2013 $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

[Blake]

I can't $$$$ games play on Thursdays.

Sure you can. But that's ok, we won't count it since you don't.

[Blake]

2-1 and 16-8....hahaha!!!!!!!!!! 2 points away from 3-0.

A ty RG3 performance away from being 1-2.

you may as well stop with the 16-8 bull . Nobody believes you.

The only record that counts are from the picks you post here.

[HarlemHeat37]

3-2 week for Avante..still under 50% for the year, but at least you won more games than you lost this week, tbh..

[Brazil]

this thread is awesome even for somebody who never ever bet like me

Avante and his son

I'm depressed Avante didn't accept Harlem's challenge, I would have root for the dog tbh

[Blake]

Ok here we go.

Seattle is 8-4 as a MNF favorite, the Rams are 10-12 as a MNF dog. Advantage Seahawks.

The Seahawks have covered the last four times on MNF, the Rams are 0-4. Advantage Seahawks.

The Seahawks are 9-3 ATS the last 12 vs the Rams. Rams are 1-3 ATS at home. So that's a 12-4 trend favoring the Seahawks.

Right now the Seahawks are as good as they have ever been, the Rams don't have a QB.

I'll lay the points and back the Seahawks.

Oh yeah....Seahawks are 191-116 or plus 75, The Rams are 156-184 or a minus 28.

lmao expert

[spurraider21]

lmao expert

...but but it was a good "spot"

[Blake]

3-2 week for Avante..still under 50% for the year, but at least you won more games than you lost this week, tbh..

Still only 60%.

[HarlemHeat37]

Still only 60%.

Pretty good for a sub-50% degenerate gambler, to be fair..

[Blake]

Pretty good for a sub-50% degenerate gambler, to be fair..

No doubt.

But terrible for an expert claiming he can hit 70.

[GoodOdor]

No doubt.

But terrible for an expert claiming he can hit 70.

As terrible as he is, even he should be 50%+ for the season, tbh....

I'm just wondering what the excuse will be this time for not hitting 65%....he's running out of sons to throw under the bus.

[Avante]

You approach the second half of a season differently. Now it's time to focus in on the power teams, those teams looking to win divisions and secure playoff seedings.

The Chiefs with Andy Reid are 5-3 Ats

If we look at the last 16 regular season games ATS for these power teams we get...

Cinncy,,,11-5
GB...10-6
Seattle...11-5
Niners...10-6
Indy...10-6
Denver...10-6

That's..64=34

If we look at the 2011 Saints with Seun Peyton...8-0 ATS second half of the season

Now adding that and KC...77-38.

The Pats don't make it with...8-8.

So the trick now is to play on the power teams, week 8...power teams vs ATS...5-2.

I won't play that second road game....which I did with Seattle MNF.....DUH!!!!!!!! Or heading into a bye week, both bad "spots". If power teams play each other...pass.

No need to play any other teams, they won;t have the same motivation or QB play in most cases.

I will be playing 110 to win a 100 on all the games I mention from here on out. Trick is to build your bank roll for the playoffs.

16-9 heading into the second half.

Saints-4.5
Green Bay-11
Seattle -16.5
Indy -1
Cinncy -1.5

I won't play KC because they are heading into a bye/on the road vs a Buffalo team coming off a loss. The Chiefs could lose this one, perfect "spot' for that to happen.

Denver/Niners...bye week.

There are some handicappers that just zero in on 4-6 teams, they study them only. They know all there is to know about their ATS history. I'll be doing that the second half of this season with my 8 power teams.

There are some players who just play division games, the theory being....100% effort.

What are the odds of more of those power teams not covering than covering? As we saw by the numbers the odds are in your favor, a far better chance of going 5-3 than 3-5.

