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where are the estimates?
Ron Paul delegate estimates
I am trying to keep up where Ron Paul has won. States he either won or is nearly certain to win (8): Alaska, Washington state, Minnesota, Iowa, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Massachusetts, Maine.
States he probably won or will win (4): Colorado, Texas, Nevada, West Virginia
States where it seems he has a great chance to win (6): South Dakota, Idaho, Montana, California, New Hampshire, Rhode Island
States where he won a decent numbers of delegates but did not win (3): Missouri, Wyoming, North Dakota
Wild card states (8): Wisconsin, Arkansas, Montana, Virginia, Vermont, Hawaii, Pennsylvania, Kentucky
Not sure (21): the rest
Romney voters think he won a long time ago (the media told them so), so they stopped voting.
UPDATE - NEW ESTIMATES HERE:
Ron Paul is projected to win the most delegates in the following states (25); Washington, Oregon, California, New Mexico, Texas, Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, Kentucky, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Nebraska, South Dakota, Montana, Idaho, Utah, Oklahoma, Alaska, and Vermont.
Paul has already won (9); Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, Iowa, Minnesota, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Hawaii, and Maine.
This is enough delegates for Ron Paul to secure the GOP nomination.
UPDATE 2 - MORE ESTIMATES:
Delegate projections by KMX:
Ron Paul has won (9); Iowa, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Louisiana, Colorado, Alaska, Maine, Nevada
Paul is looking to win and doing VERY well in (10); Oklahoma, Michigan, Washington, South Dakota, Montana, Hawaii, Virginia, New Mexico, Texas, California
Some delegates in if not a good amount (12); New York, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Idaho, Wyoming, Arizona, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Oregon, Nebraska, Tennessee
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthr...s-going-to-win
UPDATE 3:
Consensus delegate projections for Ron Paul:
Safe Paul (14); Texas, Alaska, Washington, Oklahoma, Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maine, South Dakota, Montana, California
Likely Paul (3); Hawaii, Idaho, Virginia
Leans Paul (4); West Virginia, Missouri, Michigan, New Mexico
Toss Up (8); Oregon, Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia, Kentucky, Nebraska, Vermont
Leans Romney (8); New Hampshire, Rhode Island, South Carolina, North Carolina, Indiana, Utah, Wyoming, Pennsylvania
Likely Romney (6); North Dakota, Wisconsin, New York, Delaware, Arizona, Alabama
Safe Romney (7); Florida, Ohio, Connecticut, New Jersey, Illinois, Maryland, Kansas
Last edited by Galileo; 05-11-2012 at 11:40 PM.
where are the estimates?
900 is my estimate for Ron Paul, up from 700 two weeks ago.
state by state breakdown on that?
Look, Ron Paul supporters were told that he has the delegates and have stopped voting. Now for the darkhorse DRACHEN to shine!
is that counting his undercover delegats bound to Romney. Heard he's got ton of those and they can actualy abstain from voting for Romney
Cue the mission impossible music.
I would love to see him on the ballot.
You can track Ron Pauls delegates here:
www.not-going-to-win-the-nomination.com
you can contribute to Obama presidency here:
www.wall-streets-no-1.com
www.policestate.com
www.cons utionwgaf.com
Ron Paul is great... but he's too out there for the common voter. I don't think he gets elected but he's by far the least corrupt politician.
http://spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=195589
Not bad for a guy with hardly any coverage except for some ok work by Maddow.
Honesty, anti-fraud, ending war is too far out there
chump why do you always have to be such a troll though? honesty should be important in an election..we are placing our faith in these elected officials to act in our best interest.
They're politicians. Paul is as much a liar as any of them.
He wants to kill lots of regulation, letting the 1%, the UCA, the financial sector run amok over Human-Americans, land, air, water.Honesty, anti-fraud, ending war is too far out there
His insane fantasy is that corps will self-regulate responsibly, better than being policed by govt, proving beyond doubt that he's ing nuts.
That is so ing lame.
Get your own joke, dipwad. Quit stealing mine.
Let's make a deal.
If Ron Paul gets anywhere close* to 900 delegates to vote for him on the first ballot, I'll disappear from this board forever.
If not, you do.
Put up or shut up, conspiracy boy.
* - within 100 of 900, so only 800 delegates need to vote Dr. Paul.
asshurt
So what are you guys going to do when Paul's delegate count is much lower than you think it is?
I assume you will adopt another conspiracy theory other Paul supporters dream up.
Bump. I know you've been here since I posted this, Galileo, so why the
{{{CRICKETS}}}
?
Romney and Obama nut huggers are just pissed that crazy Ron Paul hasn't pussied out and quit like Santorum and Newt.
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