By "traction", he probably means he's about to be hired by Fox News as their newest business news talking head...![]()
Oops. I would count myself among the many who lost a great deal of respect for him about this.
Sad.
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..(Reuters) - Jack Welch, the former chairman of General Electric who sparked an outcry with a tweet last week suggesting the White House manipulated job numbers for political gain, is no longer writing for Reuters or Fortune.
Welch, who co-wrote a column with his wife Suzy Welch, said he is terminating the contract because they could get better "traction" elsewhere, according to Fortune.
Reuters Editor-in-Chief Stephen Adler confirmed the couple will no longer be writing for Reuters.
A spokesperson for Welch declined to comment.
Welch took to Twitter on Friday, after the Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate fell in September to a near four-year low. He alleged that President Barack Obama's administration rigged the numbers.
"Unbelievable jobs numbers…these Chicago guys will do anything…can't debate so change numbers," Welch tweeted. Obama formerly served as a senator from Illinois, and his campaign headquarters is in Chicago.
Welch said on Friday he is not "accusing anyone of anything." But he stood by his tweet.
Several news outlets including Reuters, Fortune, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times covered the reaction to Welch's jobs tweet.
Welch began writing a bi-weekly column with Reuters in January. Time Warner Inc's Fortune also published the columns.
(Reporting By Jennifer Saba; Editing by David Gregorio)
http://news.yahoo.com/jack-welch-ter...3--sector.html
Look out, the biased media might ask you for (gasp) proof!!! That shows how biased they are.
By "traction", he probably means he's about to be hired by Fox News as their newest business news talking head...![]()
I saw this in the WSJ. Thought it might fit here.
Imagine a country where challenging the ruling authorities—questioning, say, a piece of data released by central headquarters—would result in mobs of administration sympathizers claiming you should feel "embarrassed" and labeling you a fool, or worse.
Soviet Russia perhaps? Communist China? Nope, that would be the United States right now, when a person (like me, for instance) suggests that a certain government datum (like the September unemployment rate of 7.8%) doesn't make sense.
Unfortunately for those who would like me to pipe down, the 7.8% unemployment figure released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) last week is downright implausible. And that's why I made a stink about it.
Before I explain why the number is questionable, though, a few words about where I'm coming from. Contrary to some of the sound-and-fury last week, I do not work for the Mitt Romney campaign. I am definitely not a surrogate. My wife, Suzy, is not associated with the campaign, either. She worked at Bain Consulting (not Bain Capital) right after business school, in 1988 and 1989, and had no contact with Mr. Romney.
The Obama campaign and its supporters, including bigwigs like David Axelrod and Robert Gibbs, along with several cable TV anchors, would like you to believe that BLS data are handled like the gold in Fort Knox, with gun-carrying guards watching their every move, and highly trained, white-gloved super-agents counting and recounting hourly.
Let's get real. The unemployment data reported each month are gathered over a one-week period by census workers, by phone in 70% of the cases, and the rest through home visits. In sum, they try to contact 60,000 households, asking a list of questions and recording the responses.
Some questions allow for unambiguous answers, but others less so. For instance, the range for part-time work falls between one hour and 34 hours a week. So, if an out-of-work accountant tells a census worker, "I got one baby-sitting job this week just to cover my kid's bus fare, but I haven't been able to find anything else," that could be recorded as being employed part-time.
The possibility of subjectivity creeping into the process is so pervasive that the BLS's own "Handbook of Methods" has a full page explaining the limitations of its data, including how non-sampling errors get made, from "misinterpretation of the questions" to "errors made in the estimations of missing data."
Bottom line: To suggest that the input to the BLS data-collection system is precise and bias-free is—well, let's just say, overstated.
Even if the BLS had a perfect process, the context surrounding the 7.8% figure still bears serious skepticism. Consider the following:
In August, the labor-force participation rate in the U.S. dropped to 63.5%, the lowest since September 1981. By definition, fewer people in the workforce leads to better unemployment numbers. That's why the unemployment rate dropped to 8.1% in August from 8.3% in July.
Meanwhile, we're told in the BLS report that in the months of August and September, federal, state and local governments added 602,000 workers to their payrolls, the largest two-month increase in more than 20 years. And the BLS tells us that, overall, 873,000 workers were added in September, the largest one-month increase since 1983, during the booming Reagan recovery.
These three statistics—the labor-force participation rate, the growth in government workers, and overall job growth, all multidecade records achieved over the past two months—have to raise some eyebrows. There were no economists, liberal or conservative, predicting that unemployment in September would drop below 8%.
I know I'm not the only person hearing these numbers and saying, "Really? If all that's true, why are so many people I know still having such a hard time finding work? Why do I keep hearing about local, state and federal cutbacks?"
I sat through business reviews of a dozen companies last week as part of my work in the private sector, and not one reported better results in the third quarter compared with the second quarter. Several stayed about the same, the rest were down slightly.
The economy is not in a free-fall. Oil and gas are strong, automotive is doing well and we seem to be seeing the beginning of a housing comeback. But I doubt many of us know any businessperson who believes the economy is growing at breakneck speed, as it would have to be for unemployment to drop to 7.8% from 8.3% over the course of two months.
