As far as the West is concerned, its a wrap. LA has dominated the conf for 3 years and that's not changing. Only one team has pushed them to the limit and even that team got blown out 3 times in the series.
LA has had less success in the Finals because of lack of familiarity with the opponent but LA has the rest of the Western Conferences number and everyone knows it. Only edge teams get on LA is when LA is unfamiliar with them. Once they figure it out, the coaching staff and players dominate.
There is a reason Pop rarely gets by Phil in the playoffs. Hanging your hat on reg season victories is hilarious.
If SA was a great defensive team I'd say they'd have a chance. But who plays D there? Hill some, Duncan can the few times his body is right. But thats it.
I've yet to see a European player come in and bring a defensive mindset.
No team is going to beat LA with an offensive method of basketball and you can't out-execute them either. Best way to beat LA is to beat them up but LA has constantly loaded up with as many 2-way bullies as possible.
Boston has the fight. Miami has the unfamiliar edge. No one else stands a chance. Houston of 2 years ago benefited from having both (switching up styles mid-series after Yao went down). But no one in the West now has the necessary talent, coaching, size, and championship swagger.