Vegas knows something implies it is rigged, I don't buy that. They don't have a working agreement with the NBA to rig anything, over the long run they make profits if they make the line down the middle. Sometimes they lose on a game if too much money goes one way and they are on the short side but over the long haul they win by just adjusting a line that will get even betting.
Eh, Heat are coming off of a 27 game winning streak and are the media darlings. The Spurs are lacking in the publicity department and haven't looked as explosive recently as they did earlier. It might not be totally fair but honestly I wouldn't have expected any less.
I said the same thing you said. Did not read through the entire thread, put me in jail.
Just FYI: You quoted my post, then repeated it. Asking you to read what you quoted can't be too much to ask.
Well, most of those defeats came when LeBron hadn't joined the Heat yet.
I would say that only the last 5-6 games are really relevant as far as history goes.
It implies insider information, that's it. I don't think that's too impossible of a prediction given how much money is involved in this. They have the ability to adjust spreads to change how the public bets, but occasionally you'll the lines keep moving in the other way trying to get a heavily public backed team to get even more of the public's money.
Like here, the Heat have 62% of the market going for them
http://www.thespread.com/nba-basketb...t#.UVh4u6KsiSo
The line even moved from -1.5 to 1 back to 1.5. Why would they do that if they're interested in 50-50 betting for this game?
http://www.sportsinsights.com/spread...1/2013>ype=4
just jealousy.
You forgot the usual spurs are too old to compete with the young heat
Explain what insider information is.
ha, ha, ha, ha, the Spurs now favored by 2 points!!
Put that in your pipe and smoke it.
I wouldn't know, that's why it's insider information tbh.
But in seriousness, I'd imagine anything from information on the condition of the players themselves (maybe a trainer it leaking info), honestly I'm not that sure. All I know is that they have to have a reason for encouraging an unbalanced line and it's probably not that they think their models are more accurate than anyone elses.
The spurs have not covered the line in their last 4 games, are only 2-8 in their last 10 games overall against the line, only 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Had lucky close wins against the Clippers and Denver in their last two.
Now the Spurs go against the best team in the league. Miami has a chip on their shoulder losing their streak a couple of games ago and with something to prove. Blowout for Miami, Pop will pull the starters in the early 4th quarter. It is just one game on the schedule for Pop, no big deal with the loss.
Miami's defense will smother the spurs shooters and the lack of team athleticism will cave the spurs in.
105- 92 Miami
Your vague answer is not convincing.
It is reasonable for either team to be slightly favored over the other. We're talking a 57-15 Heat team that's been on a 29-1 winning tear of late, traveling on the road to face a 55-17 Spurs team that is outstanding at winning games on its own home court. It's almost like you couldn't go wrong with picking either team.
For the Heat to be slightly favored is entirely reasonable.
Holy mackerel, loe and behold, its rigged, Joey Crawford is reffin' the game!!
Joe Crawford reffing tonight's game
http://www.spurstalk.com/forums/show...32#post6447632
Do you have a better explanation? Or any explanation then? I don't have to care about convincing you, the actual information already backs up what I said, the reasons aren't as important. (If I knew why, I'd be a millionaire)
I don't have to explain anything, you're the one with the conspiracy insider theory.
LOL
Then what you said is flat out wrong.
The betting line is geared to the betting public. The line tries to split the bets evenly so the books win no matter who wins.
Which we can clearly see isn't the case from the actual data I gave you.
I feel Spurs will win by 8-13.
True, but they get to pad it against: Wizards, Cavs, Pistons, Raptors, Magic, 76ers and Bobcats 4x a year. Then a few of their "playoff teams" are potential blowouts too. Hard not to have a good point differential if you're good and play in the east.
That would be awesome.
OK, WTF? Why does Miami control the home-court if there is a tie in the standings? More Stern crap I suppose.
Ho, ho, ho, the line jumped to either 2 1/2 Spurs or 4 Spurs depending on where u r @!!!!
GO SPURS GO! THE SMART MONEY IS RIDING WITH THE DUNCAN/PARKER/SPLITTER/KAWAHI TRAIN!!!!
YAAA!!!
and there we go, this is the conspiracy theoryish stuff but if the big oddsmakers had an inkling of a clue that Spo would rest Lebron/Wade there's your reason for some of them to keep the public pounding money on Miami even though the % was so lopsided
Miami covered the line anyways.
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