Results 1 to 15 of 15
  1. #1
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2001
    Post Count
    21,547
    http://www.rove.com/articles/357

    Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid or both will leave the Democratic leadership by year's end.

    As New Year's approaches, here are a baker's dozen predictions for 2012.

    • Republicans will keep the U.S. House, albeit with their 25-seat majority slightly reduced. In the 10 presidential re-elections since 1936, the party in control of the White House has added House seats in seven contests and lost them in three. The average gain has been 12 seats. The largest pickup was 24 seats in 1944—but President Barack Obama is no FDR, despite what he said in his recent "60 Minutes" interview.

    • Republicans will take the U.S. Senate. Of the 23 Democratic seats up in 2012, there are at least five vulnerable in bents (Florida, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Pennsylvania): The GOP takes two or three of these. With the announcement on Tuesday that Nebraska's Ben Nelson will retire, there are now seven open Democratic seats (Connecticut, Hawaii, North Dakota, New Mexico, Virginia, Wisconsin): The GOP takes three or four. Even if Republicans lose one of the 10 seats they have up, they will have a net pickup of four to six seats, for a majority of 51 to 53.

    • Rep. Nancy Pelosi, Sen. Harry Reid or both will leave the Democratic leadership by the end of 2012. Speaker John Boehner and Senator Mitch McConnell will continue directing the GOP in their respective chambers.

    • This will be the fourth presidential election in a row in which turnout increases. This has happened just once since 1828, from 1928 through 1940.

    • In 2008, voters told the Pew Poll that they got more election information from the Internet than from daily newspapers. Next year, that advantage will grow as the Internet closes in on television as America's principal source of campaign news.

    • After failing to win the GOP presidential nomination, Ron Paul will not run as a third-party candidate because that would put his son, Rand Paul, in an untenable position: Does the Republican senator from Kentucky support his father and effectively re-elect Mr. Obama, or back his party and defeat him?

    • Mr. Obama's signature health-care overhaul, already deeply unpopular, will become even more so by Election Day. Women voters are particularly opposed to ObamaCare, feeling it threatens their family's health.

    • Mr. Obama may propose tax reform, attempting to use it to appeal both to his liberal base (a question of fairness) and independents (a reform to spur economic growth). This will fail, but not before boosting Mr. Obama's poll numbers.

    • The Obama campaign won't corral high-profile Republican endorsements—as it did in 2008 with former Secretary of State Colin Powell—with the unimportant possible exception of former Nebraska Sen. Chuck Hagel. It will also make a special effort to diminish the GOP's advantage among military families, veterans and evangelicals, with the last a special target if Republicans nominate Mitt Romney.

    • Despite an extraordinary amount of presidential time and involvement, Team Obama will fall as much as $200 million short of its $1 billion combined fund-raising target for the campaign and Democratic National Committee. Even so, Mr. Obama and Democrats will outspend the GOP nominee and Republicans. This won't necessarily translate into victory: John Kerry and Democrats outspent President George W. Bush and Republicans in 2004 by $124 million. Groups like American Crossroads (which I helped found) will narrow the Democratic money advantage.

    • Scandals surrounding the now-bankrupt Solyndra, Fannie and Freddie, MF Global and administration insider deals still to emerge will metastasize, demolishing the president's image as a political outsider. By the election, the impression will harden that Mr. Obama is a modern Chicago-style patronage politician, using taxpayer dollars to reward political allies (like unions) and contributors (like Obama fund-raiser and Solyndra investor George Kaiser).

    • To intimidate critics and provoke higher black turnout, Democrats will play the race card more than in any election since 1948. Witness Attorney General Eric Holder's recent charge that criticism of him and the president was "both due to the nature of our relationship and . . . the fact that we're both African-Americans."

    • The economic recovery will continue to be anemic, leaving both unemployment and concerns about whether the president is up to the job high on Election Day. Because of this, Mr. Obama will lose as his margins drop among five groups essential to his 2008 victory—independents, women, Latinos, young people and Jews. While he will win a majority from at least three of these groups, he won't win them by as much as he did last time.

    Predicting the future is always dangerous but conservatives believe in accountability, so let's see how well I do a year from now.

    ~~Damn, the Democratic Party not even exist after 2012 according to Rove.

  2. #2
    hasta la victoria, siempre cheguevara's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Post Count
    9,763
    How did he predict the Iraq War would turn out?

  3. #3
    Still Hates Small Ball Spurminator's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jun 2003
    Post Count
    37,751
    I predict Karl Rove will remain to be one of the biggest liars and most soulless and intellectually dishonest shills on the planet. I hope he dies.

  4. #4
    A neverending cycle Trainwreck2100's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    40,879
    lol saying "Mr. Obama" ing bag. The Dems will never outspend more than the people representing GOP concerns

  5. #5
    Motivation for me... Stringer_Bell's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Post Count
    4,270
    Predicting the future is always dangerous but conservatives believe in accountability, so let's see how well I do a year from now.


    What a jackass, making threats to Rand Paul. How much pull does Turd Blossom actually have these days? Dude looks like a pedophile for Pete's sake, always has.

  6. #6
    A neverending cycle Trainwreck2100's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    40,879


    What a jackass, making threats to Rand Paul. How much pull does Turd Blossom actually have these days? Dude looks like a pedophile for Pete's sake, always has.
    He does have pull American Crossroads is a major player

  7. #7
    Motivation for me... Stringer_Bell's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Post Count
    4,270
    He does have pull American Crossroads is a major player
    These guys? http://www.americancrossroads.org/about/

    Actual people respond to that kind of bull ? Or just the billionaires to make up 91% of their donations? It's so sick that they can be called a major player, ewwwww.

  8. #8
    A neverending cycle Trainwreck2100's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Post Count
    40,879
    These guys? http://www.americancrossroads.org/about/

    Actual people respond to that kind of bull ? Or just the billionaires to make up 91% of their donations? It's so sick that they can be called a major player, ewwwww.
    its the billionaires no doubt

  9. #9
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2001
    Post Count
    32,408
    Even a turd blossom can be as right as a broken clock...

    In 2008, voters told the Pew Poll that they got more election information from the Internet than from daily newspapers. Next year, that advantage will grow as the Internet closes in on television as America's principal source of campaign news.

  10. #10
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2001
    Post Count
    32,408
    Predicting the future is always dangerous but conservatives believe in accountability

  11. #11
    Veteran Wild Cobra's Avatar
    My Team
    Portland Trailblazers
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Post Count
    43,117
    Even a turd blossom can be as right as a broken clock...
    By turd blossom, do you mean psychedelic mushrooms?

  12. #12
    Motivation for me... Stringer_Bell's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Post Count
    4,270
    By turd blossom, do you mean psychedelic mushrooms?
    Yes. GW gave Rove the name in the same way Puff Daddy came to be called Puff Daddy.

  13. #13
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2001
    Post Count
    21,547
    Karl Rove knows his politics, IMHO.

  14. #14
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    44,142
    Karl Rove knows his politics, IMHO.
    Yep...seemed pretty reasonable to me...

  15. #15
    Esse quam videri ploto's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Post Count
    10,994
    women voters are particularly opposed to obamacare, feeling it threatens their family's health.
    false

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •