Nbadan: 10 Predictions for 2005

[MannyIsGod]

Pathologically incapable of being wrong.

[TeyshaBlue]

Pathologically incapable of being wrong.

There's gotta be a cure for this. Maybe two cups of stfu before bedtime?

[RandomGuy]

Ah yes. The Vast Cow Wing Conspiracy.

[RandomGuy]

Here are Nbadan's Predictions for 2005

1. Gas Prices - Gas prices will continue to fluctuate between 1.50 and 2.00 per gallon, but a short-term crisis could raise the price of oil to close to 3.00-4.00 per gallon in some parts of the country. It will be a harsh winter in the East with home heating costs eating up much of people's expendable income. Some will perish from trying to save money on heating costs in freezing temperatures. Some businesses and government buildings will be forced to close to conserve electricity and heating oil. Old man winter will bring the NE to a virtual standstill for days and it will be difficult to meet the demand of heating costs. For some reason, I'm seeing the Ohio region to be especially susceptible for a catastrophe.

Cold in the Northeast during the winter. Shocking

The demand for oil from India's and China's growing infrastructure will continue forcing gas prices to increase dramatically by the end of the year. Expect to be paying 2.00 average if not more.

Spot on.

The oil wars of Afghanistan and Iraq will spread to more countries surrounding the Caspian Sea region, including likely Iran.Pretty solid prediction that failed.
A successful terrorist attack on Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure could be the catalyst that sends oil prices souring. Could be, but didn't happen either.

2. Guantanamo Bay - The abuse and torture that has been hidden at the U.S. base will continue to be exposed and the administration will continue to take the brunt of the blame with a "wink and a nod" approach blaming rouge soldiers and lower level commanders who took orders to extremes. Ultimately, the torture that has gone on at Guantanamo bay will make Abu Gharib seem mild in comparison.
Nope. Not even close.

World courts could take Donald Rumsfeld, Cheney and other members of W's cabinet to trial for war crimes in absentee. There could ultimately be warrants out for members of this administration that forces them to stay in the U.S. for fear of being arrested and extradited to the Hague.
I see a lot of "could" that didn't happen here either.


3. More Hurricanes, Earthquakes and Tsunamis - While what has happened in Sri Lanka, Indonesia, and other parts of that region this past week is a great tragedy, I'm afraid that this is just the beginning of deadly earth changes that will spawn increasingly ferocious hurricanes, volcanoes, earthquakes and even tsunamis throughout 2005. Hurricane season will come back with a fury in 2005 and once again Florida will bear the brunt of the destruction, but Gulf coastal cities won't be speared this time. Expect either New Orleans, Galveston-Houston, or some part of the Texas coast to suffer a major storm with major damage.

Hurricaines hitting the US? More shocking.

4. Iraq - The elections will go off as planned if only because the current administration says they must, but there will be widespread violence that keeps millions of voters away from the polls. Sunni's will not vote giving much of the ruling power in Iraq to Shiite and Kurd and helping to propel Sunni controlled areas into chaos at the Sunni thought of being controlled Shiites. The U.S. will ultimately withdraw from Sunni controlled areas in Iraq, but that won't happen until the U.S. loses thousands more men to the failed coalition war effort. Instead of conceding defeat, W will ultimately declare the war a strategic victory while calling the less-than-full election in Iraq a complete success in his plan to 'plant the seeds of democracy in the Middle East".

The Kurds will seek autonomy from the rest of Iraq, but that will be quickly scuttled by the White House. Reconstruction of Iraq's infrastructure will continue at a snails pace as the insurgency continues to grow. By the end of the year there will be 10x's the number of insurgents there are today as coalition forces continue to draw more moderate Arabs in the fray.

Some good, some really off. Took several more years to develop, and the Awakening and revamping of strategy in 2006/-07 and the Surge kinda made sure the doom and gloom didn't quite pan out.

5. Eli Lilly & Company-Gate - The F.D.A. under the current administration has become more of a rubber stamp agency for the pharmaceutical companies rather than a governmental regulatory agency that's supposed to protect the people, thanks in large part to the industries large campaign donations to Republican causes and W's Presidential campaign. FDA rubber-stamped drugs like Vioxx causes heart problems, Celebrix and Prozac are under the publicity gun after a number of deaths, and to make matters even more interesting, Micheal Moore is planning to shine a light on the administrations corrupt relationship with drug makers in his next film tentatively led - Fahrenheit 911 1/2.

Some has gone down, mildly true, but hardly a full-blown scandal of epic proportion. Still, I will give this one to ya.

6. Mad Cow Disease (BSE) Found In U.S. Cattle - With two confirmed cases of mad cow disease in Canadian cattle now being admitted too, meat that may have been inadvertently sold in U.S. markets, it's no longer a matter of when Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) will infect U.S. cattle, but how bad the chronic degenerative disorder gets before the public is notified that we may have a problem. Thousands of cattle may have to be sacraficed by a industry that will do whatever is necessary to regulate and save itself.

Nope. Didn't happen, that I could find.


7. Military Conscription Begins in Summer of 05 - Those of you who have read my past posts already know that this is a prediction I have seen coming in 05 for more than 2 years, and considering the dubious, current situation in Iraq, I have no doubt that we are only a few months away from mobilizing local draft boards and the full reinstatement of military conscription beginning with 20 year olds. Unfortunately, this may be proceeded by a devastating terrorist attack on American Naval forces, possibly in the Persian Gulf or out in open water, and possibly involving a silk-worm type missile or torpedo. This attack will be all the justification that the administration needs to mobilize American forces after the unprecedented attack is pinned on either Iran, North Korea, or Syria by the NeoCon controlled, new-and-improved C.I.A..

