Hmm didn't see a link in my brief bit here.
The Runaway General
Just so that those of us not too lazy to actually read it have a link.
Potential and almost certain bad outcomes:
Taliban sweeps back into power, providing easy access to training camps for potential al Qaeda militant operatives.
Skeptics of US policies and willingness to "tough it out" are vindicated, decreasing the amount of cooperation we get in many areas, because we have proven, yet again, that we will cut and run when things get mildly difficult.
Al Qaeda will, in essence, claim victory, and they will be right. This will make it much easier for them to convince others to join their cause.
Those are the direct, first order results. I would not even care to guess at a lot of the second + order results.
Hmm didn't see a link in my brief bit here.
The Runaway General
Just so that those of us not too lazy to actually read it have a link.
I agree on all points.
Problem is, no one wants to stay there for 20-40 years, or however long it is necessary to be assured the Taliban are gone for good. The homeland is in economic decay and it's simply illogical to keep fighting these wars in the name of democracy/preventing terrorism/whatever. "We" (our civilian and military leaders) have only ourselves to blame for once again, putting us in a tough situation with no legitimate exit strategy.
I still have hope. 150,000 Allied troops in Afghanistan and just over 12 months til the first large-scale departures begin. It'll be an interesting year for the theater, that's for sure.
I used to admire Karzai. That has changed.This is one of the central flaws with McChrystal's counterinsurgency strategy: The need to build a credible government puts us at the mercy of whatever tin-pot leader we've backed – a danger that Eikenberry explicitly warned about in his cable. Even Team McChrystal privately acknowledges that Karzai is a less-than-ideal partner. "He's been locked up in his palace the past year," laments one of the general's top advisers. At times, Karzai himself has actively undermined McChrystal's desire to put him in charge. During a recent visit to Walter Reed Army Medical Center, Karzai met three U.S. soldiers who had been wounded in Uruzgan province. "General," he called out to McChrystal, "I didn't even know we were fighting in Uruzgan!"
It is highly logical to be there.
Read up on the following book:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Pentagon's_New_Map
If you want to tap into the mind of the junior officers that are coming into the O6+ ranks (Col/general/admiral+), learn what this guy is saying.
I caught the briefing he gives on CSPAN one day, and it astonishingly perfectly put into words and solid concepts things that I had vaguely formed for years, but never bothered to sit down and outline.
Mr. Barnett pretty much has the ear of the pentagon and is pivotal in forming a lot of thinking of up and coming leaders.
He is also pretty much spot on. The danger to the US is not from developed nations, it comes from the Gap that he talks about.
We need a different army and are slowly shaping that into one more capable of handling the types of wars we actually end up fighting, as opposed to the WW2/Cold War era nation-to-nation mindset that is the definition of starting the next war with the army from the last one.
bush also fired shinseki.
(from page 3 on website) http://www.rollingstone.com/politics...RS_show_page=3
Interesting article.
Perhaps that was the wrong wording; what I mean is, it's illogical to stay if the majority of Americans don't think it's necessary. Is the Taliban planning on invading the USA, or even Iraq if they regain power? It might seem necessary to stick it out but I don't think it is. We'll never crush out the terrorists for good, ever.
Long story short, I don't think we have the money, political will, or public desire to be there for 20-40 years.
I will definitely look into it. Thanks for the suggestion. And I agree it's time to change the way we wage war. I think Patraeus and others are on the road to doing just that.Read up on the following book:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Pentagon's_New_Map
If you want to tap into the mind of the junior officers that are coming into the O6+ ranks (Col/general/admiral+), learn what this guy is saying.
I caught the briefing he gives on CSPAN one day, and it astonishingly perfectly put into words and solid concepts things that I had vaguely formed for years, but never bothered to sit down and outline.
Mr. Barnett pretty much has the ear of the pentagon and is pivotal in forming a lot of thinking of up and coming leaders.
He is also pretty much spot on. The danger to the US is not from developed nations, it comes from the Gap that he talks about.
We need a different army and are slowly shaping that into one more capable of handling the types of wars we actually end up fighting, as opposed to the WW2/Cold War era nation-to-nation mindset that is the definition of starting the next war with the army from the last one.
I think this is, unfortunately, right on.
I hate it, but I think we have to stay there for a while...
but I keep remembering that "Afghanistan is where empires go to die".
Truly a situation where there are no good alternatives, but some alternatives (like taking off right now or in 6 months or so) are clearly worse than others.
I absolutely hate having to admit that.
Afghanistan is a stone age country ruled by tribal chiefs that switch sides at will. They admire strength as long as you don't with their little local power game. Start pussing out trying to avoid conflict, and let the Taliban back in unmolested to choose where/when they hit you and you not only lose casualties you lose the confidence of the tribal chiefs. They are a brutal people. You have to show strength and resolve or you are ed.
The Soviets showed plenty. They failed.
Have you actually read the counter insurgency manual?
Correction. Afghanistan isn't even a country. They don't and never have accepted a centralized government. The concept is totally foreign to them. It's ing indian territory and they are some tough bas s.
He doesn't know what the term means.
They admire strength, not stupidity. The Russians occupied the cities and raided the countryside and planted a bazillion landmines blowing up and maiming a ton of locals. That pissed off the tribal chiefs which made it fertile ground for the Taliban after the CIA/US split after the Russians got their ass kicked.
...so, you haven't read the counterinsurgency manual?
Field Manual 3-24 in pdf format
282 pages that summarizes everything learned from counterinsurgency, esp. by the US military in Vietnam.
Yes, I have read the whole thing. Good reading, and I would recommend that anybody who wants to have an informed opinion on Afghanistan do the same, for reasons stated previously.
Sorry, I actually have a job and have not read the counterinsurgency manual cover to cover but understand the highlights.
Meanwhile, Are you ing stupid? Do you not know how this mess started? The US armed and trained the ing Taliban with the goal of defeating the evil USSR empire. Yeah, we knew they were religious fanatics but they were stone cold killers and thats what we needed, not a bunch of farmers. Well, when the USSR left Afghanistan we did too, and left the general population to the mercy of the Taliban instead of staying there and nation building while we had a chance. Thank you very much Bill Clinton. Now, we reap what we sowed.
![]()
You think RG doesn't work? You and moan here on a daily basis and you can't find time to read 282 pages because YOU HAVE A JOB? And then you have the nerve to ask the guy who's obviously gone out of his way WHILE HAVING A JOB to inform himself if he's stupid?
Amazing.
282 pages? THAT I HAVE A JOB.
Your ing President and Attorney ing General couldn't read a THIRTEEN PAGE Arizona law either.
you Manny.
He gave me the link and I will probably read the full text. as I said, I've read the highlights.
Your jealousy/penis envy when I post continues to crack me up.
ing Loser. Bite Me.
Don't expect Clinton to clean up your boy Bush I's messes. He didn't sell them that . He also makes your boy Bush II look like the re he is by NOT getting involved in a land war in Asia, let alone doubling down with two.
So, let me see if I've got this straight...
President Obama accepted the resignation of his hand-picked general to lead the effort in Afghanistan and replaced him with a general he had no confidence in, just 3 years ago?
One wonders if MoveOn.org and MSNBC's Keith Olbermann will reprise their General BetrayUs chanting...
I can only conclude Petraeus took the job out of a sense of patriotism and devotion to his men and not out of any sense of duty to the President. Unlike McChrystal, however, I bet Petraeus can keep his personal views of the Commander-in-Chief to himself.
By the way, if Petraeus pulls Afghanistan out of the fire, it will -- once again -- vindicate the judgement of Obama's predecessor. Not that it will be acknowledged by anyone.
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)