People just need to realize that Katrina changed the game (rightfully so) and at least until complacence sets in again and we're past thinking about that situation civil defense will respond forcefully and error on the side of caution. The political ramifications of sitting on your hands while a potentially dangerous situation unfolds are unpalatable and once again - rightfully so. You error on the side of caution when so many lives are at stake.
The intensity forcasts for a storm like this are incredibly difficult because we don't have a ton of historical. Additionally, when a storm is coming in at such a shallow angle relative to the coast each minor course change or wobble can have huge results in landfall locations or duration over land prior to a final landfall. All of this makes for a very very very difficult task in modeling intensity and giving an accurate forecast regarding storm strength at any particular location along the path.
The NHC and NWS absolutely nailed the track forecast from 5 days out. But a few more hours over land and the storm never recovered. Ultimately that is a good thing but now we have to listen to the overrated BS or pundits who know little of the science saying they got it wrong.

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