If he didn't pitch for the Tampa Bay Rays, Jeremy ickson would likely be in the big leagues already. However, the depth of their starting rotation has the right-hander -- who just turned 23 -- making mincemeat of Triple-A hitters for the moment, waiting for an opportunity.
ickson is coming off a season in which he posted a 2.38 ERA and struck out 62 batters over 56 2/3 innings in 11 Double-A starts, and then posted a 2.51 ERA and 70 strikeouts over 57 1/3 innings in nine Triple-A outings. He held batters to a .178 average on the season, and although part of that can be attributed to simple good luck, it reflects how dominance he has versus minor league hitters.
Well, this season he has picked up right where he left off, with three great starts at Triple-A to begin the year, allowing just one run in each of them with a 21 strikeouts to three walks in 19 innings.
The 6-foot-1 righty's fastball sits in the low 90s but has touched 94 mph on occasion, and it is even more effective because of his excellent command. The heater has some movement in on left-handed batters, and ickson has an ability to spot it on both sides of the dish. He also features two "plus" secondary offerings, a changeup and a curve. His circle change has improved enough over the past two years that it's now the better of the two pitches; it has very good sink and fade, and he has learned to maintain his arm speed while throwing it. His high-70s curveball has good shape and a downward three-quarters bite, and he commands it enough to throw it for strikes or use it as a chase pitch if needed. It just needs a touch more consistency.
In short, ickson has all the weapons he'll need, with the command and control of them to project him as a No. 2 starter. He's not afraid to attack hitters and has been praised for his mound presence and what Rays pitching coach Jim Hickey calls his "bulldog mentality."
The knocks on ickson come down to durability and endurance, and not because of the stigma often wrongly attached to short right-handed starters. Though his delivery is relatively easy from a high three-quarters slot, his arm is a bit late, which puts additional stress on his arm, especially his shoulder. He had some shoulder issues before being drafted, came down with a sore arm at the end of the 2006 season, and missed more than a month last year because of a sprained shoulder. I'm not going to knock him significantly for it, as there are many pitchers with similar mechanical issues who have proved to be fairly durable, but it's definitely worth mentioning. It's also worth noting that even though we are quibbling about his arm action, he has progressed to the point where he repeats his delivery very well, which leads to good command.
Over the past three seasons, ickson's innings counts have been 111, 152 and 114, so in some respects, ickson still must prove he's capable of consistently taking the ball every fifth day over the course of 180-plus innings.
Although the Rays don't have a need right now, Rays vice president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman already said during spring training that ickson could help the club this season, and he's likely the first option if a spot opens up because of injury. Regardless, ickson's reputation as one of the best pitching prospects in baseball is well deserved.