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  1. #1
    hasta la victoria, siempre cheguevara's Avatar
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    Calculations are in. Unfortunately the Spurs are not the favorites. According to the simulations, OKC is favorite to win in 6.

    Some notes:
    - OKC big 3 are much better than Spurs big 3. TP-Brick cancel each other out. Durant is better than TD. Harden is way, way better than Manu at this point.
    - OKC frontline is as good as Spurs frontline. Ibaka/Perk/Nazi will handle TD/Splitter/Diaw pretty well.
    - Spurs being deeper won't make a difference at this point. Spurs HCA won't make a diff either.
    - OKC swept the mavs and toyed with the lakers. That is stronger than sweeping both lowly Jazz/injured Clips.
    - OKC got the hunger and clutch to match the Spurs.
    - our "rookies" kawhi/green need to improve or at least maintain their level and Spurs got a chance, either of them drops performance and this could get ugly.


    now for the good news, the salvation to the series:


    IF Jax gets his together and becomes the Spurs 3rd/4th best player, it's ova

    that's a huge IF

  2. #2
    Believe.
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    perimeter shooting team will not beat an overall balanced team like the spurs in a 7 game series....SPURS CAN BEAT THE THUNDER

  3. #3
    Believe.
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    Everyone giving too much credit to the Thunder, and not enough to the Spurs. imo

  4. #4
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    It's going to come down to whoever gets the most easy baskets and makes the least mistakes. I have more faith in the Spurs doing that.

  5. #5
    h$ OZWIN's Avatar
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    It's going to come down to whoever gets the most easy baskets and makes the least mistakes. I have more faith in the Spurs doing that.
    Exactly...this is where experience comes into play.

  6. #6
    Believe. Durant 35's Avatar
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    Everyone giving too much credit to the Thunder, and not enough to the Spurs. imo
    How you fiqure that? Most have spurs winning... Just because some don't that shouldn't be seen as an insult

  7. #7
    Believe.
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    It's going to come down to whoever gets the most easy baskets and makes the least mistakes. I have more faith in the Spurs doing that.
    Thunder live and die by the jump shot and Durant by the 3 pt land. Thunder wouldnt know an easy basket even if Duncan put the ball in their basket himself

  8. #8
    Believe.
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    How you fiqure that? Most have spurs winning... Just because some don't that shouldn't be seen as an insult
    I never said they're were insulting the Spurs

  9. #9
    Scrumtrulescent
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    now for the good news, the salvation to the series:


    IF Jax gets his together and becomes the Spurs 3rd/4th best player, it's ova

    that's a huge IF
    Leonard & Diaw coming up big are more important that Jax.

  10. #10
    Believe. Durant 35's Avatar
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    Thunder live and die by the jump shot and Durant by the 3 pt land. Thunder wouldnt know an easy basket even if Duncan put the ball in their basket himself
    We get a lot of easy baskets inside.. We aren't just a jump shooting team. Our big 3 are in the top 10 at getting to the line or close to it... Both teams play more on the perimeter.

  11. #11
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    - OKC big 3 are much better than Spurs big 3.
    Disagree.

    Hardin > Manu ... BUT
    Parker > Westbrook ... and
    Tim and Durant are not comparable.

    Plus, I'll take a more-balanced big 3 (perimeter and inside) over the perimeter-based big 3 for OKC any day.

  12. #12
    hasta la victoria, siempre cheguevara's Avatar
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    Disagree.

    Hardin > Manu ... BUT
    Parker > Westbrook ... and
    Tim and Durant are not comparable.

    Plus, I'll take a more-balanced big 3 (perimeter and inside) over the perimeter-based big 3 for OKC any day.
    having a great bigman is definitely a plus. But don't forget OKC has Ibaka and Perkings, 2 very damn good bigmen that can handle TD better than any bigmen from Utah/LAC.

  13. #13
    Knowledge Is Hassle Fpoonsie's Avatar
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    Exactly...this is where experience comes into play.
    People keep using the "experience" argument against OKC. Have been for years.

    Exactly how many consecutive years does OKC hafta make fairly deep playoff runs until they TOO can claim this vaunted "experience"?

  14. #14
    Less is More Darius Bieber's Avatar
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    You did forget one huge advantage.



    Get ready for some Pack-A-Perkins. Only about 60% from the line and he gets mad easily. This will through off the Thunder's momentum and will disrupt their rhythm easily.

