If you don't get stops and barely score 20 pts in the 4th quarter of contested games against playoffs teams, then you're not winning those games. You could tell me one game or two is a fluke, but there been more than that.
Spurs have been holding opponents to under 100 points fairly consistently, and that's pretty tough to do, especially against quality teams. We haven't been feasting on the Wizards or the Bobcats lately.
OKC without Harden are worse than last season, not sure that's even arguable. Teams like the Clippers and Denver still have a big question mark when it comes to the playoffs. Memphis I think can ramp up the D, but I don't know if they can go all the way.
The Spurs have been struggling lately, but hopefully they can hit their stride. I don't see any of those teams challenging the Heat, barring some injury. That's why I'm saying there's no 'clear cut' contender.
Because things beyond the team control happen. Tony might be playing with pain, we don't know. Neal might be playing through planar fasciitis. Manu is out right now, but I'm sure if it would be the playoffs, he would try to play through it.
The Spurs need to improve within the things they can control. I think given the personnel we have, the defense is where it should be. If it improves more, then it will be welcome. The offense needs to get back to what worked, and that hasn't happened yet. There's still time.