The conventional wisdom would concede game 2 to the Heat, since it's all but a must-win for them. The talking points are that the Heat will definitely take it to another level in game 2 since their backs are against the wall, and that the Spurs will relax and let up having gotten the split and HC.
I think the CW is failing to take into account a critical factor. This is the best the Spurs will feel physically since early in the year. Nine days off so they're refreshed and rejuvenated, then a game to knock off the rust, then an extra day off, two days total, to recover before the next game. The Spurs should be sharper than game one, but still refreshed and rested. Pop and Tim know how important it is to take full advantage of good health and energy while they still have it.
I do agree that the Heat, especially LeBron, will take it up a level in game two. But I think a sharp, fresh Spurs team can take it up another level or two. Spurs missed a lot of open threes in game 1, some chippies, and had some bad rotations.
I think the Spurs have a golden opportunity to take game 2 and really put this series on lockdown. Physically, game 2 is the best the Spurs will be for the remainder of the series.
If the Spurs don't win game 2, the series will end up back in Miami. Win it, and we look good to clinch at home.![]()

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