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  1. #26
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    Great read. Print this article to everyone, who have vote in this category. Larry Sander my ass

  2. #27
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    It all depends what position he's voted as. I'm sure for the All-NBA team LeBron and Durant are locks at forward. If they view Tim as a Center he'd have a shot, but writers would obviously vote for Dwight. If he's viewed as a forward, he'll probably be all-nba second team and all defensive first team.
    No way Howard gets in, since Bryant is a lock.

  3. #28
    MVParker racm's Avatar
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    The metrics confirm that Sanders has a great defensive impact and isn't just a pinball machine shotblocker that just pads numbers. AND he leads the league in blocks. He's probably the stiffest compe ion, but I think Tim is starting to draw nationwide attention
    He's good enough to lift a team that has Monta Ellis, Brandon Jennings, J.J. Re , Mike Dunleavy, and Ersan Ilyasova all getting rotation minutes to a top 10 defense. That said, I don't think Milwaukee needs him to block more shots if they had better perimeter defense.

    No way Howard gets in, since Bryant is a lock.
    And it would be incredibly dumb for an 8th seed team to have two first teamers.

    Last year's first team:

    Paul - 40-26, 5th seed
    Bryant - 41-25, 3rd seed
    James - 46-20, 2nd seed
    Durant - 47-19, 2nd seed
    Howard - 37-29, 6th seed

    2011:

    Rose - 62-20, 1st seed
    Bryant - 57-25, 2nd seed
    James - 58-24, 2nd seed
    Durant - 55-27, 4th seed
    Howard - 52-30, 4th seed

    2010:

    Wade - 47-35, 5th seed
    Bryant - 57-25, 1st seed
    James - 61-21, 1st seed
    Durant - 50-32, 8th seed
    Howard - 59-23, 2nd seed

    So there's only been one guy to make the first team from an 8th seed the past 3 seasons, and that guy had to score 30 ppg and win a scoring le to do so.

  4. #29
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    He's good enough to lift a team that has Monta Ellis, Brandon Jennings, J.J. Re , Mike Dunleavy, and Ersan Ilyasova all getting rotation minutes to a top 10 defense. That said, I don't think Milwaukee needs him to block more shots if they had better perimeter defense.



    And it would be incredibly dumb for an 8th seed team to have two first teamers.

    Last year's first team:

    Paul - 40-26, 5th seed
    Bryant - 41-25, 3rd seed
    James - 46-20, 2nd seed
    Durant - 47-19, 2nd seed
    Howard - 37-29, 6th seed

    2011:

    Rose - 62-20, 1st seed
    Bryant - 57-25, 2nd seed
    James - 58-24, 2nd seed
    Durant - 55-27, 4th seed
    Howard - 52-30, 4th seed

    2010:

    Wade - 47-35, 5th seed
    Bryant - 57-25, 1st seed
    James - 61-21, 1st seed
    Durant - 50-32, 8th seed
    Howard - 59-23, 2nd seed

    So there's only been one guy to make the first team from an 8th seed the past 3 seasons, and that guy had to score 30 ppg and win a scoring le to do so.
    the only thing this confirms is that kobe, durant, lebron, and dwight are shoo-ins

  5. #30
    Veteran Danny.Zhu's Avatar
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    Great great read.

  6. #31
    Do you expect me to talk? DieMrBond's Avatar
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    Everything I've read online indicates it's going to be Marc Gasol this year, due to the Grizzlies defence - which he obviously anchors.
    Check out this article for an example: http://www.sbnation.com/2013/3/15/41...er-of-the-year

    Hopefully it is for TD, but I don't like his chances unfortunately

  7. #32
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    Everything I've read online indicates it's going to be Marc Gasol this year, due to the Grizzlies defence - which he obviously anchors.
    Check out this article for an example: http://www.sbnation.com/2013/3/15/41...er-of-the-year

    Hopefully it is for TD, but I don't like his chances unfortunately
    Spurs defense is underrated in statistical point of view, since there were way too many blowouts, and 4th quater with Mills and Turd Towers running whole 12 minutes.

  8. #33
    Never tell me the odds- Kuestmaster's Avatar
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    Don't count out Howard being higher than Duncan in DPOY votes. Voters are stupid.

  9. #34
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    Everything I've read online indicates it's going to be Marc Gasol this year, due to the Grizzlies defence - which he obviously anchors.
    Check out this article for an example: http://www.sbnation.com/2013/3/15/41...er-of-the-year

    Hopefully it is for TD, but I don't like his chances unfortunately
    So why it is that some years the voters don't care about team defense (e.g. Camby on DEN) and some years it's important. At least, be consistent.

  10. #35
    Transition 3 Willbreaker Captivus's Avatar
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    Where did the author get the "block distance in feets" stat?
    Who is keeping track of that?? Is it the new cameras?