If we look at power points

Cinncy 22 Miami 11
GB 21 Chicago 13
NO 20 NYJ 17
Indy 19 Houston 9
Seattle 26 TB 3

That's 108-53

Then there is that one play that makes no sense. Why are the Eagles favored over the Raiders...IN..Oakland? A place they have gone 0-4 in the last 4 ATS, I gotta add the Raiders +3.

[Avante]

...but but it was a good "spot"

You never play on a second consecutive road game, I did and it cost me. I missed that for some reason. You also shouldn't play against the home team on MNF.

Seahawks vs a team with a back up QB had me missng the fundamentals.

[Chief Brody]

Avante, I've been using your picks this year and I've lost $70,000 and my wife has left me

[Avante]

Avante, I've been using your picks this year and I've lost $70,000 and my wife has left me

I'm only 2 down, so...????

This ...power teams second half ATS...is a time tested method, watch how it works.

Last season....

Cinncy...7-1
Denver...6-2
GB...6-2
Indy...6-2
NO..4-4...far better now
Niners...4-4
Seattle...6-2

Can't count KC for obvious reasons.

So we got...39-17 ATS

All those teams listed above are playing better than ever.

[Chief Brody]

I'm only 2 down, so...????

Please improve. My cupboards are bare and I may have to eat my dog to survive

[Bill_Brasky]

holy this thread is a gold mine. just literally come in here, look what avante picked, and throw a few hundy on the opposite.

[spurraider21]

holy . i've never heard that joke before

[Blake]

As terrible as he is, even he should be 50%+ for the season, tbh....

I'm just wondering what the excuse will be this time for not hitting 65%....he's running out of sons to throw under the bus.

I think the consensus prediction is the son in law with funny name that DoK mentioned........forgot his name...

[Avante]

Time to start racking in the $$$$$$$$$$$$$

GB-11
Oak-2.5
Carolina -7.5
Seattle-15.5

[KoolAid Mans Brother]

Time to start racking in the $$$$$$$$

We've heard this for a year and a half now, and you're still where you have always been; under .500 and losing.

You're not a good better. Stop trying to convince everyone otherwise. We've all seen a big enough sample size.

[Avante]

We've heard this for a year and a half now, and you're still where you have always been; under .500 and losing.

You're not a good better. Stop trying to convince everyone otherwise. We've all seen a big enough sample size.

Why not see how it goes, ok? And I'm 16-9 in real $$$$ plays. All my games from now on will be real $$$ plays.

Now, do you disagree with those picks?

[Clipper Nation]

And I'm 16-9 in real $$$$ plays.

You can feel free to drop that lie, nobody's believing it nor will we ever believe it, tbh....

[Avante]

You can feel free to drop that lie, nobody's believing it nor will we ever believe it, tbh....

Why do you think I have all these betting angles/trends/stats? guy I can take you back 10 years and every NFL game played and the ATS situation. Why would I even bother?

I',m a serious player little guy, as you wil see. Like most kids you jump on things too quickly. We have a ton of football left and the second half is far easier to pick.

This season (check it out for yourself) has been really strange for guys like me, so many obvious plays ruined because of injuries/turnovers. Nobody is doing all that great so far in 2013.

Look at Baltimore vs Cleveland. A ton of stats.trend favoring the Ravens in this "spot". We can start with the Ravens being 19-3 ATS coming off a loss, now add 10-1 ATS coming off a bye. Now we also have Cleveland heading into a bye week, a "spot" they suck in.



Why do I know all this? How about pulling your head out of your ass little fella and figure it out.

[Blake]

Why not see how it goes, ok? And I'm 16-9 in real $$$$ plays. All my games from now on will be real $$$ plays.

Now, do you disagree with those picks?

I'm 145-0 in real $$$$$$ plays.

I just took the deed from my bookie's house. I'm planning on getting it rezoned and make it a full body massage parlor.

[Avante]

I'm 145-0 in real $$$$$$ plays.

I just took the deed from my bookie's house. I'm planning on getting it rezoned and make it a full body massage parlor.

You'll see all my $$$$ plays from here on out.