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One must have one's priorities in order.
What a great story!
Timely and utterly convenient!
Seriously raZon, it's OK that you're not that good at making your own picks. It's only a big deal because you made it out to be a big deal.
One must have one's priorities in order.
What NFL week was this?
I'm gong to bet it was week 1.
Am I right?
You were so adamant in claiming that you could hit 70%.
I can't believe someone would purposely make themselves look so untruthful, fat, old and re ed knowing that from here on out, bull with an exclamation mark will be called instead of with a question mark.
It had to be since I never give out free plays. I might agree with someone or give an opinion on a game they mentioned.
Hey, I won the bet!
That's good, since you admitted your plays aren't all that great. You have to depend on people who have a real provable record and aren't afraid to talk real business in public.
This is business, no time to be ing around with..."see me I'm a pick um fool".....I'm into making $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Knowing where to get that edge is part of it. I win $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. That is the bottom line.
Um, sorry. You just said all you have done from the beginning here is around.
You need to make a flowchart to track your lies and predict where they run into each other, raZon.
And why wouldn't someone post his picks?
If one is good at it, why not spread the wealth? It's not like posters have to bet against each other.
None of what you have posted today makes any sense unless it's seen as a crazed attempt to preserve what you perceive to be your reputation as some kind of football betting genius.
And that is seriously sad.
I don't know what else to tell you, it's like I said it was. Believe whatevrer you like it really doesn't matter.
It doesn't matter what you claim any more.
You are so far down the welch hole that there is literally nothing left for you to do but kill your e-self.
So your 70% thing was 100% a fabricated lie.
Yeah, you definitely don't care about our opinion of you the way you lie about stuff to make yourself look legendary.
Mason
But did I really?
If it truly didn't matter to you, you never would have brought it up in an attempt to salvage your made up legend.
big 'umpdump, slingin that wood grain...
bullyin' darker shades of males in the area below the rim with equidimensional lines that are spaced perpendicularly and parallel from each other
locked in: Denver -9.5, Cincy -3
crossed a few leans off the list... still leaning Redskins -2.5, Texans +3.5, Giants -5 and thinking of a pick for the Packers/Lions game... that one's tough.
like I said with Denver, laying 10 on the road is usually not wirse... and 8+ point home dogs are 23-2 ATS last 3 years... but I cannot see any reason not to back Denver here. the Oakland defense is downright atrocious right now to the point their own players are admitting it. 7.1 yards per play allowed over the last 5 games and nearly 38 points. Their offense puts up yards sometimes, but not points. Denver is a complete team with an elite QB and a great pass rush... Denver won 37-6 last time and as expected, Manning shredded them. The coach of Oakland appears on the way out. Oakland only keeps this close with turnovers or Denver shooting themselves in the foot with stalled drives/penalties, and I'm not gonna rely on that.
Last edited by Ghazi; 12-05-2012 at 08:59 AM.
Denver is a plus 105 as far as points scored/given up, Oakland a weak minus 121. Denver is 4-2 on the road, Oakland a weak 2-4 at home. Denver a 7 game winning streak, Oakland a 5 game losing streak.
Cinncy is 4-0 in this "spot" the last 4 vs Dallas.
Only way Denver doesn't cover is they aren't in the mood to play. Which does happen. I don't see that happening on one of these big only game going on deals.
Avante if he's right.
Starving hit by bus Mason if he's wrong.
Yeah avante, a team right in the middle of a heated race for HFA won't want to play...that really happens this time of year.
Nice work, Mason.
locked in: Cincy -3
I think Dallas is simply an average team and I'll swallow the 3 points with a Bengals team that has a pretty good pass rush, linemen with motors, physical running game, and great receivers and a solid QB. Cincy is good.
leans:
Minnesota +3- as hard as it is to trust Christian Ponder, I still get the Vikes at home where they're 5-1 on the year against one of the worst offenses in the league. the Bears offensive line is bad by all measures. run blocking, pass protecting you name it. This Bears team has struggled the past 4 weeks, and generated 8 TDs off defense/special teams this year. I think you can call this kind of lucky. Plus the immediate revenge factor for the Vikes, who lost to the Bears 2 weeks ago. Peterson is the best player on the field..
Panthers +3.5 - don't look at records... Panthers have 2 losses via last second FG and an OT loss to the Bucs... Falcons are usually on the lucky end in these close games. It's 11-1 v 3-9... but it's more like 9-3 v 6-6. I took the Falcons -3.5 last week against the Saints but they did not pass the eye test. Their interior routinely got blown up preventing clean pockets for Ryan... and the Panthers defensive line is better than the Saints..they also needed 5 Brees interceptions. Quite frankly, they were outplayed for the majority of the last 3 quarters. They (PAnthers) sacked Ryan 7 times last time. Falcons have no running game, but are also bad defending the run. All I can really say is I haven't watched the Panthers at all this year but they check out as average in a lot of categories, but there's value in them getting spotted 3.5 points at home against a slightly above average Falcons team. It's interesting to note the Panthers average 5.8 yards per play and allow 5.3 yards per play. This +.5 difference is actually one of the better marks in the league, only behind the Broncos and Niners. I'm not saying this stat is that telling, but I think it shows the Panthers are probably the best "bad team" in the league, while the Falcons are the worst "good team" in the league.
Redskins -3 - I'm not necessarily just sipping the RG III Kool Aid, I just think the Ravens, like the Falcons, have an inflated record. It took a miracle 4th and 29 conversion to beat the Chargers, they had 0 offensive TDs in a win v the Steelers, close win v Chiefs, lucky win v Patriots... I mean, the Ravens aren't excellent in any category really. They've also had trouble stopping the run... I think the Redskins' dynamic offense w/ RG III/Morris/Shanahan will give the Ravens fits, so I'll gladly swallow the 3 points. I also don't think Flacco is fully capable of exposing this weak secondary, although he does well against blitzes.
Texans +3.5 - Maybe part of me is just a gambler, because I always feel an urge to bet MNF... unfortunately, I have very little confidence with this pick. Let's just say if the line was pick em or Texans +2.5 I would probably take the Pats. But when I'm getting more than a FG I have to take the more well rounded team with the better defense. Schaub and his receivers can definitely expose this horrendous Patriots pass defense.. but it's hard to guage whether JJ Watt will be disruptive enough to slow down this Pats' offense. Anyway, when I'm getting points in a game between two really good teams, I'll take it if it comes with the team with the better defense.
I don't buy into "don't bet against BRady on primetime" that much... yes he's 12-4, but all that matters is 2012 Texans v 2012 Patriots... what Brady has done in the past doesn't really mater.
BTW, part of me for some reason could see the Patriots blowing the Texans out. I'm probably gonna take the Texans, unless the line magically moves beneath 3... but this would be my least confident pick of the week.
locked in: Bengals -3, Redskins -3, Vikings +3, Panthers +3.5, Steelers -1/Under 46.5 Teaser
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