2
If manu is fine: 3-4
If manu is limited: 0
WTF. I've seen many 6,7,8 and 9 ratings to make the finals with a healthy Manu. You guys realize that a 6 means you think the Spurs have a 60% chance at making the finals. That is absurd.
I think this is pretty close to what the confidence level should be against those three teams.
To calculate the overall just multiply .8*.6*.3=.144
Your overall confidence is 1.44
.85*.6*.4 is also reasonable and that comes out to 2.04
Point is a reasonable confidence level is probably 1.4 to 2.4
5 to 0, depending on Manu's status.
Who's better than the Spurs at this point? There isn't a single team that has their number.
3
Doesn't mean I'll stop going for the spurs. I never will, but damn I can't see this team going far with the defense they play and how weak they are on the rebounding side.
Probably the team that the Grizz were trying to dodge by tanking.
You mean the team the Spurs beat twice and almost beat a third time with their scrubs?
You mean the team the Spurs beat twice and almost beat a third time with their scrubs? The team that couldn't beat the Spurs out for best record in the conference despite playing in a horrible division?
Yeah the team that for all practical matters raped us by 30 points. The team that we barely beat by a dice tip-in(must admit we should have won that game by more but we were choking). The team that has two of the top 8 bigs in the game and a top two sg. The team that has outrageous length that makes it very difficult for us to score. The team with the 6th man of the year. The backtoback champs.
Not playing Splitter all year has only decreased are chances of beating the Lakers. The thing is Blair might be the better player vs. every other team in the league but Splitter is the better option against the Lakers. It really hurt to see both Bynum and Gasol shooting right over the top of Blair the other day. Pop really messed up by not realizing that everything goes through the Lakers.
Having said all that we still have a chance but lets not kid ourselves it will be an upset.
Uh, so yeah, the team the Spurs beat twice and almost beat a third time with their scrubs. A team that couldn't hold a 22 point lead against the Kings with six minutes to go. A team that needed to go 17-1 in order to stay in the top half of the draw.
Anyone who's claiming they're confident at this exact moment is lying. The reality is, Ginobili is probably not going to play in game one given the way this organization deals with injuries (I can hear Pop now: "he's close, but we don't play again until Wednesday night and we'd rather be safe than sorry") and even if he does, he'll be in a diminished state. Naturally, he'll be less aggressive, which plays right into a physical defender like Allen's hands.
Morale has got to be low. They handled everything wrong coming down the stretch, gave away the best record, had one of their three best players get injured, saw the Lakers get as easy a path as possible and didn't get an ideal match-up.
Yeah that team. The team that did what they needed to do.
Pop's decisions are what has doomed the Spurs. The first was failing to integrate Splitter. The second was playing the big 3 and Dice in meaningless games (with HCA in the West wrapped up).
I like your explanation, but you forgot to add the chances against the East.
vs BOS 4.5
vs MIA 5.5
vs CHI 5.5
EDIT: Sorry, just saw that the OP meant reaching the Finals.
I guess that's a "glass half full" way to look at the last 8 games.
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