Phoenix is by far the most dangerous imo. Goran Dragic is the team leader...need I say more?
Memphis is a great matchup for the spurs now. After 2011, the holes in the spurs' defense were addressed, RJ was traded, Diaw and Kawhi acquired, Green and Patty Acquired, Splitter acclimated. The spurs have way too much firepower for them to deal with now.
Dallas could give some trouble. Ultimately, I don't think any of them would pull off the upset.

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