I don't think people realize how different the lakers have been without bynum.
The lakers have a +135 five man combination with bynum. Four of their five best 5 man combinations are with bynum.
their others without him are good, but the spurs combinations are similar.
Without Bynum, the lakers are not nearly as big.
I think the lakers are pretty hurt. Odom, kobe, and gasol have traded off injuries all year. Bynum might not be able to go even during the playoffs.
I agree with your assessment if you think Bynum is going in the playoffs, but otherwise I think the Spurs are not far off with Hill and parker back, even limited. Parker is not going to get better than he will be during the first round.