More Nate Silver:
2:38 A.M. Math Favors Murray in Washington
The Washington Senate race is a tricky one and we may not know the winner for several days -- after more mail ballots have been counted. But Patty Murray, the Democrat, is favored to hold on to her seat. Seattle's King County, which had been slightly overrepresented earlier in the night, is now somewhat underrepresented instead with 55 percent of its vote counted compared with about 70 percent elsewhere in the state. An extrapolation of county-by-county results would have Ms. Murray eventually winning by about 1.5 points; she leads by 1 point now.