  15. #15
    Believe.
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    Calculations are in. Unfortunately the Spurs are not the favorites. According to the simulations, OKC is favorite to win in 6.

    Some notes:
    - OKC big 3 are much better than Spurs big 3. TP-Brick cancel each other out. Durant is better than TD. Harden is way, way better than Manu at this point.
    - OKC frontline is as good as Spurs frontline. Ibaka/Perk/Nazi will handle TD/Splitter/Diaw pretty well.
    - Spurs being deeper won't make a difference at this point. Spurs HCA won't make a diff either.
    - OKC swept the mavs and toyed with the lakers. That is stronger than sweeping both lowly Jazz/injured Clips.
    - OKC got the hunger and clutch to match the Spurs.
    - our "rookies" kawhi/green need to improve or at least maintain their level and Spurs got a chance, either of them drops performance and this could get ugly.


    now for the good news, the salvation to the series:


    IF Jax gets his together and becomes the Spurs 3rd/4th best player, it's ova

    that's a huge IF
    Spurs in 4 or GTFO

  16. #16
    Believe. Durant 35's Avatar
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    People keep using the "experience" argument against OKC. Have been for years.

    Exactly how many consecutive years does OKC hafta make fairly deep playoff runs until they TOO can claim this vaunted "experience"?
    Indeed just because we are young doesn't mean we aren't experienced enough. Look at the close games this team has pulled out.

  17. #17
    Knowledge Is Hassle Fpoonsie's Avatar
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    Indeed just because we are young doesn't mean we aren't experienced enough. Look at the close games this team has pulled out.
    Yeah. Everyone kept ting on Kobe for choking games away, but OKC still had to make THEIR shots down the stretch to actually get each of those games. And Durant has been clutch as .

    Terrifyingly so, actually.

  18. #18
    Scrumtrulescent
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    People keep using the "experience" argument against OKC. Have been for years.

    Exactly how many consecutive years does OKC hafta make fairly deep playoff runs until they TOO can claim this vaunted "experience"?
    Agreed. This is their 7th playoff series together. They're experienced enough.

    The Spurs' advantages are coaching and depth. The Thunder's advantage is that their top 3 have more firepower than the Spurs top 3. Experience isn't going to be much of a factor.

  19. #19
    Human Being Yuixafun's Avatar
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    People keep using the "experience" argument against OKC. Have been for years.

    Exactly how many consecutive years does OKC hafta make fairly deep playoff runs until they TOO can claim this vaunted "experience"?
    One more. Maybe two.

    The Spurs are will show them on the court, the difference between having the ability to be a champion, and being one.

    It will be a valuable lesson.

  20. #20
    hasta la victoria, siempre cheguevara's Avatar
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    Fish is a 5 time champ.

    Perk as well with the Celts.

    neither experience nor depth will be a factor in this series.

  21. #21
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    To be fair, cheguevara also picked OKC to easily beat Dallas last year, and Chicago to beat Miami in 5 or 6..

    His conference Finals predictions have a terrible track record..

  22. #22
    Human Being Yuixafun's Avatar
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    The Spurs core are 3 time champions

    been together a long time....

    not supplemental players, brought in within the last six months and year and a half.

  23. #23
    Veteran Spurs9's Avatar
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    Computer simulations = real life games? I murder the Thunder on 2k12 with Spurs, how does that factor in? Spurs have all of the experience in almost every situation over the years. The Thunder do not, Westbrook is too emotional, and will crack and make mistakes in tough situations. Do you remember seeing the Spurs when they were down 26 points the other night, keeping their poise? They knew if they played how they played they would win. Spurs will come out on top.

  24. #24
    Human Being Yuixafun's Avatar
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    Agreed. This is their 7th playoff series together. They're experienced enough.

    The Spurs' advantages are coaching and depth. The Thunder's advantage is that their top 3 have more firepower than the Spurs top 3. Experience isn't going to be much of a factor.
    How many finals have they been in?

  25. #25
    hasta la victoria, siempre cheguevara's Avatar
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    To be fair, cheguevara also picked OKC to easily beat Dallas last year, and Chicago to beat Miami in 5 or 6..

    His conference Finals predictions have a terrible track record..
    this coming from the poster that has a track record of posting pics of celebrity s.

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