electoral strength. He has more possible ways of getting to 270 than she does. Since she isn't the nominee, it doesn't really matter if you disagree.
What you will also notice is that he can sustain a loss in Ohio without a problem. It appears that the economy there makes a democrat favored to win it.
Even Rendell conceded Barack would win PA.
CO is trending democratic. MO is a swing state and Barack appears to be in good shape in that state (Notice that this argument doesn't falsely conclude based upon the primary results that for that reason alone he is stronger than Hillary there or that Hillary can't win there for that reason alone). VA demographically and based upon his primary results looks to fall under his sway.
Again, Bush's approval rating, the soaring gas prices, the economy for main street, the unpopularity of the republican brand, the discontent of evangelicals and other Republicans with McCain, the Special Election results all portend that the democratic nominee is much more likely than not to prevail.
That nominee in this case happens to be Barack Obama. He has a unique ability to connect with voters, inspire voters, get voters to the polls, mobilize voters to become supporters and volunteer for him. His powers of persuasion is incredible. The appeal of that upon the electorate is immense. McCain will fare poorly by comparison.
In addition, it was not the ideology that was the downfall of other progressive candidates. It was their lack of the traits that Barack has in full measure which I described in my last paragraph.
Furthermore, he cannot be painted as weak on national defense and a pacifist when he supported the war in Afghanistan. He occupies the center. Supporting the war in Iraq will be the difference. That difference drives McCain out onto the fringe, (not the center occupied by those who want a strong national defense, but which is sensible and rational also).
http://www.270towin.com
Okay, my guesses:
WA + 11
OR + 7
NV + 5
CA + 55
CO + 9
NM + 5
MN +10
IA +7
MO +11
WI +10
MI +17
IL +21
HI +4
DC +3
OH +20
VA +13
MD +10
DE +3
PA +21
NJ +15
NY +31
CT +7
RI +4
MA +12
NH +4
VT +3
ME +4
Clinton people:
Are you going to let these Obama people diss your girl like that? Stand up to them!
hey, Here is the thread to bookmark for bringing back up on November 10th.
Note to self: Try to get this as a clearinghouse for election predictions.
http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=95267
(thread about potential GOP troubles in the congressional election)
Anybody else have any other "prediction" type threads they can remember, post it here.
or , make one if you got the gonads to step up.
I think that Obama will end up with a pretty solid electoral victory, but a fairly slim margin of victory when it comes to total popular vote.
I think that the GOP will lose a good number of congressional seats, and a LOT of state elections of various sorts.
Let's see if that pans out.
Obama_is_my_daddy_Obama_is_my_daddy_Obama_is_my_da ddy_Obama_is_my_daddy_John Stamos_is_my_daddy_Obama_is_my_daddy_
Obama4life es
Republicans will be back in the white house 100% if Barack wins the nomination... If Hillary wins, Republicans will still win, but not as easy.
Fair enough. Noted and logged.
Poor Clanny will, as Poor Hillary has, gonna get his fatt butt kicked 4 Nov.
Then all the Clannys, Yonis, Aggies, WCobras, bubbas, neo- Kool-aid drinkers will be reduced to Natetring Nabobs of Negatism as HUSSEIN baby! tries to fix up dubya's rape of govt.
Oooh here is a good one.
Tasty.
Nice bump.
DUN DUN DUN.
Would you like a hot dog to go with the cool aid?
oooh here is an oldy but a goody.
Still delicious, those salty tears...
Sweet
Ha-ha. Suck it.
Still as delicious today as it was 6 months ago.
That means 2012. Isn't it premature to laugh now?Still as delicious today as it was 6 months ago.
Hm? How do you figure? He said if Barack wins the NOMINATION... not the Presidency. Try again?
OK, I didn't follow the thread dates correct. In hindsight, it makes perfect sense that he was elected.
Still, with the blunders he and the demonrats in congress are doing, it is getting more and more likely that all will become republican controlled in 2012.
The Soros DNC are facists but , can't we come up with something better than that vision.
Sarah! Sarah! Sarah!
Don't even joke about it.
Sarah! Sarah! Sarah!
Republicans fail to realize that even though Obama's poll #'s may be dropping some, (even though every POTUS over the last decade #'s has) their popularity isn't going up either. I don't know what makes them think that they will win anything in 2012. Especially with this current cast of characters.
Of course, what he's doing to the country is sorta irrelevant.
The anarchist within me pines for a Palin/Coulter ticket.
Sarah! Sarah! Sarah!
That or a Jerry Seinfeld/Willie Nelson campaign.
Tough choice.
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