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  1. #1
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    How do we default on debts payable in the currency we created?

  2. #2
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    would be best

    or you could tell china to pay a big tax if they do not forgive the usa debt

    (lets not blame parities in this thread both helped create the mess)

  3. #3
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    would be best

    or you could tell china to pay a big tax if they do not forgive the usa debt

    (lets not blame parities in this thread both helped create the mess)

    you're not getting what I'm saying. How can you not afford to pay China in a currency you create?

    For example, lets say I issued paper currency with my picture on it. You then loaned me 14 trillion dollars of that currency with my picture on it. how could I not pay you back if I can make more of that paper with my picture on it?

  4. #4
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    You certainly could, but the risk is that at some point the attempt to inflate away the value of the debt becomes a functional default from the standpoint of the creditor.

  5. #5
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    You certainly could, but the risk is that at some point the attempt to inflate away the value of the debt becomes a functional default from the standpoint of the creditor.
    so Inflation is what we should be most concerned with?

  6. #6
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    I dunno what we should be most concerned with. Do you?

  7. #7
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    See post WWI Germany for the exact scenario you describe

  8. #8
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    See post WWI Germany for the exact scenario you describe
    War reparations were payable in a foreign currency and annual payments made up half of GDP.

  9. #9
    Veteran
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    who's going to come and collect????

  10. #10
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    who's going to come and collect????
    collect what?

  11. #11
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    Point is

    Government Spending is NOT constrained by taxes and/or borrowing

    Its constrained by INFLATION.

    Talks of DEBT AND INSOLVENCY should turn to talks about INFLATION which would lead to the need for FULL EMPLOYMENT.

  12. #12
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    To put it roughly, our system of payment failed in 2008 -- and we've pawned our future GDP to pay for it. We socialized private risk and we're still propping it up. It's very popular to say that through the bailout we definitively turned the corner on debt-deflation and even worse.

    The truth is, we don't know that for sure, and we may even have prepared the ground for worse instability in the future, indeed, for instability in general as trust in the USA continues to erode.

  13. #13
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Talks of DEBT AND INSOLVENCY should turn to talks about INFLATION which would lead to the need for FULL EMPLOYMENT.
    The domestic market is barely growing. Private money is wating prudently on the sidelines for more favorable market conditions. That pretty much leaves an activist government to fill the gap, correct?

  14. #14
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    To put it roughly, our system of payment failed in 2008 -- and we've pawned our future GDP to pay for it
    not sure what you mean here


    . We socialized private risk and we're still propping it up. It's very popular to say that through the bailout we definitively turned the corner on debt-deflation and even worse.

    The truth is, we don't know that for sure, and we may even have prepared the ground for worse instability in the future, indeed, for instability in general as trust in the USA continues to erode.
    The instability and eroding of the US seems to be about a risk of Default, which I hope I've made clear is not possible. The True Risk is INFLATION which can be tamed by full employment.


    Were I'm leading is this is the time to talk about getting people good paying jobs today! We need to boost our PRODUCTION otherwise there will be too much money chasing fewer goods.

  15. #15
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    The domestic market is barely growing. Private money is wating prudently on the sidelines for more favorable market conditions. That pretty much leaves an activist government to fill the gap, correct?
    I agree with the position of eliminating the payroll tax to put money in the hands of people and let them decide what to do with the money.

  16. #16
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    The instability and eroding of the US seems to be about a risk of Default, which I hope I've made clear is not possible. The True Risk is INFLATION which can be tamed by full employment.
    I'm hardly convinced default is a non-issue for the reason I gave.



    Were I'm leading is this is the time to talk about getting people good paying jobs today! We need to boost our PRODUCTION otherwise there will be too much money chasing fewer goods.
    The case being that the US market is barely growing right now, it makes very little sense for private money to expand capacity or hire new workers to staff it. Correct?

    That leaves an activist government to fill the gap in employment, the lack of which is the proximate danger to our present economic recovery and future ability to pay, according to you.

    "We must have full employment"

    My question to you is, in a stagnant domestic market who will provide the jobs?

  17. #17
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    I agree with the position of eliminating the payroll tax to put money in the hands of people and let them decide what to do with the money.
    That might be a pretty good idea.

  18. #18
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Course you can't call it a stimulus, though that's undeniably what it is, and the revenue costs ought to be offset elsewhere, but that's not gonna happen either.

  19. #19
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    [QUOTE=Winehole23;4958679]I'm hardly convinced default is a non-issue for the reason I gave.[quote]

    define default, because if you're saying we can't pay our bills you're simply wrong.


    The case being that the US market is barely growing right now, it makes very little sense for private money to expand capacity or hire new workers to staff it. Correct?
    it's barely growing because Americans have no money to spend. add an extra $500 per month by eliminating the payroll tax and watch the economy start to heat up again.


    That leaves an activist government to fill the gap in employment, the lack of which is the proximate danger to our present economic recovery and future ability to pay, according to you.

    "We must have full employment"

    My question to you is, in a stagnant domestic market who will provide the jobs?

    get money in the hands of people like I described above and watch business hire all sorts of people to help consumers depart of with their money.

  20. #20
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    get money in the hands of people like I described above and watch business hire all sorts of people to help consumers depart of with their money.
    Direct government stimulation of the economy in the form of tax breaks. Where have I heard this before?

  21. #21
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    Course you can't call it a stimulus, though that's undeniably what it is, and the revenue costs ought to be offset elsewhere, but that's not gonna happen either.
    no need to offset anything since government spending isn't constrained by tax revenues.

    only thing we should worry about is inflation since default is a non issue.

  22. #22
    Homer 2centsworth's Avatar
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    Direct government stimulation of the economy in the form of tax breaks. Where have I heard this before?
    don't worry so much about what others say or think. it's about what you say and think.

  23. #23
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Ok. So you admit in your own words you're a one note johnny. Only one thing is important, full employment, and the only plausible means to acheive it is massive tax breaks.

    How do plan to pay for the breaks, 2cents? Or do we just borrow more money again?

  24. #24
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    don't worry so much about what others say or think. it's about what you say and think.
    Was that a mischaracterization? By all means, correct it.

  25. #25
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Did you envision a role for government too, say infrastructure investment, or something of that sort? I'm not tryin to trip you up. I'm actually interested in what you think, fwiw.

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