If you're talking regular season, then your list has SOME validity. But if you're talking about in general, that list isn't realistic, especially since your not regarding the team as a playoff en y, which we know is a very different thing from a regular season en y. here's a realistic list considering those factors.
1.Lakers (They know what they're doing, they're two time champions)
2.Celtics (Their defense is uncanny in the league, & intense playoff mindset)
3.Spurs (Always shows true colors in playoffs, and now with a refined offensive line-up)
4.Mavericks (They're playoff mindset is weak, but it's a whole new season, and they're scary good)
5.Magic (People can forget how good this team is, don't let the standings fool you)
6.Heat (They've been playing very well, developing rapidly as a unit.)
7.Jazz (The Jazz have that fighting spirit, with the necessary talent, great team)
8.Bulls (When Noah comes back, that trio of Rose, Boozer, and Noah is incomparable)
that's enough. the knicks and the hornets are neck and neck for the 9th. but the Hornets are no doubt the team to put your money on if they meet in the finals( unlikely I know)