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  1. #1
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    And pay special attention to the source:

    http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-...atestheadlines

    The $800 billion economic stimulus package signed into law early last year "has had a slightly bigger effect on the U.S. economy than was projected when it was passed more than a year ago," the Wall Street Journal reports.

    "Through the first quarter of 2010, the stimulus boosted employment by an estimated 1.3 million to 2.8 million jobs, about a quarter or half million more than projected. Gross domestic product was 1.7 to 4.1 percentage points higher than it would have been without the stimulus."

  2. #2
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    I would be curious how they differentiate between how much the stimulus helped, and what it would have been without the stimulus.


    DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

    The $800 billion U.S. stimulus package has had a slightly bigger effect on the U.S. economy than was ...

    To continue reading, Subscribe now.
    Please don't spam us.

    Worse yet, the le tells us it's from the CBO. Do you trust the CBO?
    CBO: Economic Effect Of Stimulus Bigger Than Projected
    Why are you being a tool for the demonrats?
    Last edited by Wild Cobra; 05-27-2010 at 10:22 AM.

  3. #3
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Worse yet, the le tells us it's from the CBO. Do you trust the CBO?
    What would the reason(s) be to not trust the CBO?

  4. #4
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    What would the reason(s) be to not trust the CBO?
    Are you serious? They have one of the worse track records of analysis and predictions ever.

    They may be bipartisan, but they are elitist stateists.

  5. #5
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Is this one of those "it would have been much worse if we did nothing" reports? Kind of difficult to prove.


    Sincerely,

    15 million unemployed Americans

  6. #6
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    Is this one of those "it would have been much worse if we did nothing" reports? Kind of difficult to prove.


    Sincerely,

    15 million unemployed Americans
    There is nothing you can show me that it helped.

    Sincerely,

    Darrins

  7. #7
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Are you serious? They have one of the worse track records of analysis and predictions ever.

    They may be bipartisan, but they are elitist stateists.
    here is the link:

    http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc...05-25-ARRA.pdf

    which part of this is an example of bad analysis in your opinion

  8. #8
    Veteran jack sommerset's Avatar
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    LOL@ better than expected. Barry said if we pass the Stimulus that unemployment wouldn't go above 8 percent.

    Stimulus didn't work.

  9. #9
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    LOL@ better than expected. Barry said if we pass the Stimulus that unemployment wouldn't go above 8 percent.

    Stimulus didn't work.



    The $800 billion economic stimulus package signed into law early last year "has had a slightly bigger effect on the U.S. economy than was projected when it was passed more than a year ago," the Wall Street Journal reports.

    "Through the first quarter of 2010, the stimulus boosted employment by an estimated 1.3 million to 2.8 million jobs, about a quarter or half million more than projected. Gross domestic product was 1.7 to 4.1 percentage points higher than it would have been without the stimulus."

  10. #10
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    LOL@ better than expected. Barry said if we pass the Stimulus that unemployment wouldn't go above 8 percent.

    Stimulus didn't work.
    Even I thought that was optimistic bull .

    Stimulus did work, it isn't as bad as it would have been otherwise.

  11. #11
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    Gross domestic product was 1.7 to 4.1 percentage points higher than it would have been without the stimulus."
    Do you really believe their crystal ball?

    Please tell me you aren't that naive.

  12. #12
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    Even I thought that was optimistic bull .

    Stimulus did work, it isn't as bad as it would have been otherwise.
    How do you know it wouldn't be better if the stimulus didn't pass? can you see into alternate dimensions?

  13. #13
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    WC, If you want to stop talking in bull anecdotes and actually provide data on why the stimulus didn't help or how things would not be any worse or even better without it then by all means I'm ready to listen.

  14. #14
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Do you really believe their crystal ball?

    Please tell me you aren't that naive.
    GDP is, in part, calculated by factoring in government spending as part of the equation, if you may remember from some previous discussions.

    Make the "G" term bigger, especially by borrowing, and you get larger GDP, QED.

    One thing that I think a lot of people lose sight of is that spending on infrastructure projects has some rather solid synergies.

  15. #15
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    LOL@ better than expected. Barry said if we pass the Stimulus that unemployment wouldn't go above 8 percent.

    Stimulus didn't work.
    you don't like to read, do you.

    much easier to ass talk.

  16. #16
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    here is the link:

    http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc...05-25-ARRA.pdf

    which part of this is an example of bad analysis in your opinion
    That's a recent do ent. Past predictions have a 50% chance either way if done correctly. If the past prediction was purposely low-balled, it has a higher than 50% chance of saying the bailout worked.

    Again, what would have happened if there was no bailout? Can you trust a CBO report on that? Wasn't unemployment not suppose to get as high as it did?

    Please wake-up, and stop trusting these elitists. They only have their future as a concern. Not yours.

  17. #17
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    That's a recent do ent. Past predictions have a 50% chance either way if done correctly. If the past prediction was purposely low-balled, it has a higher than 50% chance of saying the bailout worked.

    Again, what would have happened if there was no bailout? Can you trust a CBO report on that? Wasn't unemployment not suppose to get as high as it did?

    Please wake-up, and stop trusting these elitists. They only have their future as a concern. Not yours.
    So you don't trust the CBO at all. Is that what you are saying?

  18. #18
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    You act as if the CBO is the only one saying it worked. In the past I have linked several private economic firms who have said the exact same thing: Without the stimulus - the recession is far worse.

    I don't even think any serious person takes this as a debatable issue. I just post these threads to get people like you and Jack to squirm with BS.

  19. #19
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    One thing that I think a lot of people lose sight of is that spending on infrastructure projects has some rather solid synergies.
    I will agree to the "infrastructure."

    How much of the bailout had anything to do with infrastructure?

    Did we build a border fence?

    Did we improve the transit systems?

    Are the Pennsylvania Interstates still filled with potholes?

    Have we built any large power systems?

    As far as I know, we didn't do any new construction at large scale. We only did "Trickle-Down-Bailouts" at large scale. My God. To say they are "too large to fail" is giving in to Fascism.

  20. #20
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    So you don't trust the CBO at all. Is that what you are saying?
    Yes, I resemble that remark.

  21. #21
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
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    WC, If you want to stop talking in bull anecdotes and actually provide data on why the stimulus didn't help or how things would not be any worse or even better without it then by all means I'm ready to listen.
    And the data you provided is proof?

    Please don't make me laugh.

  22. #22
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    Yes, I resemble that remark.
    So is there any non partisan organization that you would trust when reviewing their economic data?

  23. #23
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    And the data you provided is proof?

    Please don't make me laugh.
    Where's your proof to refute the article?

  24. #24
    I play pretty, no? TeyshaBlue's Avatar
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    here is the link:

    http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc...05-25-ARRA.pdf

    which part of this is an example of bad analysis in your opinion
    I'm a pretty big fan of the CBO, personally. They seem to couch their estimates fairly. Of course, the OP doesn't mention that this is only an estimate. The CBO admits that the underlying employment data isn't exactly pristine and has to use models based upon "previous similar policies" in addition to other corrective methodology. That's why it's an estimate. I guess Manny likes estimates.

  25. #25
    I play pretty, no? TeyshaBlue's Avatar
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    One thing that I think a lot of people lose sight of is that spending on infrastructure projects has some rather solid synergies.
    I think that's one of the factors that keeps the employment figures from being as solid as the CBO would like.

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