Waaaay wrong.

(to be concluded tomarrow)....

Seems like "I got it mostly right" is a bit of a stretch.

You got:

It gets cold in the winter.
There are hurricainnes and storms.
Gas prices go up.
Iraq was a problem.
Some drugs were found to be a bit more dangerous than we thought.

You missed:

The "oil wars" didn't spread to Iran.
Mandatory conscription.
Big mad cow outbreak requiring thousands and thousand of cows in the US to be put down.
The US will withdraw from "Sunni controlled" areas of Iraq in "defeat".

[RandomGuy]

That said, good for making some predictions.

I think we should all take our mindsets and viewpoints and do the same. See who has a better track record. Sure would make for a change from the usual here.

[Nbadan]

You missed:

The "oil wars" didn't spread to Iran.

Yes they have.....to this day we are 'secretly' funding paramilitary groups that continuously work to undermine the Iranian government and attack Iranian infrastructure and oil facilities...your just uninformed...if Iran did that to us, we'd cruise missile them...

Mandatory conscription.

only because the military started involuntary conscription among its troops....there was also economic conscription, or offering troops amounts from $10-$100k to resign and remain active duty during an economic recession, and also immigrant conscription, or offering immigrants a rapid path to citizenship of they fought for the U.S. in Iraq or Afghanistan..

Big mad cow outbreak requiring thousands and thousand of cows in the US to be put down.

your gonna have to dig hard for this one, but it did happen....

The US will withdraw from "Sunni controlled" areas of Iraq in "defeat".

That's exactly what happened when the U.S. built its embassy complex and hunkered down...many Sunni areas in Iraq became a combat no-man's land...

[ChumpDumper]

your gonna have to dig hard for this one, but it did happen....

Show us.

[Nbadan]

is it because the date is old that you didn't source your info?

lol 2005

http://www.choicesmagazine.org/2005-.../2005-2-03.htm

do you have anything more recent?

I'm just trying to present it in the filter of what we knew in 2005, not what we know today....I don't know anything about choice magazine, do you?

[ChumpDumper]

I'm just trying to present it in the filter of what we knew in 2005, not what we know today....I don't know anything about choice magazine, do you?

You said it happened. Show us.

[mookie2001]

Chump when it comes to math, science and anything academic Dan owns you on the reg, we know this, historically. These are the things we know

[Winehole23]

That said, good for making some predictions.

I think we should all take our mindsets and viewpoints and do the same. See who has a better track record. Sure would make for a change from the usual here.

A prediction sweepstakes?

[MannyIsGod]

A prediction sweepstakes?

Exactly. Predictions are meaningless unless there's a methodological reason for them. Tossing a whole bunch of of against the wall and then patting the person on the back who got some to stick sounds ridiculous to me.

That's pretty much what Dan did. Trying to prove that a specific city will get hit with a Hurricane months out doesn't prove you know anything about meteorology it actually proves the opposite. And then qualifying it with the entire gulf coast just makes it funny.

[Cant_Be_Faded]

But throwing against the wall is one of this forum's greatest pastimes

[ChumpDumper]

Chump when it comes to math, science and anything academic Dan owns you on the reg, we know this, historically. These are the things we know

If that is true, then he can show me.

Should be easy for him.

[Winehole23]

But throwing against the wall is one of this forum's greatest pastimes

It always will be. Lame prognostications won't ever change that.

[Nbadan]

Prognostication has a lot to do with politics....if you don't have a visionary leader that can put things together, read the tea leaves so to say, instead of always going with the status-quo, a favorite to many of the current forum posters today, things will never get better...

...that's why I'm not entirely impressed with this new batch of thread starters....except for RG and at times....

Where's the vision? ....it's too easy to kick back and pooh-pooh over other people ideas...

(aka...chumpy and blakey, Mannyislost and Jsmith...)

[Wild Cobra]

When I wiki Mad Cow Disease, I get very little.

You mean it doesn't even show a picture of Denny Crane?

[MannyIsGod]

visionary leader

[Blake]

Where's the vision? ....it's too easy to kick back and pooh-pooh over other people ideas...

it's fun to pooh pooh on people that won't admit their prognostication is wrong even when it is blatantly obvious.

I predict you will get pooh poohed on again in similar fashion in 2011.

[Blake]

I'm just trying to present it in the filter of what we knew in 2005, not what we know today

What we know today is that you had crappy predictions in 2005.

....I don't know anything about choice magazine, do you?

No, but what i know about the magazine is irrelevant.

you not knowing about the source you referenced says volumes though.

[Nbadan]

visionary leader

...like I said, no vision...

[Nbadan]

it's fun to pooh pooh on people that won't admit their prognostication is wrong even when it is blatantly obvious.

I predict you will get pooh poohed on again in similar fashion in 2011.

I dare you to make at least one prognostication about a world event that will happen between now and June 2012....just one.....common...


what will happen to the price of gas?
will the commodity bubble bust?
who will win the GOP nomination?
will the drought continue in SA? How much longer?

....like I said, no vision.

[mookie2001]

man in 7th grade, my friend got a playstation, and i thought to myself- woah this is great, but WHAT IF there was something even better than this??

a few years later, playstation 2 come out...

[Mavillionaire]

I see MannyIsFat was a dumb back in 05', no reason to alter my prediction his fat ass will be just as dumb in 2012.

[Nbadan]

I see MannyIsFat was a dumb back in 05', no reason to alter my prediction his fat ass will be just as dumb in 2012.

Somethings never change, otherwise, we'd all be Mavillionaires...