Improvements:
- Belinelli over Neal
- Diaw 2.0
- Backup PG situation is much better. Mills/Joseph have both played well this year
- Despite what some may think, Leonard HAS been better this year. Only thing he hasn't improved on is 3-point shooting, and he's steadily improved in that aspect as the season has carried on
- Ginobili playing more like himself
Areas of retrogression:
- While Duncan has looked much better than he did to start the season...I think we can all agree he doesn't look as well as he did last season
- Parker not where he was at last year. Hopefully he'll look better after this extended period of rest he's gotten.
So on paper, it would appear our team is better than last year. But there are a few things worth mentioning:
1) West is stronger this year. We almost certainly won't have as easy of a path to the Finals as we did last season. Even our 1st-round matchup could provide a bit of trouble. OKC/Houston/Portland/LAC will all be challenging matchups. Say what you want about the Clippers...this team is different. Doc Rivers >>>>>>> Del Negro, and they've finally improved their bench with the additions of Big Baby and Granger. Griffin is also playing like a true elite player this year. Anyone who says he "can only dunk" clearly hasn't watched him much this year and is basing their opinions off what they see on SportsCenter (which, ironically enough, these same people tend to claim he's overrated because others only see his highlights on ESPN).
2) While I love having a great bench and strong role players, in the playoffs I'd rather have Duncan playing like he was last year or Parker back to playing like one of the best PGs in the league. I just don't feel great placing trust in players like Patty Mills and Boris Diaw to show up big consistently.
If Parker comes back looking like he did last season, I'll feel much more confident. I still feel pretty good about this team though. I think we have as good of chances as anyone outside a healthy OKC to make it out of the West.