  11. #36
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
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    It all depends what position he's voted as. I'm sure for the All-NBA team LeBron and Durant are locks at forward. If they view Tim as a Center he'd have a shot, but writers would obviously vote for Dwight. If he's viewed as a forward, he'll probably be all-nba second team and all defensive first team.
    The All-Star game went to 3 frontcourt/2 backcourt this year rather than C-F-F-G-G. Is it possible the All-NBA Teams will be restructured the same way?

    That would probably hurt Duncan's chances, though. Players like Griffin and Bosh that couldn't get in as centers would qualify as frontcourt. Brook Lopez will also be stiff compe ion due to the offensive numbers he's putting up.

    I think that LeBron, Durant, Paul, and Parker have 4 of the First Team spots locked up. If Parker or Paul gets hurt and/or plays poorly the rest of the season, and the Heat keep piling up wins, Wade might sneak in.

    If Howard finishes above Duncan in the All-NBA Teams, I'll have a conniption fit.

  12. #37
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    ******

    If Howard finishes above Duncan in the All-NBA Teams, I'll have a conniption fit.

    ditto

  13. #38
    MVParker racm's Avatar
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    Spurs defense is underrated in statistical point of view, since there were way too many blowouts, and 4th quater with Mills and Turd Towers running whole 12 minutes.
    And raw PPG doesn't do it a favor - the Spurs are IIRC 10th/11th in opponent PPG, while being 3rd in DRating, mostly because of their 7th ranked pace. The other top 4 defensive teams (IND/MEM/CHI) all play at a glacial, attack-the-boards pace.

    So why it is that some years the voters don't care about team defense (e.g. Camby on DEN) and some years it's important. At least, be consistent.
    Has it occurred to you that the sports media tend to go for who gets the biggest buzz?

  14. #39
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    I bet Tim gives the trophy to Bruce Bowen if he wins it.
    Such a classy move too.

  15. #40
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    I'd rather see Tim get his 4th Finals MVP but both would be cool too. I have a feeling I will see neither.

  16. #41
    The OL' Perfessor wildbill2u's Avatar
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    After seeing box stats on Duncan’s blocks in several games I made an independent check on his blocks this year and where he stands compared to other younger players. I was amazed.
    This article takes the raw blocks stats to another level of analysis and confirms what I was seeing. Now I am even more amazed at what Duncan is doing this year.
    A recent Bill Simmons do entary on Bill Russell revealed that Russell always wanted his blocks to be directed to himself or another teammate in order to begin the transition to offense. Maybe Duncan talked to Russell because that is exactly what he is doing.
    And unlike Russell, Tim is a guy who can barely jump over a book of matches. His blocking prowess is all about timing, positioning and BB IQ.
    Did I mention his play this year is AMAZING?

  17. #42
    Veteran Raven's Avatar
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    with the new stats on nba.com, there is no way timmy doesn't win it, that is if he keeps playing like he is now. The robbery would simply be too easy to see.

  18. #43
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    This is the best article I have ever read on shot blocking. I am looking forward to the defensive rebounding article. Does anyone know when it is coming out?

  19. #44
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    The All-Star game went to 3 frontcourt/2 backcourt this year rather than C-F-F-G-G. Is it possible the All-NBA Teams will be restructured the same way?

    That would probably hurt Duncan's chances, though. Players like Griffin and Bosh that couldn't get in as centers would qualify as frontcourt. Brook Lopez will also be stiff compe ion due to the offensive numbers he's putting up.

    I think that LeBron, Durant, Paul, and Parker have 4 of the First Team spots locked up. If Parker or Paul gets hurt and/or plays poorly the rest of the season, and the Heat keep piling up wins, Wade might sneak in.

    If Howard finishes above Duncan in the All-NBA Teams, I'll have a conniption fit.
    thinking nba voters won't put kobe on the fist team

  20. #45
    Boring = 4 Rings SA210's Avatar
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    It'd be nice for Tim to win it, we all know Bruce deserved it many times.

  21. #46
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    Zach Lowe (espn/grantland) has been pushing for Gasol hard.
    Which I don't understand since Duncan's better than Gasol in just about every defensive metric.

  22. #47
    Out with the old... Obstructed_View's Avatar
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    If anyone goes to a Spurs game soon, please find the person keeping official stats for the Spurs and kick them firmly in the junk. Duncan's probably averaging almost two blocks more per game than he's getting credited for.

  23. #48
    GFY I. Hustle's Avatar
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    If anyone goes to a Spurs game soon, please find the person keeping official stats for the Spurs and kick them firmly in the junk. Duncan's probably averaging almost two blocks more per game than he's getting credited for.
    I actually know the guy. I worked with him for a few years.

  24. #49
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    Duncan truly deserves it this year. He has better overall rebounding and bpg stats than anyone else. His team is top 5 defensively and has the 2nd best record in the NBA. He also should get the lifetime achievement bonus, not that he needs it. Merit alone from this season justifies Duncan winning DPOY.

  25. #50
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    I reckon in the Heat game hes playing for DPOY.

    If he goes off and shuts them down then he will get the award

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