The reality is the economy is experiencing a weak recovery. Everything points to that, particularly the overall employment level, which is 143 million people today, compared with 146 million people in 2007.
Now, I realize my tweets about this matter have been somewhat incendiary. In my first tweet, sent the night before the unemployment figure was released, I wrote: "Tomorrow unemployment numbers for Sept. with all the assumptions Labor Department can make..wonder about participation assumption??" The response was a big yawn.
My next tweet, on Oct. 5, the one that got the attention of the Obama campaign and its supporters, read: "Unbelievable jobs numbers..these Chicago guys will do anything..can't debate so change numbers."
As I said that same evening in an interview on CNN, if I could write that tweet again, I would have added a few question marks at the end, as with my earlier tweet, to make it clear I was raising a question.
But I'm not sorry for the heated debate that ensued. I'm not the first person to question government numbers, and hopefully I won't be the last. Take, for example, one of my chief critics in this go-round, Austan Goolsbee, former chairman of the Obama administration's Council of Economic Advisers. Back in 2003, Mr. Goolsbee himself, commenting on a Bush-era unemployment figure, wrote in a New York Times op-ed: "the government has cooked the books."
The good news is that the current debate has resulted in people giving the whole issue of unemployment data more thought. Moreover, it led to some of the campaign's biggest supporters admitting that the number merited a closer look—and even expressing skepticism. The New York Times in a Sunday editorial, for instance, acknowledged the 7.8% figure is "partly due to a statistical fluke."
The coming election is too important to be decided on a number. Especially when that number seems so wrong.
Mr. Welch was the CEO of General Electric for 21 years and is the founder of the Jack Welch Management Ins ute at Strayer University.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...pinion_LEADTop
It appears that Welch took GE from an industrial outfit to a predominantly financial operator. iow, just another chapter in the broad "financialization" of the American economy. Playing with money to enrich mgmt and investors is valued more than actually building something. Which is exactly Gecko's "business" experience.
http://articles.businessinsider.com/...eo-jeff-immelt
Welch is just another 1%er who wants Gecko 20% (and more) tax cut.
Oh noes, RG has lost respect for him. Hope he's not on suicide watch.
Obama is happy to take advice from the current CEO of GE who has been an expert in outsourcing jobs and paying no federal income tax to try and make a profit.
Poor Chuck Todd almost brought to tears over this
Yep, Barry had so many of these types on his staff. He's such a communist/socialist/terrorist, just like Fox Repug network warned us.
Apparently Mr. Welch seems not to understand population growth.
What might have been "booming" growth with a smaller population would be mediocre to shrinking for a larger one.
Honestly, it looks like a lot of prevaricating and dissembling.
I didn't read the article yet, but might that have been his point?
Or perhaps he just supports outsourcing and wall-street taking advantage of loopholes at the middle class and poor classes expense. Seems to counter the entire premise of his campaign, but integrity only matters to people like you when it comes to elephants.
Mr. Welch is a victim and true American hero.
anytime you come out against the communist in the white house you are considered a patriot..USA! USA!USA!
Anecdotes!
Seriously after the upwardly adjusted job creation numbers from the previous two months, why was a .2% dip in the unemployment rate so unbelievable?
Bull .Probably closer to the truth than Jack would care to admit.
Has there been any evidence that the surveys were manipulated?
*crickets*
This guy is so washed up.
lots of money to be made preying on the far right. Definitely an untapped market. Last Ounce of courage made 3 million dollars. 3 million.
Basically, both sides are calling BS when they don't like the numbers. What a sad day when the tweet of a cranky old man can dominate an entire day's news cycle.
In the video, Jack makes very good points.
Welch gets squelched, yet again, by the numbers geek.
Jack Welch Has No Clue About Jobs Numbers
If Welch knew the data at all or bothered to talk to someone who knew the data before he made his outlandish charges, he would realize that the unemployment rate is an erratic series. It moves around in unpredictable ways.
I am on record as saying that Friday's drop in the unemployment rate was a statistical fluke. So was the 0.1 percentage point rise reported for July. But the economy has been adding 150,000 jobs per month, which is consistent with a declining unemployment rate. To get a full picture of the economy, you have to study the all the data and try to put together pieces of the puzzle. That may not fit Welch's political agenda, but that is the world we live in.
The economists and statisticians at the Bureau of Labor Statistics may not be the most exciting people in the world, but they are honest. And for that, we should be very grateful. When we get data from them, we know that it has not been doctored for political purposes.
http://www.cepr.net/index.php/op-eds...=Google+Reader
Welch is typical Repug/1% asshole. He thinks his $100Ms "en le" him to slander anybody and to invent his own reality. ing Repugs assholes, every one of them.
Last edited by boutons_deux; 10-12-2012 at 08:35 AM.
Shazbot...
Did you watch the video? Besides, I only said he made good points. Get past the numbers and actually listen to what he is trying to say that he keeps getting interrupted over.
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