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Yes. This is the new Spurs ball. Pop's going to stick to his rotation for the most part.
Yes
No
We all know the Spurs win over 90% of the time when they score 100+. As teams zero in on tendencies in the playoffs, defenses get tighter and stingier.
Yes or No and why?
Yes. This is the new Spurs ball. Pop's going to stick to his rotation for the most part.
Not sure but they have to in order to advance.
Tbh, I'd be surprised if the Spurs win a series in which they don't average more than 100 points per game. Maybe the Jazz but that's it.
I will be very interested to see if they can win games in the playoffs which they don't score 100. Last year, no, they could not. But this year they have had a few games where they have won ugly and unlike in recent years they have won a few times without being hot from 3.
In the regular season, the Spurs were:
100+ PPG 38-4
95-99 PPG 4-5
90-94 PPG 3-1
85-89 PPG 4-3
84 or less 1-3
_____________
12-12 (.500) when scoring under 100 points (3-3 after the RJ trade)
Last edited by Solid D; 04-27-2012 at 05:17 PM.
I think they can. Not every game, but on average they should be able to blow teams out quite a bit. It's hard to defend a hydra with multiple heads like teams try to do in the playoffs by going after one guy and locking him down (like what will happen to the Heat when LeBroom gets locked down). The Spurs have too much balanced firepower, a la the '05 Pistons. If they get some clutch shooting from the role players, they will easily break 100 on average.
And I want to see what Bonner does as far as playoff shooting this year. I think this is his year to break out and go JJ Re on everybody.
If Bonner starts knocking down 3s in the playoffs, NBA = ED.
When teams clog the lane, the Spurs can't get duped into walking it up and playing predictable 4-out, 1-in basketball.
In last year's playoff series vs. Memphis, the Spurs averaged 94.3 PPG. They scored 100+ only once (110 in game 5).
Regular season 2010-11 they averaged 103.7 PPG (103.68), virtually identical to 2011-12 Spurs output (103.65).
Do you still think they can average 100+?
.
Last edited by Solid D; 04-27-2012 at 05:50 PM.
I do believe they will score over 100 despite the increased defensive focus. I also think that Bonner will not shoot well. His defense is better, but his shot is tired at this point.
In order to stop the spurs offense they will need to control every aspect of the Spurs offense.
That means control the paint, Stop dribble penetration, and defend the 3 pt line, and most importantly stop the pick-n-roll.
not even the Jordan bulls could defend all of that effectively.
That is what makes this spurs team so deadly, their offense can kill an opponent in many different ways. Great 3 pt shooting, great pick-n-roll offense, lethal dribble penetration, and very good post offense with Duncan.
The team that can stop all that for 4 games is going to be pretty impressive.
Frankly there are only 2 teams I see being able to do that, and that is the Bulls and possibly the Lakers. I'm not convinced either one of them can.
My guess is that for any team to be truly successful it's going to be because we weren't able to stop them and they were able to slow us down, or more likely we stop hitting our shots.
The Grizzlies did that pretty effectively last season. They clogged the lane and got back out on the shooters.
i think bottom line is they need to score at least 100 to win games..
Should have went with will instead of can. I'll say no, they won't, but only narrowly. If everything goes how I expect it to, then I think they will against the Jazz, won't against the Grizzlies, will against the Thunder and won't against the Heat/Bulls.
As far as the notion that they have to to win, I don't buy it. Last time I checked, they don't give up at or over 100, so why should they have to average more than that to win? Especially when you consider that Duncan, who's clearly their best defender, will see a significant e in minutes, that Blair, who's one of their two worst defenders, will more than likely not be in the rotation and that Neal, who's also one of their two worst defenders, will probably have his minutes halved.
Last playoffs, when Richard Jefferson was on the bench, the Spurs averaged 101.7 points against the Grizzlies per 48 minutes. The Spurs had a lot of issues last year but RJ's one-dimensional play made the Spurs much too predictable.
Considering that this year's team can't be counted on to hold the opposition to much lower than 96 points per game, the Spurs need to be >100 ppg to make a championship run, IMO.
Last year the Mavs averaged 98.2 points per game. That probably wouldn't be high enough for the Spurs to win it all.
Are you thinking that the most likely path -- which would see them face three elite offensive teams to win the championship -- would negate the potential for marked statistical improvement defensively? That they'll need at least a few blowouts to survive four rounds? Or both? If you're saying neither, then what you're saying makes no sense.
Or Splitter gets twice as many minutes as Bonner.If Bonner starts knocking down 3s in the playoffs, NBA = ED.
I am not sure Duncan will be able to handle a significant e in minutes.
By significant, I'm talking five, maybe five and a half mpg, which would take him to 33-34. I don't think that's asking too much, especially if the first series, as expected, goes no more than five.
Yes. If we want to win it all 100 is the key tbh.
I think the Spurs can and will average at least 100 PPG versus Utah. Beyond that, it depends. Granted, they have to get past the first round this time...but if they do, then teams like Memphis would likely contest their shots more and play deeper into the shot clock.
Other potential opposition:
Grizzlies - no
Clippers - yes
Maverickss - no
Thunder - yes
Lakers - maybe
Nuggets - yes
Most likely East
Bulls - no
Heat - no
Celtics - no
Knicks - maybe
The only fact you need to know: When T,T, and M play together. we are 17 PP100P better than the opposition. They only did that for less than 400 minutes this year, mainly because Manu was out for so long. Look for that combination to rock.
It's all about the plus/minus, too. Plus Manu/Minus RJ.
I expect their offensive production to go down but seeing how 120 was kinda the norm for this team lately, I think they will go down to 100/105.
normally i would say yes you should expect a drop off in points...but this team is just dismantling whoever it plays...so i expect this team to score at will against the jazz
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