let's play the what if game

[spectator]

we all know post season is slow, so let's find something to do for funzies:

you have 9 points you can distribute around to each player, depending on the hypothetical statistical outlook of their season. what are your picks? i am considering that the big 3 are healthy all season long, and that their averages and playing time does not fluctuate significantly. thus, i am looking at only the x-factor players.

1. Richard Jefferson
pick 1 (1 point): 9.4 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.8 ast, below avg. defense of SF opponents
pick 2 (2 points): 12.3 pts, 4.4 reb, 2.0 ast, avg. defense of SF opponents
pick 3 (4 points): 14.5 pts, 6.2 reb, 2.5 ast, avg. defense of SF opponents

2. James Anderson
pick 1 (1 point): 4.5 pts, 2.5 reb, 0.9 ast, below avg. defense of SG opponents
pick 2 (2 points): 6.8 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.3 ast, below avg. defense of SG opponents
pick 3 (4 points): 9.5 pts, 3.2 reb, 1.8 ast, avg. defense of SG opponents

3. Tiago Splitter
pick 1 (1 point): 8.4 pts, 5.7 reb, 0.6 blk, below avg. defense of PF/C opponents
pick 2 (2 points): 10.1 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.0 blk, avg. defense of PF/C opponents
pick 3 (4 points): 13.5 pts, 8.6 reb, 1.3 blk, above avg. defense of PF/C opponents

i know that playing time is not included in this - maybe it should be - just assume that these players outperform everyone else for their position, except for the big 3. (e.g. anderson plays better than hill at SG - yes, i know hill is not a true PG, but that's where pop plays him more than half of the time). if this is appealing, maybe i can do another one, more detailed with most stats, with all the players on the team.

as far as methodology goes, i looked at the averages of nba players at their position, rookie averages - also based on position, as well as my own estimates of what the player is expected to do/perform during the season. rj's numbers for options 1 & 2 are taken from his play-off avg. (1) and season avg. (2). defense was totally my call after watching the players and reading on draft express what to expect.

remember, this is a what-if game, not your own propaganda bs. if you don't like it, don't play. hope you have fun.

cheers

[8FOR!3]

Richard Jefferson
Pick 1

James Anderson
Pick 3

Tiago Splitter
Pick 3

I don't expect RJ to magically turn into a better defender. I hope he does, but it's not expected. With the new additions of Anderson and Splitter, that'll spread more points so I can deal with RJ only scoring 9 if he's at least scoring a decent percentage. Anderson and Splitter are the new guys and their the ones we don't know how they're going to play in the NBA yet, so I have higher expectations. I can definitely see Splitter playing at that level. I don't think James Anderson will get enough minutes to be a better player than Jefferson this year, but it'd be a nice.

[Seventyniner]

Jefferson: 3
Anderson: 1
Splitter: 3

Anderson isn't going to be important enough this year for it to matter, while Splitter being an above average defender would boost this team quite a bit.

The more interesting question, IMO, is what if you only had 6 points? I think I'd go with 1/1/3, but 2/2/2 would be tempting.

[spectator]

Jefferson: 3
Anderson: 1
Splitter: 3

Anderson isn't going to be important enough this year for it to matter, while Splitter being an above average defender would boost this team quite a bit.

The more interesting question, IMO, is what if you only had 6 points? I think I'd go with 1/1/3, but 2/2/2 would be tempting.

i also go with the same options due to the fact that i do not believe anderson can be good enough to warrant that many minutes in his rookie year. however, i do hold hope that anderson will have an amazing season and may convince pop to play tony-anderson-ginobili at the 1-2-3 in crunch time. i also like g-hill in the crunch time, but i fear that if he plays with tony and manu, our line-up will give considerable size to the opponents, even though we may have timmy and tiago inside.

[chazley]

Jefferson: 3
Anderson: 1
Splitter: 3

It's this and it's not even close. /thread

[spectator]

son, you don't have the reps to close threads.

imagine it's 1-3-3 instead of 3-1-3. you gave away 0.1 pts per game and 0.2 reb per game and you gained 0.2 ast per game. however, while rj may have his best spurs season next year (he learnt the system, bla bla bla), he will be on the decline every season afterwards. if anderson has a great season - similar to his 3rd pick - he will most likely help the spurs more than rj in the future, while not giving away too much this season.

why is this troll here anyway?

[spectator]

son, you don't have the reps to close threads.

imagine it's 1-3-3 instead of 3-1-3. you gave away 0.1 pts per game and 0.2 reb per game and you gained 0.2 ast per game. however, while rj may have his best spurs season next year (he learnt the system, bla bla bla), he will be on the decline every season afterwards. if anderson has a great season - similar to his 3rd pick - he will most likely help the spurs more than rj in the future, while not giving away too much this season.

why is this troll here anyway?

if you don't understand these numbers, imagine the spurs play 100 games next season - regular + po:

you gave up 10 points and 20 rebounds
you gained 20 assists - which lead to at least 40 points

so the difference in numbers is 30 points vs 20 rebounds. i'll give you the fact that rj would have a better defense. however, my point is that things are not as one-sided as you make them to be.

[rmt]

Jefferson: 3
Anderson: 1
Splitter: 3

Anderson isn't going to be important enough this year for it to matter, while Splitter being an above average defender would boost this team quite a bit.

This. If the Spurs get far into playoffs, Splitter and RJ will be playing big minutes at the positions other than the big 3. I'm hopeful for Splitter. Pop should play him big minutes during the season to rest Dice and Duncan and get him acclimated to the NBA asap.

RJ, I'm just hoping that he doesn't mess up.

[ohmwrecker]

Jefferson: 3
Anderson: 1
Splitter: 3

It's this and it's not even close. /thread

son, you don't have the reps to close threads.

I'm no math whiz, but the only way you can get 9 pts is a 3/3/1 scenario and the top quote is the only one that makes any sense. So, rep or not, there is really nothing further to discuss. Maybe you should make another one that is harder.